Tumor Mutation Burden Prediction Model in Egyptian Breast Cancer patients based on Next Generation Sequencing

Objectives: This study aimed to identify the tumor mutation burden (TMB) value in Egyptian breast cancer (BC) patients. Moreover, to find the best TMB prediction model based on the expression of estrogen (ER), progesterone (PR), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER-2), and proliferation index Ki-67. Methods: The Ion AmpliSeq Comprehensive Cancer Panel was used to determine TMB value of 58 Egyptian BC tumor tissues. Different machine learning models were used to select the optimal classification model for prediction of TMB level according to patient’s receptor status. Results: The measured TMB value was between 0 and 8.12/Mb. Positive expression of ER and PR was significantly associated with TMB ≤ 1.25 [(OR =0.35, 95% CI: 0.04–2.98), (OR = 0.17, 95% CI= 0.02-0.44)] respectively. Ki-67 expression positive was significantly associated with TMB >1.25 than those who were Ki-67 expression negative (OR = 9.33, 95% CI= 2.07-42.18). However, no significant differences were observed between HER2 positive and HER2 negative groups. The optimized logistic regression model was TMB = −27.5 −1.82 ER – 0.73 PR + 0.826 HER2 + 2.08 Ki-67. Conclusion: Our findings revealed that TMB value can be predicted based on the expression level of ER, PR, HER-2, and Ki-67

Global economic burden of unmet surgical need for appendicitis

Background There is a substantial gap in provision of adequate surgical care in many low- and middle-income countries. This study aimed to identify the economic burden of unmet surgical need for the common condition of appendicitis. Methods Data on the incidence of appendicitis from 170 countries and two different approaches were used to estimate numbers of patients who do not receive surgery: as a fixed proportion of the total unmet surgical need per country (approach 1); and based on country income status (approach 2). Indirect costs with current levels of access and local quality, and those if quality were at the standards of high-income countries, were estimated. A human capital approach was applied, focusing on the economic burden resulting from premature death and absenteeism. Results Excess mortality was 4185 per 100 000 cases of appendicitis using approach 1 and 3448 per 100 000 using approach 2. The economic burden of continuing current levels of access and local quality was US $92 492 million using approach 1 and$73 141 million using approach 2. The economic burden of not providing surgical care to the standards of high-income countries was $95 004 million using approach 1 and$75 666 million using approach 2. The largest share of these costs resulted from premature death (97.7 per cent) and lack of access (97.0 per cent) in contrast to lack of quality. Conclusion For a comparatively non-complex emergency condition such as appendicitis, increasing access to care should be prioritized. Although improving quality of care should not be neglected, increasing provision of care at current standards could reduce societal costs substantially

Global economic burden of unmet surgical need for appendicitis

Background There is a substantial gap in provision of adequate surgical care in many low- and middle-income countries. This study aimed to identify the economic burden of unmet surgical need for the common condition of appendicitis. Methods Data on the incidence of appendicitis from 170 countries and two different approaches were used to estimate numbers of patients who do not receive surgery: as a fixed proportion of the total unmet surgical need per country (approach 1); and based on country income status (approach 2). Indirect costs with current levels of access and local quality, and those if quality were at the standards of high-income countries, were estimated. A human capital approach was applied, focusing on the economic burden resulting from premature death and absenteeism. Results Excess mortality was 4185 per 100 000 cases of appendicitis using approach 1 and 3448 per 100 000 using approach 2. The economic burden of continuing current levels of access and local quality was US $92 492 million using approach 1 and$73 141 million using approach 2. The economic burden of not providing surgical care to the standards of high-income countries was $95 004 million using approach 1 and$75 666 million using approach 2. The largest share of these costs resulted from premature death (97.7 per cent) and lack of access (97.0 per cent) in contrast to lack of quality. Conclusion For a comparatively non-complex emergency condition such as appendicitis, increasing access to care should be prioritized. Although improving quality of care should not be neglected, increasing provision of care at current standards could reduce societal costs substantially