10,340 research outputs found
Prediction, Retrodiction, and The Amount of Information Stored in the Present
We introduce an ambidextrous view of stochastic dynamical systems, comparing
their forward-time and reverse-time representations and then integrating them
into a single time-symmetric representation. The perspective is useful
theoretically, computationally, and conceptually. Mathematically, we prove that
the excess entropy--a familiar measure of organization in complex systems--is
the mutual information not only between the past and future, but also between
the predictive and retrodictive causal states. Practically, we exploit the
connection between prediction and retrodiction to directly calculate the excess
entropy. Conceptually, these lead one to discover new system invariants for
stochastic dynamical systems: crypticity (information accessibility) and causal
irreversibility. Ultimately, we introduce a time-symmetric representation that
unifies all these quantities, compressing the two directional representations
into one. The resulting compression offers a new conception of the amount of
information stored in the present.Comment: 17 pages, 7 figures, 1 table;
http://users.cse.ucdavis.edu/~cmg/compmech/pubs/pratisp.ht
Information Accessibility and Cryptic Processes: Linear Combinations of Causal States
We show in detail how to determine the time-reversed representation of a
stationary hidden stochastic process from linear combinations of its
forward-time -machine causal states. This also gives a check for the
-cryptic expansion recently introduced to explore the temporal range over
which internal state information is spread.Comment: 6 pages, 9 figures, 2 tables;
http://users.cse.ucdavis.edu/~cmg/compmech/pubs/iacplcocs.ht
Galactic Cosmic Rays from Supernova Remnants: II Shock Acceleration of Gas and Dust
This is the second paper (the first was astro-ph/9704267) of a series
analysing the Galactic Cosmic Ray (GCR) composition and origin. In this we
present a quantitative model of GCR origin and acceleration based on the
acceleration of a mixture of interstellar and/or circumstellar gas and dust by
supernova remnant blast waves. We present results from a nonlinear shock model
which includes (i) the direct acceleration of interstellar gas-phase ions, (ii)
a simplified model for the direct acceleration of weakly charged dust grains to
energies of order 100keV/amu simultaneously with the gas ions, (iii) frictional
energy losses of the grains colliding with the gas, (iv) sputtering of ions of
refractory elements from the accelerated grains and (v) the further shock
acceleration of the sputtered ions to cosmic ray energies. The calculated GCR
composition and spectra are in good agreement with observations.Comment: to appear in ApJ, 51 pages, LaTeX with AAS macros, 9 postscript
figures, also available from ftp://wonka.physics.ncsu.edu/pub/elliso
Intersection Information based on Common Randomness
The introduction of the partial information decomposition generated a flurry
of proposals for defining an intersection information that quantifies how much
of "the same information" two or more random variables specify about a target
random variable. As of yet, none is wholly satisfactory. A palatable measure of
intersection information would provide a principled way to quantify slippery
concepts, such as synergy. Here, we introduce an intersection information
measure based on the G\'acs-K\"orner common random variable that is the first
to satisfy the coveted target monotonicity property. Our measure is imperfect,
too, and we suggest directions for improvement.Comment: 19 pages, 5 figure
Social research for a multiethnic population: do the research ethics and standards guidelines of UK Learned Societies address this challenge?
There is increasing recognition in the UK that social science research should generate an evidence base that reflects the ethnic diversity of the population and informs positive developments in public policy and programmes for all. However, describing and understanding ethnic diversity, and associated disadvantage, is far from straightforward. In practice, the ethical and scientific arguments around whether and how to incorporate ethnicity into policy-relevant social research are complex and contentious. In particular, untheorised or insensitive inclusion of data on ethnic 'groups' can have negative consequences. The present investigation begins to explore the extent to which social scientists have access to advice and guidance in this area of research. Specifically, the paper examines how ethnic diversity is explicitly or implicitly considered within the research ethics and scientific standard guidance provided by UK social science Learned Societies to their members. The review found little in the way of explicit attention to ethnic diversity in the guidance documents, but nevertheless identified a number of pertinent themes. The paper compiles and extrapolates these themes to present a tentative set of principles for social scientists to debate and further develop
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