Inference of stochastic nonlinear oscillators with applications to physiological problems

A new method of inferencing of coupled stochastic nonlinear oscillators is described. The technique does not require extensive global optimization, provides optimal compensation for noise-induced errors and is robust in a broad range of dynamical models. We illustrate the main ideas of the technique by inferencing a model of five globally and locally coupled noisy oscillators. Specific modifications of the technique for inferencing hidden degrees of freedom of coupled nonlinear oscillators is discussed in the context of physiological applications.Comment: 11 pages, 10 figures, 2 tables Fluctuations and Noise 2004, SPIE Conference, 25-28 May 2004 Gran Hotel Costa Meloneras Maspalomas, Gran Canaria, Spai

Physics Based Model for Cryogenic Chilldown and Loading. Part I: Algorithm

We report the progress in the development of the physics based model for cryogenic chilldown and loading. The chilldown and loading is model as fully separated non-equilibrium two-phase flow of cryogenic fluid thermally coupled to the pipe walls. The solution follow closely nearly-implicit and semi-implicit algorithms developed for autonomous control of thermal-hydraulic systems developed by Idaho National Laboratory. A special attention is paid to the treatment of instabilities. The model is applied to the analysis of chilldown in rapid loading system developed at NASA-Kennedy Space Center. The nontrivial characteristic feature of the analyzed chilldown regime is its active control by dump valves. The numerical predictions are in reasonable agreement with the experimental time traces. The obtained results pave the way to the development of autonomous loading operation on the ground and space

Molecular Dynamics of ULTEM 9085 for 3D Manufacturing: Spectra, Thermodynamic Properties, and Shear Viscosity.

We present results of a molecular dynamic analysis of welding at the polymer-polymer interface. The analysis is performed for polyetherimide/ polycarbonate polymer blends. The work is motivated by the applications to 3D manufacturing in space. In the first part of the report, we discuss bulk and spectral characteristics of the amorphous polymer blends. The vibrational and infra-red spectra obtained using auto-correlation functions calculations in molecular dynamics are compared with the experimental spectra. The mechanical and thermal properties of the samples including heat capacity, bulk modulus, and thermal expansion coefficients are estimated and compared with experimental values. In the second part of the report, we discuss the result of molecular dynamical modeling of shear viscosity in a fully atomistic model of amorphous polymer blends with flat interface. The key result of the research is the demonstration of shear thinning behavior of the shear viscosity as a function of shear rate which is in good agreement with experimental data

Introduction to the physics of ionic conduction in narrow biological and artificial channels

The permeation of ions through narrow water-filled channels is essential to life and of rapidly-growing importance in technology. Reaching an understanding of the mechanisms underlying the permeation process requires an interdisciplinary approach, where ideas drawn from physics are of particular importance and have brought encouraging progress in recent years. This Introduction sets into context the several ground-breaking papers presented in the Entropy Special Issue on “The Physics of Ionic Conduction in Narrow Biological and Artificial Channels

Bayesian inferential framework for diagnosis of non-stationary systems

A Bayesian framework for parameter inference in non-stationary, nonlinear, stochastic, dynamical systems is introduced. It is applied to decode time variation of control parameters from time-series data modelling physiological signals. In this context a system of FitzHugh-Nagumo (FHN) oscillators is considered, for which synthetically generated signals are mixed via a measurement matrix. For each oscillator only one of the dynamical variables is assumed to be measured, while another variable remains hidden (unobservable). The control parameter for each FHN oscillator is varying in time. It is shown that the proposed approach allows one: (i) to reconstruct both unmeasured (hidden) variables of the FHN oscillators and the model parameters, (ii) to detect stepwise changes of control parameters for each oscillator, and (iii) to follow a continuous evolution of the control parameters in the quasi-adiabatic limit

Development of an On-board Failure Diagnostics and Prognostics System for Solid Rocket Booster

We develop a case breach model for the on-board fault diagnostics and prognostics system for subscale solid-rocket boosters (SRBs). The model development was motivated by recent ground firing tests, in which a deviation of measured time-traces from the predicted time-series was observed. A modified model takes into account the nozzle ablation, including the effect of roughness of the nozzle surface, the geometry of the fault, and erosion and burning of the walls of the hole in the metal case. The derived low-dimensional performance model (LDPM) of the fault can reproduce the observed time-series data very well. To verify the performance of the LDPM we build a FLUENT model of the case breach fault and demonstrate a good agreement between theoretical predictions based on the analytical solution of the model equations and the results of the FLUENT simulations. We then incorporate the derived LDPM into an inferential Bayesian framework and verify performance of the Bayesian algorithm for the diagnostics and prognostics of the case breach fault. It is shown that the obtained LDPM allows one to track parameters of the SRB during the flight in real time, to diagnose case breach fault, and to predict its values in the future. The application of the method to fault diagnostics and prognostics (FD&P) of other SRB faults modes is discussed

Real-Time UAV Trajectory Prediction for Safety Monitoring in Low-Altitude Airspace

The rising number of small unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) expected in the next decade will enable a new series of commercial, service, and military operations in low altitude airspace as well as above densely populated areas. These operations may include on-demand delivery, medical transportation services, law enforcement operations, traffic surveillance and many more. Such unprecedented scenarios create the need for robust, efficient ways to monitor the UAV state in time to guarantee safety and mitigate contingencies throughout the operations. This work proposes a generalized monitoring and prediction methodology that utilizes realtime measurements of an autonomous UAV following a series of way-points. Two different methods, based on sinusoidal acceleration profiles and high-order splines, are utilized to generate the predicted path. The monitoring approach includes dynamic trajectory re-planning in the event of unexpected detour or hovering of the UAV during flight. It can be further extended to different vehicle types, to quantify uncertainty affecting the state variables, e.g., aerodynamic and other environmental effects, and can also be implemented to prognosticate safety-critical metrics which depend on the estimated flight path and required thrust. The proposed framework is implemented on a simplified, scalable UAV modeling and control system traversing 3D trajectories. Results presented include examples of real-time predictions of the UAV trajectories during flight and a critical analysis of the proposed scenarios under uncertainty constraints

Relative efficiency of continuous and discrete methods of dynamical control of lasers

A direct comparison between continuous and discrete forms of control is investigated theoretically and numerically. Specifically we investigate energy-optimal control of switching of a periodically driven class B laser from stable to unstable pulsing regimes

Theory of Alike Selectivity in Biological Channels

We introduce a statistical mechanical model of the selectivity filter that accounts for the interaction between ions within the channel and derive Eisenman equation of the filter selectivity directly from the condition of barrier-less conduction