36 research outputs found
Online-Umfragen: eine geeignete Erhebungsmethode fĂŒr die Wahlforschung? Ein Vergleich unterschiedlicher Befragungsmodi am Beispiel der Bundestagswahl 2009
"Online-Umfragen werden in den Sozialwissenschaften immer beliebter, so auch in der Wahlforschung. Zahlreiche Studien konnten jedoch zeigen, dass sich Teilnehmer/innen an Online-Umfragen nicht nur hinsichtlich des soziodemographischen Hintergrunds, sondern auch der politischen Einstellungen von Teilnehmer/innen an persönlich-mĂŒndlichen oder telefonischen Umfragen deutlich unterscheiden. Bei Analysen des WĂ€hlerverhaltens sind diese Unterschiede jedoch unproblematisch, wenn sich die ZusammenhĂ€nge zwischen den Untersuchungsmerkmalen im Rahmen der verschiedenen Befragungsmodi Ă€hnlich gestalten und somit die Wahlentscheidung durch dieselben Faktoren erklĂ€rt werden kann. Der vorliegende Beitrag widmet sich der Betrachtung dieser ZusammenhĂ€nge, indem Modelle des Wahlverhaltens miteinander verglichen werden, die mit Daten verschiedener Umfragemodi berechnet wurden. HierfĂŒr werden Daten der German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) herangezogen, da im Rahmen dieses Projekts im Vorfeld der Bundestagswahl 2009 eine persönlich-mĂŒndliche, eine telefonische und mehrere Online-Umfragen nahezu zeitgleich durchgefĂŒhrt wurden, was ideale Bedingungen fĂŒr einen Vergleich der verschiedenen Umfragemodi bietet. Diese Untersuchung trĂ€gt somit dazu bei, die Eignung von Online-Umfragen fĂŒr Analysen der empirischen Wahlforschung besser einschĂ€tzen zu können." (Autorenreferat)"Online surveys are becoming more and more popular in the social sciences, for example in electoral research. Plenty of studies have shown that participants who take part in online-surveys differ significantly from participants taking part in face-to-face, or telephone surveys, in terms of their socio-demographic background and political attitudes. Still, since electoral research aims primarily to explain voting behavior, online surveys are deemed useful tools, if the relationship between dependent and independent variables are similar in different survey types, for instance, if vote choice can be described by the same factors, regardless of the survey mode. This paper analyzes these relationships by comparing models of voting behavior which are based on data from different survey modes. Survey data from the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) is used since this project simultaneously conducted a face-to-face and telephone survey, as well as online surveys ahead of the 2009 German Federal Election. Hence, these are ideal conditions for comparing different survey modes. Consequently, this paper enables one to evaluate the use of online surveys for empirical electoral research." (author's abstract
Koalitionssignale bei der Bundestagswahl 2009 und deren Auswirkungen auf strategisches Wahlverhalten
Beyond Duverger: Party Ideology, Party-State Relations and Informal Finance Strategies in Advanced Democracies
publication-status: Acceptedtypes: ArticleThis is the accepted version of the following article: Beyond Duverger: party ideology, party-state relations and informal finance strategies in advanced democracies, which has been published in final form at http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=9157737This article examines one widespread but widely overlooked informal party practice to access state resources indirectly: the âtaxingâ of MP salaries, which obliges candidates who win elected office on a party ticket to regularly donate a fixed share of their private income to party coffers. Linking Duvergerâs classical approach on party organization that stresses the importance of partyâsociety relations with the more recent, highly influential cartel party theory that argues that parties are shaped by their relationship with the state, we specify factors that shape the acceptability of this informal practice and thus partiesâ capacity to extract rent from their MPs. The analysis of an original dataset covering parties across a wide range of advanced democracies reveals that demanding salary transfers from national MPs to their parties are not only more common in leftist parties as argued by Duverger but also in systems in which the penetration of the state apparatus by political parties is intense as argued by the cartel party approach. Linking the two perspectives further reveals that ideological differences between parties shape their relative capacity to collect higher payments from MPs in systems where parties and the state are less intertwined.British AcademyEconomic and Social Research Counci
PrĂ€ferenzen zu unterschiedlichen Reformoptionen des Wahlsystems fĂŒr Bundestagswahlen
In diesem Beitrag werden PrĂ€ferenzen der BĂŒrgerInnen zu unterschiedlichen Reformoptionen des Wahlsystems fĂŒr Bundestagswahlen untersucht. PrĂ€ferenzen fĂŒr eine Wahlsystemreform sind schwierig zu messen, da die Zielkonflikte zwischen unterschiedlichen Anforderungen an Wahlsysteme vielen BĂŒrgerInnen nicht bewusst sind. Daher wurde ein Online-Umfrageexperiment durchgefĂŒhrt, in dem die Einstellungen zu den widersprĂŒchlichen Anforderungen Konzentration vs. ReprĂ€sentation und Beteiligung vs. Einfachheit sowie die Rolle von parteilichen Hinweisen bei der Bewertung von Reformoptionen untersucht wurden. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass die BĂŒrgerInnen keine starken PrĂ€ferenzen hinsichtlich Konzentration, ReprĂ€sentation, Partizipation und Einfachheit haben. Es gibt jedoch einen Effekt der Parteizugehörigkeit: UnterstĂŒtzerInnen einer groĂen Partei befĂŒrworten konzentrierende Effekte von Wahlsystemen stĂ€rker als AnhĂ€ngerInnen kleiner Parteien. DarĂŒber hinaus unterstĂŒtzen AnhĂ€ngerInnen einer Partei die Reform stĂ€rker als NichtanhĂ€ngerInnen, wenn die Reformoption von dieser Partei vorgeschlagen wird
Politisches Vertrauen wÀhrend der Corona-Pandemie
Political Trust During the COVID-19 Pandemic
At the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic even strict measures for pandemic control were widely approved. However, this declined at later time points. In this context, a key variable linking the evaluation of political measures and the responsible actors is political trust. This variable is important not least for the stability of a welfare state-oriented pandemic response, as it is an essential resource for political actors, especially in times of crisis. If the COVID-19 pandemic and in particular the measures taken by welfare states have increased or decreased political trust, this would have affected the management of the Âpandemic. In this article, we discuss changes in political trust during the ÂCOVID-19 pandemic in Germany. Based on two analyses, we showed that trust in the governmentâs Corona policy was comparatively high, but declined during the course of the pandemic. Based on our findings, we discuss the short-term increase in trust in politicians during the initial phase of policy implementation as a typical rally-round-the-flag phenomenon