6,651 research outputs found

    Learning and Visceral Temptation in Dynamic Savings Experiments

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    In models of optimal savings with income uncertainty and habit formation, people should save early to create a buffer stock, to cushion bad income draws and limit the negative internality from habit formation. In experiments in this setting, people save too little initially, but learn to save optimally within four repeated lifecycles, or 1-2 lifecycles with “social learning.” Using beverage rewards (cola) to create visceral temptation, thirsty subjects who consume immediately overspend compared to subjects who only drink after time delay. The relative overspending of immediate-consumption subjects is consistent with hyperbolic discounting and dual-self models. Estimates of the present-bias choices are β=0.6-0.7, which are consistent with other studies (albeit over different time horizons)

    Learning and Visceral Temptation in Dynamic Saving Experiments

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    This paper tests two explanations for apparent undersaving in life cycle models: bounded rationality and a preference for immediacy. Each was addressed in a separate experimental study. In the first study, subjects saved too little initially—providing evidence for bounded rationality—but learned to save optimally within four repeated life cycles. In the second study, thirsty subjects who consume beverage sips immediately, rather than with a delay, show greater relative overspending, consistent with quasi-hyperbolic discounting models. The parameter estimates of overspending obtained from the second study, but not the first, are in range of several empirical studies of saving (with an estimated β = 0.6–0.7)

    Revisiting Charmless Hadronic B_{u,d} Decays in QCD Factorization

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    Within the framework of QCD factorization (QCDF), we consider two different types of power correction effects in order to resolve the CP puzzles and rate deficit problems with penguin-dominated two-body decays of B mesons and color-suppressed tree-dominated π0π0\pi^0\pi^0 and ρ0π0\rho^0\pi^0 modes: penguin annihilation and soft corrections to the color-suppressed tree amplitude. We emphasize that the electroweak penguin solution to the BKπB\to K\pi CP puzzle via New Physics is irrelevant for solving the CP and rate puzzles related to tree-dominated decays. While some channels e.g. Kπ+,Kρ0,π+π,ρ±πK^-\pi^+,K^-\rho^0,\pi^+\pi^-,\rho^\pm\pi^\mp need penguin annihilation to induce the correct magnitudes and signs for their CP violation, some other decays such as BKπ0,πη,KηB^-\to K^-\pi^0,\pi^-\eta, K^-\eta and Bˉ0Kˉ0η,π0π0\bar B^0\to \bar K^{*0}\eta,\pi^0\pi^0 require the presence of both power corrections to account for the measured CP asymmetries. In general, QCDF predictions for the branching fractions and direct CP asymmetries of BˉPP,VP,VV\bar B\to PP,VP,VV decays are in good agreement with experiment. The predictions of pQCD and soft-collinear effective theory are included for comparison.Comment: 51 pages, 1 figur

    Expect the unexpected: a case report of bacterial meningitis causing Guillain-Barré syndrome in an immunocompetent person

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    This is the case report of a 36-year-old male presenting as acute onset of progressive bilateral lower extremity weakness, initially managed as a case of Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS). However, his cerebrospinal fluid tested positive for Neisseria meningitidis Y, Neisseria meningitidis W135, Streptococcus group B antigen, and Streptococcus pneumoniae. The patient was later treated for bacterial meningitis. Most cases of GBS are preceded by an upper respiratory infection or gastroenteritis. There are only a few reported cases of bacterial meningitis occurring coincidentally with GBS, much more in an immunocompetent individual. This is a rare case of such with good patient recovery and outcome

    Building metamemorial knowledge over time: insights from eye tracking about the bases of feeling-of-knowing and confidence judgments

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    Metamemory processes depend on different factors across the learning and memory time-scale. In the laboratory, subjects are often asked to make prospective feeling-of-knowing (FOK) judgments about target retrievability, or are asked to make retrospective confidence judgments (RCJs) about the retrieved target. We examined distinct and shared contributors to metamemory judgments, and how they were built over time. Eye movements were monitored during a face-scene associative memory task. At test, participants viewed a studied scene, then rated their FOK that they would remember the associated face. This was followed by a forced choice recognition test and RCJs. FOK judgments were less accurate than RCJ judgments, showing that the addition of mnemonic experience can increase metacognitive accuracy over time. However, there was also evidence that the given FOK rating influenced RCJs. Turning to eye movements, initial analyses showed that higher cue fluency was related to both higher FOKs and higher RCJs. However, further analyses revealed that the effects of the scene cue on RCJs were mediated by FOKs. Turning to the target, increased viewing time and faster viewing of the correct associate related to higher FOKs, consistent with the idea that target accessibility is a basis of FOKs. In contrast, the amount of viewing directed to the chosen face, regardless of whether it was correct, predicted higher RCJs, suggesting that choice experience is a significant contributor RCJs. We also examined covariates of the change in RCJ rating from the FOK rating, and showed that increased and faster viewing of the chosen face predicted raising one’s confidence above one’s FOK. Taken together these results suggest that metamemory judgments should not be thought of only as distinct subjective experiences, but complex processes that interact and evolve as new psychological bases for subjective experience become available

    Evaluating disease severity in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

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    Accurate assessment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) disease severity is integral to the care provided to patients with IPF. However, to date, there are no generally accepted or validated staging systems. There is an abundance of data on using information acquired from physiological, radiological and pathological parameters, in isolation or in combination, to assess disease severity in IPF. Recently, there has been interest in using serum biomarkers and computed tomography-derived quantitative lung fibrosis measures to stage disease severity in IPF. This review will focus on the suggested methods for staging IPF, at baseline and on serial assessment, their strengths and limitations, as well as future developments
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