Wirkfaktoren in der Filialtherapie

Die Filialtherapie hat sich in Praxis und Theorie als eine effektive Methode erwiesen, die Eltern-Kind-Beziehung zu verbessern, um auf diesem Wege dem Kind zu helfen seine Inkongruenzen zu überwinden. Ein spezifisches Modell der Filialtherapie stellt die Kurzzeit Eltern-Kind-Beziehungstherapie von Landreth und Bratton dar (Parent Child Relationship Therapy, CPRT). Innerhalb von zehn Gruppensitzungen und Trainingseinheiten ist in diesem Modell eine signifikante Persönlichkeitsveränderung der Eltern zu verzeichnen. Der Erfolg der Filialtherapie wird in der hiesigen Literatur auf die Schulungen und die Trainings als den Wirkfaktoren zurückgeführt. Meine Arbeit hatte zum Ziel auf hermeneutischem Wege herauszufinden, welche anderen Faktoren für die Veränderungen in der Client Parent Relationship Therapy Wirkung entfalten. Das Resultat der Arbeit war, dass die rogerianischen Basiselemente der therapeutischen Beziehung, die sog. Core Conditions, als Common Factor eine notwendige Bedingung in der erfolgreichen Arbeit des CPRT-Leiters darstellen. Als weitere Wirkfaktoren konnte eine integrierte Feedbackstruktur, die ebenso positive Effekte auf den Prozess und das Ergebnis ausübt, sowie Experiencing- und Focusing-Prozesse im filialtherapeutischen Geschehen festgemacht werden. Darüber hinaus wurde herausgearbeitet, dass es sich bei den Schulungen und Trainings innerhalb des CPRT nicht im Wesentlichen um Wissenstransfer von technischen Daten und intellektuellen Informationen geht, als vielmehr um ein emotionales, gefühltes Wissen – um die Einverleibung einer neuen geistigen Orientierung im Sinne einer humanistischen Sichtweise.Filial therapy has been shown effective in theory and practice in enhancing the parent-child relationship, helping the child to reduce and overcome it’ s behavioural and emotional problems. This treatment approach is also known as Child Parent Relationship Therapy (CPRT), a special 10-session model developed by Landreth and Bratton to bring about a significant personality change within the limited sessions. A method purposely used in CPRT is educating and training parents in constructive methods for changing. According to the broad literature this technique is the engine for success in that semi-therapeutical approach. The purpose of this study was to find out, whether there are other unspecific factors in the child-parent relationship therapy which show positive effects for the outcome. Results which were derived hermeneutically, showed that the core conditions of Rogers (defining specific therapeutic relationship) represent as common factors a necessary requirement for a change in the therapeutic process. Moreover patterns from other theories could be recognized, which also matter for the outcome. There are an integrated feedback-culture, due to the special structure of the filial therapy, as well as experiencing and focusing processes within the structure of filial therapy. In addition it could be shown, that educating and training parents is more a matter of emotional and felt knowledge than a matter of cognitive interpretation in the sense of transferring technical and intellectual information. The overall idea is to help the parents to find a new thinking based on a humanistic philosophy

Screening for light crude oil and market comovements

This research is structured as follows: the introduction in the first section presents an overview of the method and outlines the study's objective. The literature review provides related work referring to the crude oil market and the application of hierarchical correlation clustering to characterize current developments in both fields. It is followed by the research and methodology, characterizing the implemented method and algorithm and providing information about the data preprocessing steps. The publication is completed by the results and discussion section, presenting the visualized cluster mapping results. The project's outcome is summarized in the concluding section, reflecting current and possible future implementations of the screening. Areas for future investigations are mentioned. All tables are provided in the appendix to facilitate the reading flow. Acronyms and abbreviations are indicated in the appendix.This study aimed to perform a screening for economic interrelationships among market participants from the stock market, global stock indices, and commodities from fossil energy, agricultural, and the metals sector. Particular focus was put on the comovements of the light crude oil benchmarks West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude oil. In finance research and the crude oil markets, identifying novel groupings and interactions is a fundamental requirement due to the extended impact of crude oil price fluctuations on economic growth and inflation. Thus, it is of high interest for investors to identify market players and interactions that appear sensitive to crude oil price volatility triggers. The price development of 14 stocks, 25 leading global indices, and 13 commodity prices, including WTI and Brent, were analyzed via data mining applying the hierarchical correlation cluster mapping technique. All price data comprised the period from January 2012 – December 2018 and were based on daily returns. The technique identifies and visualizes existing hierarchical clusters and correlation patterns emphasizing comovements that indicate positively correlated processes. The method successfully identified clustering patterns and a series of relevant and partly unexpected novel comovements in all investigated economic sectors. Although additional research is required to reveal the causative factors, the study offers an insight into in-depth market interrelationships.123129

The relationship between European Brent crude oil price development and US macroeconomy

Abnormal volatility has a damaging effect on the macroeconomy and is seen as a measure of risk in asset and commodity markets. This investigation had the aim to analyze the supposed transatlantic volatility inducing effect of the most prominent scheduled macroeconomic news announcements from the United States (US) on Brent Blend crude oil price intraday volatility over a period of seven years from 2012 to 2018. The objective was to generate a ranking list of scheduled US macroeconomic news that forecast high intraday volatility episodes at precise points in time. A total of 38 US news was analyzed using a data mining workflow. Data modeling was conducted using a simple ordinary least squares regression model and performed with programming language Python. A one hour window of rolling standard deviation based on one minute high-frequency closing prices were applied. As a result, 20 scheduled US macroeconomic news was successfully identified to significantly impact Brent crude oil price volatility. The model strongly supports the forecast of high price fluctuations and provides an opportunity for market players to adjust their risk management strategies right in time

Ranking of US macroeconomic news impacting WTI crude oil volatility risk

This study had the purpose to investigate the impact of 38 scheduled major United States (US) macroeconomic news on WTI crude oil intraday volatility for the period 2012-2018. It was the aim to provide a news ranking that indicates upcoming high volatility episodes at a specific point in time. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light crude oil represents a benchmark since it has a signal effect on market players. High crude oil price volatility is a measure of risk and known to increase inflation, to affect producers, consumers, and investors and to destabilize economic growth. In this research approach one-minute high-frequency bid close prices provided the basis for a 1h window rolling standard deviation. Data modeling was performed using simple and multiple robust ordinary least squares (OLS) regression performed with programming language Python. The model successfully identified 21 significant news announcements in both, the simple and multiple regression models, however, simple OLS-regression appears to be more sensitive. It also provided a ranking of US news impacting WTI volatility risk. The results support the prediction of approaching high price volatility and thus, display an opportunity for market participants and decision-makers to minimize risk

La figura del detective nel giallo italiano del '900.

Sin dall'estate del 1929 - quando Arnoldo Mondadori pubblicò a Milano quattro romanzi polizieschi internazionali - il pubblico italiano cominciò ad apprezzare questo genere letterario che, ancora oggi, tiene col fiato sospeso lettori di ogni estrazione sociale. Da allora, gli scrittori del nostro Paese hanno assimilato la lezione inglese e americana non limitandosi ad una mera riproposizione, ma cimentandosi in inedite riscritture. Le modifiche più rilevanti riguardano la figura del detective: la sua psiche, il suo aspetto fisico, il modo in cui interagisce con il contesto sociale in cui opera e, in particolare, la metodologia investigativa. Gli autori analizzati in questo lavoro di ricerca sono: Camilleri, Scerbanenco, Macchiavelli, Lucarelli, De Angelis, Malvaldi, Eco, Gadda, Tabucchi e Sciascia. L'eterogeneità di tale elenco lascia intendere la trattazione di diverse branche della letteratura poliziesca, come il noir, il romanzo poliziesco a sfondo sociale e il giallo storico. Il risultato di questa indagine è una galleria di ritratti di investigatori italiani con più umanità e meno eroicità, rispetto alle tendenze internazionali

Schreibkompetenz entwickeln und evaluieren

Die Arbeit befasst sich mit der Entwicklung der Schreibkompetenz im DaF-Bereich an der Universiät Kabul. Zu den komplexen Anforderungen des Schreibens kommen noch weitere hinzu, sobald es in einer Fremdsprache geschrieben wird und die fremdsprachlichen Schreiblerner zum einen aufgrund der defizitären Schreibvermittlung im Bildungssystem, zum anderen wegen der Zugehörigkeit zu einer nicht schriftbasierten Sprachgemeinschaft noch über eine geringe Schreibkompetenz in ihrer Muttersprache verfügen. Vor diesem Hintergrund wird in dieser empirischen Untersuchung durch Analyse der Schreibaufträge von afghanischen DaF-Lernenden und Darstellung ihrer Realität im schulischen und universitären Unterricht sowie auch im Bereich DaF an der Universität Kabul aufgezeigt, dass die bisherige Förderung der Schreibkompetenz im afghanischen Bildungssystem und im DaF-Unterricht an der Universität Kabul ineffizient ist und daher grundlegender Reformen bedarf

Application of Open Web API: The Impact of Crude Oil Stocks Change Announcements on Crude Oil Price Volatility

This interdisciplinary study focuses on the impact of financial news announcements on crude oil price volatility. The information released by free Open web API Services is increasing rapidly. So far the correlation between oil price and news announcements was described based on daily crude oil closing prices. Localizing the exact starting point of increasing volatility requires intraday price changes. We propose an interdisciplinary IT-method to extract intraday crude oil price data from Open web API Services to capture the exact effect of the US inventory announcements at the time of news arrival. Intraday data in 30minutes intervals were applied. We found that volatility decreases before the arrival of the announcement and increases afterwards. For capturing the effect of unexpected amount of change in inventory, the difference between real and expected amount of change was introduced in the model and is statistically significant. Further studies on this issue will be performed

Superb Microvascular Imaging (SMI) Compared with Color Doppler Ultrasound for the Assessment of Hepatic Artery in Pediatric Liver Transplants: A Feasibility Study

(1) Background: Despite progression in surgical techniques and immunological treatments, hepatic artery (HA) thrombosis and stenosis still develop as an early or late liver transplant (LT) complication. We aimed to compare superb microvascular imaging (SMI) with conventional Doppler imaging (CDI) in the assessment of HA in a cohort of pediatric patients undergoing follow-up ultrasound (US) for LT. (2) Methods: This prospective, observational study included 73 pediatric LT recipients (median age, 7 years; IQR, 5.8 years; 35 females) who underwent US during LT follow-up from March to December 2019. For each examination, CDI and SMI were separately assessed in terms of HA visibility and spectral waveform morphology (SWM). The former was scored based on HA discrimination from the blooming signal of the surrounding vessels, as follows: 0, not visible; 1, majority course hardly distinguishable; and 2, majority course clearly distinguishable. The latter was scored on a two-point scale: 0, combined venous and arterial SWM, and 1, pure arterial SWM. The patient’s overall score was finally calculated by adding the two individual scores. (3) Results: Both the absolute scores and frequency of overall scores equal to 3 (maximum global score) were higher using SMI compared with CDI. The median overall score was 3 for SMI and 2 for CDI (p = 0.011; IQR = 1). An overall score equal to 3 was obtained in 74% and 49.3% of the study population using SMI and CDI, respectively (p = 0.002). This was attributable to a better score in HA visibility (p = 0.007). (4) Conclusions: SMI has shown promise for assessing HA in pediatric LT recipients, possibly serving as a complementary non-invasive tool of CDI in everyday practice