Using panel data to estimate the effect of rainfall shocks on smallholders food security and vulnerability in rural Ethiopia

Ethiopia's agriculture is predominantly rainfed and hence any irregularity in weather conditions has adverse welfare implications. Using panel data, this paper analyzes the effect of rainfall shocks on Ethiopian rural households' food security and vulnerability over time while controlling for a range of other factors. To this end, we generated a time-variant household food security index which is developed by principal components analysis. Based on the scores of the index, households were classified into relative food security groups and their socioeconomic differences were assessed. The exploratory results show that compared to the less secured households, the more secured ones have male and literate household heads, tend to have a greater number of economically active household members, own more livestock, experience better rainfall outcome, participate in equb (a local savings group), and use chemical fertilizer. Fixed effects regression was used to identify the factors which affect the score's variability and the results indicate that rainfall shock is an important factor affecting households' food security over time. It is also noted that household size, head's age, participation in equb, off-farm activities, use of fertilizer, and livestock ownership positively and significantly affect the food security score. Results from multinomial logistic regression model reinforce the fixed effects regression results by showing the strong association of persistent food insecurity and vulnerability with adverse rainfall shock. A number of conclusions can be drawn from the results which are useful for policymakers as well as for agencies that engage in areas of risk and food security.food security, principal components analysis, rainfall, panel data, Ethiopia, Food Security and Poverty, Research Methods/ Statistical Methods, Q18, C13,

Using panel data to estimate the effect of rainfall shocks on smallholders food security and vulnerability in rural Ethiopia

Ethiopia's agriculture is predominantly rainfed and hence any irregularity in weather conditions has adverse welfare implications. Using panel data, this paper analyzes the effect of rainfall shocks on Ethiopian rural households' food security and vulnerability over time while controlling for a range of other factors. To this end, we generated a time-variant household food security index which is developed by principal components analysis. Based on the scores of the index, households were classified into relative food security groups and their socioeconomic differences were assessed. The exploratory results show that compared to the less secured households, the more secured ones have male and literate household heads, tend to have a greater number of economically active household members, own more livestock, experience better rainfall outcome, participate in equb (a local savings group), and use chemical fertilizer. Fixed effects regression was used to identify the factors which affect the score's variability and the results indicate that rainfall shock is an important factor affecting households' food security over time. It is also noted that household size, head's age, participation in equb, off-farm activities, use of fertilizer, and livestock ownership positively and significantly affect the food security score. Results from multinomial logistic regression model reinforce the fixed effects regression results by showing the strong association of persistent food insecurity and vulnerability with adverse rainfall shock. A number of conclusions can be drawn from the results which are useful for policymakers as well as for agencies that engage in areas of risk and food security

Does Reading-While-Listening Enhance Students' Reading Fluency? Preliminary Results from School Experiments in Rural Uganda

Although studies on the effects of Reading While Listening (RWL) to audiobooks on students' reading fluency is limited, the available emerging literature consistently demonstrates its favourable contribution to improve reading fluency. Since improving fluency is an important instructional goal of primary schools, understanding the role of RWL to audiobooks in improving reading fluency is essential. The goal of the study was to assess the impact of RWL to audiobooks on reading fluency. To achieve this goal, we conducted a randomized controlled experiment using forty six students enrolled in grade 3 at Hadassa Primary School in rural Mbale, Uganda.The significance of the study underscores the current inefficiencies within classrooms globally and the ease with which simple interventions can be implemented to improve fluency.  Limitations of the study are discussed. Keywords: Reading While Listening (RWL); reading fluency; randomized control trial; The Walking School Bus; Uganda; audioboo

Determinants of Adoption of Improved Crossbred Cattles: A Case Study of Suba and Laikipia Districts, Kenya

Recognizing that more than 10% of the Kenyan GDP and 50% of agricultural GDP are comprised of sales within the livestock subsector; the purpose of this research is to identify the determinants of adoption of improved crossbred cattle in rural Kenya. This research has important implications for increasing the dairy subsectors’ productivity, improving nutrient intake within rural Kenya and motivating higher rates of foreign direct investment in a sustainable, beneficial sector. We used a publicly available (www.ifpri.org) dataset called "Land Tenure, Agricultural Productivity and the Environment, 2001." A logistical regression analysis is employed to answer our research questions. The results showed that: family members education, having an extra job in addition to farming, and exposure to external market forces (was the farmer a local, or immigrant) all greatly contributed to the likelihood of adoption. This research aims to gnaw away at the ambiguity and lack of research associated with the Kenyan dairy sub-sector and aims to facilitate greater understanding and investment in the sector. Keywords: Adoption, Logistic regression, Kenya, Crossbreed cattl

The prevalence of infertility and factors associated with infertility in Ethiopia:Analysis of Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS)

Background Despite having a high fertility rate, low-resource countries are also home to couples with infertility problems. Although many couples are suffering from the psychological impacts of infertility, its level and determinants are not adequately known. The main objective of this study is to assess the prevalence and factors associated with infertility among couples in Ethiopia using the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) data. Method The study employed a cross-sectional study design extracting variables from the 2016 EDHS. The study included all married or cohabitating women aged 15 to 49 years in the Couples Recode (CR) file data set. Weighted samples of 6141 respondents were analyzed. We used Stata 14 software for analyzing the data. The association of selected independent variables with primary, secondary, and total infertility was analyzed using a logistic regression model. We presented the results using an adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) and a p-value &lt;0.05 as a cut-off point for declaring statistical significance. Results The prevalence of infertility in the past 12 months was 24.2% (95% CI: 23.1-25.3%), of which the majority (90.7%) was secondary infertility. Greater than 35 years of age (AOR = 2.45, 95% CI (1.58-3.79)), rural residence (AOR = 1.06, 95% CI (1.01-1.39)), smoking (AOR = 2.29, 95% CI (1.39-3.77)), and &lt;18.5 Body Mass Index (BMI) (AOR = 1.71, 95% CI (1.43-2.04)) were significantly associated with infertility. Conversely, infertility was less likely among women with formal education and better wealth index. Primary infertility was significantly higher among women whose partners drink alcohol (AOR = 1.55; 95% CI 1.06-2.28)) and chew khat (AOR = 1.62; 95% CI (1.12-2.36)). Secondary infertility was significantly higher among women with &lt;18.5 BMI (AOR = 1.59, 95% CI (1.37-1.84)), &gt;30 BMI (AOR = 1.54; 95% CI 1.01-2.35)), and &lt;15 years of age at first birth (AOR = 1.40; 95% CI 1.15-1.69)). Conclusion More than one in five couples in Ethiopia has an infertility problem. Both male and femalerelated factors are associated with infertility. Primary infertility was significantly higher among women whose partner chews khat and drinks alcohol. Secondary infertility was significantly associated with being underweight, obese, smoking, and young age at first birth. Hence, taking action on preventable factors is the most critical treatment approach and will improve the health status of the couples in other ways.</p

The prevalence of infertility and factors associated with infertility in Ethiopia:Analysis of Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS)

Background Despite having a high fertility rate, low-resource countries are also home to couples with infertility problems. Although many couples are suffering from the psychological impacts of infertility, its level and determinants are not adequately known. The main objective of this study is to assess the prevalence and factors associated with infertility among couples in Ethiopia using the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) data. Method The study employed a cross-sectional study design extracting variables from the 2016 EDHS. The study included all married or cohabitating women aged 15 to 49 years in the Couples Recode (CR) file data set. Weighted samples of 6141 respondents were analyzed. We used Stata 14 software for analyzing the data. The association of selected independent variables with primary, secondary, and total infertility was analyzed using a logistic regression model. We presented the results using an adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) and a p-value &lt;0.05 as a cut-off point for declaring statistical significance. Results The prevalence of infertility in the past 12 months was 24.2% (95% CI: 23.1-25.3%), of which the majority (90.7%) was secondary infertility. Greater than 35 years of age (AOR = 2.45, 95% CI (1.58-3.79)), rural residence (AOR = 1.06, 95% CI (1.01-1.39)), smoking (AOR = 2.29, 95% CI (1.39-3.77)), and &lt;18.5 Body Mass Index (BMI) (AOR = 1.71, 95% CI (1.43-2.04)) were significantly associated with infertility. Conversely, infertility was less likely among women with formal education and better wealth index. Primary infertility was significantly higher among women whose partners drink alcohol (AOR = 1.55; 95% CI 1.06-2.28)) and chew khat (AOR = 1.62; 95% CI (1.12-2.36)). Secondary infertility was significantly higher among women with &lt;18.5 BMI (AOR = 1.59, 95% CI (1.37-1.84)), &gt;30 BMI (AOR = 1.54; 95% CI 1.01-2.35)), and &lt;15 years of age at first birth (AOR = 1.40; 95% CI 1.15-1.69)). Conclusion More than one in five couples in Ethiopia has an infertility problem. Both male and femalerelated factors are associated with infertility. Primary infertility was significantly higher among women whose partner chews khat and drinks alcohol. Secondary infertility was significantly associated with being underweight, obese, smoking, and young age at first birth. Hence, taking action on preventable factors is the most critical treatment approach and will improve the health status of the couples in other ways.</p

The prevalence of infertility and factors associated with infertility in Ethiopia:Analysis of Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS)

Background Despite having a high fertility rate, low-resource countries are also home to couples with infertility problems. Although many couples are suffering from the psychological impacts of infertility, its level and determinants are not adequately known. The main objective of this study is to assess the prevalence and factors associated with infertility among couples in Ethiopia using the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) data. Method The study employed a cross-sectional study design extracting variables from the 2016 EDHS. The study included all married or cohabitating women aged 15 to 49 years in the Couples Recode (CR) file data set. Weighted samples of 6141 respondents were analyzed. We used Stata 14 software for analyzing the data. The association of selected independent variables with primary, secondary, and total infertility was analyzed using a logistic regression model. We presented the results using an adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) and a p-value &lt;0.05 as a cut-off point for declaring statistical significance. Results The prevalence of infertility in the past 12 months was 24.2% (95% CI: 23.1-25.3%), of which the majority (90.7%) was secondary infertility. Greater than 35 years of age (AOR = 2.45, 95% CI (1.58-3.79)), rural residence (AOR = 1.06, 95% CI (1.01-1.39)), smoking (AOR = 2.29, 95% CI (1.39-3.77)), and &lt;18.5 Body Mass Index (BMI) (AOR = 1.71, 95% CI (1.43-2.04)) were significantly associated with infertility. Conversely, infertility was less likely among women with formal education and better wealth index. Primary infertility was significantly higher among women whose partners drink alcohol (AOR = 1.55; 95% CI 1.06-2.28)) and chew khat (AOR = 1.62; 95% CI (1.12-2.36)). Secondary infertility was significantly higher among women with &lt;18.5 BMI (AOR = 1.59, 95% CI (1.37-1.84)), &gt;30 BMI (AOR = 1.54; 95% CI 1.01-2.35)), and &lt;15 years of age at first birth (AOR = 1.40; 95% CI 1.15-1.69)). Conclusion More than one in five couples in Ethiopia has an infertility problem. Both male and femalerelated factors are associated with infertility. Primary infertility was significantly higher among women whose partner chews khat and drinks alcohol. Secondary infertility was significantly associated with being underweight, obese, smoking, and young age at first birth. Hence, taking action on preventable factors is the most critical treatment approach and will improve the health status of the couples in other ways.</p

Satisfaction with the Accessibility and Usefulness of Bundled CSA Practices for Rehabilitation of Degraded Landscapes

In Africa, particularly East Africa, more than 80% of the population depends on agriculture and the income generated from the sector that contributes about 30-40% to the regional Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Adesina, 2019). Ethiopia is the second most populated country in Africa with 80% of them are living in rural areas (Sakketa, 2022). Studies showed that many families in Ethiopia are unable to produce the necessary amount of food and generate income for their own subsistence and food security (Devereux and Sussex, 2000). The high levels of poverty coupled with the high population pressure, land degradation, and water scarcity are increasing the vulnerability of the country to climate change (Tadesse et al, 2021). Ethiopia is among one of the countries in East Africa at disproportionately higher risk of adverse consequences of climate change (Zermoglio et. al., N.A). The country is extremely vulnerable to various climate change events, and it is considered a climate hotspot where climate change poses grave threats to human well-being and natural environments (Aid, 2018). Climate variability and change are having significant direct and indirect impacts on agricultural production, agricultural value chains, food, and nutrition security as well as the overall sustainable growth of the sector in Ethiopia (Gitz et. al., 2016). The number of rainy days in the country has decreased perceptibly, which increases dry spells by 0.8 days per decade, causing crop moisture stress during the growing season. The mean annual temperature has been warming at a rate of 0.12 to 0.54 oC per decade and it is expected to rise by 1.4 to 4.1 oC by 2080. Average annual temperatures nationwide are expected to rise 3.1°C by 2060, and 5.1°C by 2090 (Rovin et al, 2013)

Khat chewing and its associated factors among pregnant women in Chiro district, eastern Ethiopia: a community-based study

IntroductionDespite its deleterious consequences, khat chewing is escalating worldwide. However, there is a lack of evidence about the extent of khat chewing among pregnant women in Ethiopia, particularly in the current study area. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the prevalence of current khat chewing and its associated factors among pregnant women in Chiro district, eastern Ethiopia.MethodsThis community-based cross-sectional study was conducted in Chiro district from November 1 to 30, 2022 G.C. Study participants were selected using the systematic random sampling technique. An interview-administered structured questionnaire was used to collect data through a house-to-house survey. The data were entered into EpiData version 3.1 and analyzed in STATA 14 software. Characteristics of study participants were summarized using descriptive analysis, and binary logistic regression was used to identify determinants of khat chewing.ResultsA total of 409 pregnant women participated in this study, with a response rate of 99%. The overall prevalence of khat chewing was 60.4% (95% CI: 55.5%, 65.2%). Religion (AOR: 2.08; 95% CI: 1.13, 3.82), khat cultivation (AOR: 0.43; 95% CI: 0.25, 0.77), partner khat use (AOR: 5.54; 95% CI: 3.11, 9.88), pre-pregnancy khat use (AOR: 9.95; 95% CI: 5.55, 17.81), antenatal care (ANC) visit (AOR: 2.71; 95% CI: 1.41, 5.21), and mental distress (AOR: 4.89; 95% CI: 2.38, 10.02) were significantly associated with current khat chewing.ConclusionThe majority of pregnant women in the study area practice khat chewing. Thus, accessible and comprehensive pre-conception and pre-natal care incorporating the prevention and management of antenatal khat chewing is crucial to overcome this problem. Provision of mental healthcare involving partners of pregnant women is also important to reduce the extent and impacts of khat chewing during pregnancy. Further longitudinal studies triangulated with qualitative designs are recommended