163 research outputs found
Complex networks in climate dynamics - Comparing linear and nonlinear network construction methods
Complex network theory provides a powerful framework to statistically
investigate the topology of local and non-local statistical interrelationships,
i.e. teleconnections, in the climate system. Climate networks constructed from
the same global climatological data set using the linear Pearson correlation
coefficient or the nonlinear mutual information as a measure of dynamical
similarity between regions, are compared systematically on local, mesoscopic
and global topological scales. A high degree of similarity is observed on the
local and mesoscopic topological scales for surface air temperature fields
taken from AOGCM and reanalysis data sets. We find larger differences on the
global scale, particularly in the betweenness centrality field. The global
scale view on climate networks obtained using mutual information offers
promising new perspectives for detecting network structures based on nonlinear
physical processes in the climate system.Comment: 24 pages, 10 figure
Spatial network surrogates for disentangling complex system structure from spatial embedding of nodes
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS MW and RVD have been supported by the German Federal Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF) via the Young Investigators Group CoSy-CC2 (grant no. 01LN1306A). JFD thanks the Stordalen Foundation and BMBF (project GLUES) for financial support. JK acknowledges the IRTG 1740 funded by DFG and FAPESP. MT Gastner is acknowledged for providing his data on the airline, interstate, and Internet network. P Menck thankfully provided his data on the Scandinavian power grid. We thank S Willner on behalf of the entire zeean team for providing the data on the world trade network. All computations have been performed using the Python package pyunicorn [41] that is available at https://github.com/pik-copan/pyunicorn.Peer reviewedPreprin
Clustered marginalization of minorities during social transitions induced by co-evolution of behaviour and network structure
Large-scale transitions in societies are associated with both individual
behavioural change and restructuring of the social network. These two factors
have often been considered independently, yet recent advances in social network
research challenge this view. Here we show that common features of societal
marginalization and clustering emerge naturally during transitions in a
co-evolutionary adaptive network model. This is achieved by explicitly
considering the interplay between individual interaction and a dynamic network
structure in behavioural selection. We exemplify this mechanism by simulating
how smoking behaviour and the network structure get reconfigured by changing
social norms. Our results are consistent with empirical findings: The
prevalence of smoking was reduced, remaining smokers were preferentially
connected among each other and formed increasingly marginalised clusters. We
propose that self-amplifying feedbacks between individual behaviour and dynamic
restructuring of the network are main drivers of the transition. This
generative mechanism for co-evolution of individual behaviour and social
network structure may apply to a wide range of examples beyond smoking.Comment: 16 pages, 5 figure
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From math to metaphors and back again: Social-ecological resilience from a multi-agent-environment perspective
Science and policy stand to benefit from reconnecting the many notions of social-ecological resilience to their roots in complexity sciences.We propose several ways of moving towards operationalization through the classification of modern concepts of resilience based on a multi-agent-environment perspective.
Social-ecological resilience underlies popular sustainability concepts that have been influential in formulating the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), such as the Planetary Boundaries and Doughnut Economics. Scientific investigation of these concepts is supported by mathematical models of planetary biophysical and societal dynamics, both of which call for operational measures of resilience. However, current quantitative descriptions tend to be restricted to the foundational form of the concept: persistence resilience. We propose a classification of modern notions of social-ecological resilience from a multi-agent-environment perspective. This aims at operationalization in a complex systems framework, including the persistence, adaptation and transformation aspects of resilience, normativity related to desirable system function, first- vs. second-order and specific vs. general resilience. For example, we discuss the use of the Topology of Sustainable Management Framework. Developing the mathematics of resilience along these lines would not only make social-ecological resilience more applicable to data and models, but could also conceptually advance resilience thinking
How complex climate networks complement eigen techniques for the statistical analysis of climatological data
Eigen techniques such as empirical orthogonal function (EOF) or coupled
pattern (CP) / maximum covariance analysis have been frequently used for
detecting patterns in multivariate climatological data sets. Recently,
statistical methods originating from the theory of complex networks have been
employed for the very same purpose of spatio-temporal analysis. This climate
network (CN) analysis is usually based on the same set of similarity matrices
as is used in classical EOF or CP analysis, e.g., the correlation matrix of a
single climatological field or the cross-correlation matrix between two
distinct climatological fields. In this study, formal relationships as well as
conceptual differences between both eigen and network approaches are derived
and illustrated using exemplary global precipitation, evaporation and surface
air temperature data sets. These results allow to pinpoint that CN analysis can
complement classical eigen techniques and provides additional information on
the higher-order structure of statistical interrelationships in climatological
data. Hence, CNs are a valuable supplement to the statistical toolbox of the
climatologist, particularly for making sense out of very large data sets such
as those generated by satellite observations and climate model intercomparison
exercises.Comment: 18 pages, 11 figure
How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: Linking Micro- to Macro-scales
In this study, we investigate how specific micro interaction structures
(motifs) affect the occurrence of tipping cascades on networks of stylized
tipping elements. We compare the properties of cascades in Erd\"os-R\'enyi
networks and an exemplary moisture recycling network of the Amazon rainforest.
Within these networks, decisive small-scale motifs are the feed forward loop,
the secondary feed forward loop, the zero loop and the neighboring loop.
Of all motifs, the feed forward loop motif stands out in tipping cascades
since it decreases the critical coupling strength necessary to initiate a
cascade more than the other motifs. We find that for this motif, the reduction
of critical coupling strength is 11% less than the critical coupling of a pair
of tipping elements. For highly connected networks, our analysis reveals that
coupled feed forward loops coincide with a strong 90% decrease of the critical
coupling strength.
For the highly clustered moisture recycling network in the Amazon, we observe
regions of very high motif occurrence for each of the four investigated motifs
suggesting that these regions are more vulnerable. The occurrence of motifs is
found to be one order of magnitude higher than in a random Erd\"os-R\'enyi
network.
This emphasizes the importance of local interaction structures for the
emergence of global cascades and the stability of the network as a whole
Recurrence networks - A novel paradigm for nonlinear time series analysis
This paper presents a new approach for analysing structural properties of
time series from complex systems. Starting from the concept of recurrences in
phase space, the recurrence matrix of a time series is interpreted as the
adjacency matrix of an associated complex network which links different points
in time if the evolution of the considered states is very similar. A critical
comparison of these recurrence networks with similar existing techniques is
presented, revealing strong conceptual benefits of the new approach which can
be considered as a unifying framework for transforming time series into complex
networks that also includes other methods as special cases.
It is demonstrated that there are fundamental relationships between the
topological properties of recurrence networks and the statistical properties of
the phase space density of the underlying dynamical system. Hence, the network
description yields new quantitative characteristics of the dynamical complexity
of a time series, which substantially complement existing measures of
recurrence quantification analysis
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