1,796 research outputs found
Review of Ronald E. Emmerick and Dieter Weber (ed.): 'Corolla Iranica: Papers in honour of Prof. Dr. David Neil MacKenzie on the occasion of his 65th birthday on April 8th, 1991'
Review of 'Corpus Inscriptionum Iranicarum. Part III: Pahlavi Inscriptions. Vol. IV. Ostraca and Vol. V. Papyri. Texts I: Ostraca, Papyri und Pergamente: Textband by Dieter Weber'
Assessment of flood damages and benefits of remedial actions: "What are the weak links?"; with application to the Loire
Flood damage models are used to determine the impact of measures to reduce damage due to river flooding. Such models are characterized by uncertainty. This uncertainty may affect the decisions made on the basis of the model outcomes. To reduce uncertainty effectively, the most important sources of uncertainty must be found. Uncertainty analysis serves this purpose.\ud
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By way of a questionnaire experts were asked about their judgment of the significance of uncertainty sources in flood damage assessment. The results of this questionnaire are compared to an uncertainty analysis by Monte Carlo Simulation, which Torterotot (1993) applied to the French model CIFLUPEDE.\ud
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The paper concludes that the role of uncertainty in flood damage assessment is highly significant and cannot be neglected. Both the experts and the analysis on the flood damage assessment model indicate the hydrologic relations ‘frequence of occurrence — river discharge — river water level’ and the damage estimates as the most important uncertainty sources. For embanked rivers dike breach is the most significant uncertainty source.\ud
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A question which appears is, taking into account these uncertainties, to what level of precision can flood damage assessment models predict the expected annual flood damage and the costs and revenues of flood alleviation measures? It is of importance to explore the boundaries of flood damage modeling and to try to find ways to move these boundaries. The uncertainty analysis presented in this paper can be seen as one more step on the way to this goal
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[Mario Duchesneau : Walk-In Progress : La finale // Manuela Lalic : Rationaliser une fin de party // Dominique Rey : Vénus au miroir = Selling Venus]
[Annie Conceicao Rivet, Martin Cuillerier et Ziad Naccache : En suspens // RACAM : Facettes // I8U : Proximité]
[LDC : Le Dernier Cri : DC 10 : Vomir des yeux // Sylvain Bouthillette : Blastronaute // Colin de la Plante (alias The Mole)]
[Carl Bouchard & Martin Dufrasne : Il est trop tard maintenant // Paul P. : An Important Age // Éric Simon]
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