13,528 research outputs found
Modeling style rotation: switching and re-switching
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the dynamics and statistics of style rotation based on the Barberis-Shleifer model of style switching. Investors in stocks regard the forecasting of style-relative performance, especially style rotation, as highly desirable but difficult to achieve in practice. Whilst we do not claim to be able to do this in an empirical sense, we do provide a framework for addressing these issues. We develop some new results from the Barberis-Shleifer model which allows us to understand some of the time series properties of style relative price performance and determine the statistical properties of the time until a switch between styles. We apply our results to a set of empirical data to get estimates of some of the model parameters including the level of risk aversion of market participants
The quantitative measure and statistical distribution of fame
Fame and celebrity play an ever-increasing role in our culture. However,
despite the cultural and economic importance of fame and its gradations, there
exists no consensus method for quantifying the fame of an individual, or of
comparing that of two individuals. We argue that, even if fame is difficult to
measure with precision, one may develop useful metrics for fame that correlate
well with intuition and that remain reasonably stable over time. Using datasets
of recently deceased individuals who were highly renowned, we have evaluated
several internet-based methods for quantifying fame. We find that some
widely-used internet-derived metrics, such as search engine results, correlate
poorly with human subject judgments of fame. However other metrics exist that
agree well with human judgments and appear to offer workable, easily accessible
measures of fame. Using such a metric we perform a preliminary investigation of
the statistical distribution of fame, which has some of the power law character
seen in other natural and social phenomena such as landslides and market
crashes. In order to demonstrate how such findings can generate quantitative
insight into celebrity culture, we assess some folk ideas regarding the
frequency distribution and apparent clustering of celebrity deaths.Comment: 17 pages, 6 figure
The Fe-Ti minerals of Icelandic basic rocks and their significance in rock magnetism
Imperial Users onl
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