Developing a rating scale for projected stories

The 6-Part Story Method (6PSM) is a projective tool in wide use by dramatherapists in the UK, USA and Israel (Lahad & Ayalon, 1993). In contrast to projective tests used by psychotherapists and psychologists, the 6PSM has never been the subject of any validation or reliability studies. This paper reports on the identification of scale items to describe the manifest content of 6-part stories. 26 statements with acceptable inter-rater reliability have been identified. These statements were used to rate stories produced by clinicians (n=24), mainstream community mental health patients (n=21) and patients with a Borderline Personality Disorder (n=19). Some features that were expected to be indicators of an author with a BPD diagnosis proved to be as common in stories from other authors. However a scale of eight items was identified that differentiated well between authors with a BPD diagnosis and others, with adequate test-retest and inter-rater reliability. Concurrent validity was tested against the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV Axis II (SCID-II), the Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation Outcome Measure (CORE-OM) and the Inventory of Interpersonal Problems short form (IIP-32)

Collisional Processes in Extrasolar Planetsimal Disks - Dust Clumps in Fomalhaut's Debris Disk

This paper presents a model for the outcome of collisions between planetesimals in a debris disk and assesses the impact of collisional processes on the structure and size distribution of the disk. The model is presented by its application to Fomalhaut's collisionally replenished dust disk; a recent 450 micron image of this disk shows a clump embedded within it with a flux ~5 per cent of the total. The following conclusions are drawn: (i) SED modelling is consistent with Fomalhaut's disk having a collisional cascade size distribution extending from bodies 0.2 m in diameter down to 7 micron-sized dust. (ii) Collisional lifetime arguments imply that the cascade starts with planetesimals 1.5-4 km in diameter. Any larger bodies must be predominantly primordial. (iii) Constraints on the timescale for the ignition of the cascade are consistent with these primordial planetesimals having a distribution that extends up to 1000km, resulting in a disk mass of 5-10 times the minimum mass solar nebula. (iv) The debris disk is expected to be intrinsically clumpy, since planetesimal collisions result in dust clumps. The intrinsic clumpiness of Fomalhaut's disk is below current detection limits, but could be detectable by future observatories such as the ALMA, and could provide the only way of determining the primordial planetesimal population. (v) The observed clump could have originated in a collision between two runaway planetesimals, both larger than 1400 km diameter. It is unlikely that we should witness such an event unless both the formation of these runaways and the ignition of the collisional cascade occurred within the last ~10 Myr. (vi) Another explanation for Fomalhaut's clump is that ~5 per cent of the planetesimals in the ring are trapped in 1:2 resonance with a planet orbiting at 80 AU.Comment: 21 pages, 13 figures, accepted by MNRA

Killing the Straw Man: Does BICEP Prove Inflation at the GUT Scale?

The surprisingly large value of $r$, the ratio of power in tensor to scalar density perturbations in the CMB reported by the BICEP2 Collaboration, if confirmed, provides strong evidence for Inflation at the GUT scale. While the Inflationary signal remains the best motivated source, a large value of $r$ alone would still allow for the possibility that a comparable gravitational wave background might result from a self ordering scalar field (SOSF) transition that takes place later at somewhat lower energy. We find that even without detailed considerations of the predicted BICEP signature of such a transition, simple existing limits on the isocurvature contribution to CMB anisotropies would definitively rule out a contribution of more than $5\%$ to $r \approx 0.2$,. We also present a general relation for the allowed fractional SOSF contribution to $r$ as a function of the ultimate measured value of $r$. These results point strongly not only to an inflationary origin of the BICEP2 signal, if confirmed, but also to the fact that if the GUT scale is of order $10^{16} GeV$ then either the GUT transition happens before Inflation or the Inflationary transition and the GUT transition must be one and the same.Comment: 3 pages 2 figures, accepted for publication in Physics Letters B . Accepted version revised slightly in response to referee's comment

CP Violation and Moduli Stabilization in Heterotic Models

The role of moduli stabilization in predictions for CP violation is examined in the context of four-dimensional effective supergravity models obtained from the weakly coupled heterotic string. We point out that while stabilization of compactification moduli has been studied extensively, the determination of background values for other scalars by dynamical means has not been subjected to the same degree of scrutiny. These other complex scalars are important potential sources of CP violation and we show in a simple model how their background values (including complex phases) may be determined from the minimization of the supergravity scalar potential, subject to the constraint of vanishing cosmological constant.Comment: 8 Pages. Based on a talk given at the CP Violation Conference, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, November 4-18, 2001, correction to Eq. (27

Effect on smoking quit rate of telling patients their lung age: the Step2quit randomised controlled trial

Objective To evaluate the impact of telling patients their estimated spirometric lung age as an incentive to quit smoking.Design Randomised controlled trial.Setting Five general practices in Hertfordshire, England.Participants 561 current smokers aged over 35.Intervention All participants were offered spirometric assessment of lung function. Participants in intervention group received their results in terms of "lung age" (the age of the average healthy individual who would perform similar to them on spirometry). Those in the control group received a raw figure for forced expiratory volume at one second (FEV1). Both groups were advised to quit and offered referral to local NHS smoking cessation services.Main outcome measures The primary outcome measure was verified cessation of smoking by salivary cotinine testing 12 months after recruitment. Secondary outcomes were reported changes in daily consumption of cigarettes and identification of new diagnoses of chronic obstructive lung disease.Results Follow-up was 89%. Independently verified quit rates at 12 months in the intervention and control groups, respectively, were 13.6% and 6.4% (difference 7.2%, P=0.005, 95% confidence interval 2.2% to 12.1%; number needed to treat 14). People with worse spirometric lung age were no more likely to have quit than those with normal lung age in either group. Cost per successful quitter was estimated at 280 pound ((euro) 365, $556). A new diagnosis of obstructive lung disease was made in 17% in the intervention group and 14% in the control group; a total of 16% (89/561) of participants.Conclusion Telling smokers their lung age significantly improves the likelihood of them quitting smoking, but the mechanism by which this intervention achieves its effect is unclear.Trial registration National Research Register N0096173751

Competing bounds on the present-day time variation of fundamental constants

We compare the sensitivity of a recent bound on time variation of the fine structure constant from optical clocks with bounds on time varying fundamental constants from atomic clocks sensitive to the electron-to-proton mass ratio, from radioactive decay rates in meteorites, and from the Oklo natural reactor. Tests of the Weak Equivalence Principle also lead to comparable bounds on present variations of constants. The "winner in sensitivity" depends on what relations exist between the variations of different couplings in the standard model of particle physics, which may arise from the unification of gauge interactions. WEP tests are currently the most sensitive within unified scenarios. A detection of time variation in atomic clocks would favour dynamical dark energy and put strong constraints on the dynamics of a cosmological scalar field.Comment: ~4 Phys Rev page

Surface oscillations in channeled snow flows

An experimental device has been built to measure velocity profiles and friction laws in channeled snow flows. The measurements show that the velocity depends linearly on the vertical position in the flow and that the friction coefficient is a first-order polynomial in velocity (u) and thickness (h) of the flow. In all flows, oscillations on the surface of the flow were observed throughout the channel and measured at the location of the probes. The experimental results are confronted with a shallow water approach. Using a Saint-Venant modeling, we show that the flow is effectively uniform in the streamwise direction at the measurement location. We show that the surface oscillations produced by the Archimedes's screw at the top of the channel persist throughout the whole length of the channel and are the source of the measured oscillations. This last result provides good validation of the description of such channeled snow flows by a Saint-Venant modeling