Evaluation of an MRI-based screening pathway for prostate cancer

In recent years there has been a wealth of debate regarding prostate cancer screening, with a concurrent increase in new imaging techniques for prostate cancer diagnosis. Imaging has been the technique of choice in lung and breast cancer screening programmes but has not been explored for prostate cancer screening. Herein, this thesis explores the role of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as a new approach to screen for prostate cancer. Following an introduction to the current screening landscape, my thesis focuses on the development and validation of a fast MRI, known as a prostagram, that could serve as a viable image-based screening test. Evaluation of this new technique is performed within a prospective, population-based, blinded, cohort study which was conducted at seven primary care practices and two imaging centres. A diverse array of performance characteristics of fast MRI are compared to PSA. These encompass biopsy rates, cancer detection rates, diagnostic accuracy and patient reported experience measures. The second half of this thesis focuses on further optimising the fast MRI protocol for screening and exploring methods of integrating it into an alternative screening pathway. The outcomes point towards a pathway which combines a low threshold PSA and a fast MRI as yielding a more acceptable balance between benefits and harms. This is followed by the development of a risk tool to address the challenges of equivocal MRI lesions. Overall my thesis provides a balanced evaluation of fast MRI as a new screening test and the final chapter highlights outstanding challenges that must be addressed for fast MRI to progress as a legitimate screening modality. There is a requirement for all new screening tests to be evaluated in robust randomised controlled trials and the thesis concludes by setting out a phased research framework for fast MRI to enable a full evaluation over the next decade.Open Acces

Diagnostic value of MRI-based PSA density in predicting transperineal sector-guided prostate biopsy outcomes

PURPOSE: Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) density (PSAD) has potential to increase the diagnostic utility of PSA, yet has had poor uptake in clinical practice. We aimed to determine the diagnostic value of magnetic resonance imaging-derived PSAD (MR-PSAD) in predicting transperineal sector-guided prostate biopsy (TPSB) outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Men presenting for primary TPSB from 2007 to 2014 were considered. Histological outcomes were assessed and defined as: presence of any cancer or significant cancer defined as presence of Gleason 4 and/or maximum tumour core length (MCCL) ≥ 4 mm (G4); or Gleason 4 and/or MCCL ≥ 6 mm (G6). Sensitivity, specificity and positive and negative predictive values were calculated, and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves were generated to compare MR-PSAD and PSA. RESULTS: Six hundred fifty-nine men were evaluated with mean age 62.5 ± 9 years, median PSA 6.7 ng/ml (range 0.5-40.0), prostate volume 40 cc (range 7-187) and MR-PSAD 0.15 ng/ml/cc (range 0.019-1.3). ROC area under the curve (95% CI) was significantly better for MR-PSAD than PSA for all cancer definitions (p < 0.001): 0.73 (0.70-0.76) versus 0.61 (0.57-0.64) for any cancer; 0.75 (0.71-0.78) versus 0.66 (0.62-0.69) for G4; and 0.77 (0.74-0.80) versus 0.68 (0.64-0.71) for G6. Sensitivities for MR-PSAD < 0.1 ng/ml/cc were 85.0, 89.9 and 91.9% for any, G4 and G6 cancer, respectively. CONCLUSION: MR-PSAD may be better than total PSA in determining risk of positive biopsy outcome. Its use may improve risk stratification and reduce unnecessary biopsies

Multiparametric ultrasound versus multiparametric MRI to diagnose prostate cancer (CADMUS): a prospective, multicentre, paired-cohort, confirmatory study

BACKGROUND: Multiparametric MRI of the prostate followed by targeted biopsy is recommended for patients at risk of prostate cancer. However, multiparametric ultrasound is more readily available than multiparametric MRI. Data from paired-cohort validation studies and randomised, controlled trials support the use of multiparametric MRI, whereas the evidence for individual ultrasound methods and multiparametric ultrasound is only derived from case series. We aimed to establish the overall agreement between multiparametric ultrasound and multiparametric MRI to diagnose clinically significant prostate cancer. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, multicentre, paired-cohort, confirmatory study in seven hospitals in the UK. Patients at risk of prostate cancer, aged 18 years or older, with an elevated prostate-specific antigen concentration or abnormal findings on digital rectal examination underwent both multiparametric ultrasound and multiparametric MRI. Multiparametric ultrasound consisted of B-mode, colour Doppler, real-time elastography, and contrast-enhanced ultrasound. Multiparametric MRI included high-resolution T2-weighted images, diffusion-weighted imaging (dedicated high B 1400 s/mm2 or 2000 s/mm2 and apparent diffusion coefficient map), and dynamic contrast-enhanced axial T1-weighted images. Patients with positive findings on multiparametric ultrasound or multiparametric MRI underwent targeted biopsies but were masked to their test results. If both tests yielded positive findings, the order of targeting at biopsy was randomly assigned (1:1) using stratified (according to centre only) block randomisation with randomly varying block sizes. The co-primary endpoints were the proportion of positive lesions on, and agreement between, multiparametric MRI and multiparametric ultrasound in identifying suspicious lesions (Likert score of ≥3), and detection of clinically significant cancer (defined as a Gleason score of ≥4 + 3 in any area or a maximum cancer core length of ≥6 mm of any grade [PROMIS definition 1]) in those patients who underwent a biopsy. Adverse events were defined according to Good Clinical Practice and trial regulatory guidelines. The trial is registered on ISRCTN, 38541912, and ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02712684, with recruitment and follow-up completed. FINDINGS: Between March 15, 2016, and Nov 7, 2019, 370 eligible patients were enrolled; 306 patients completed both multiparametric ultrasound and multiparametric MRI and 257 underwent a prostate biopsy. Multiparametric ultrasound was positive in 272 (89% [95% CI 85-92]) of 306 patients and multiparametric MRI was positive in 238 patients (78% [73-82]; difference 11·1% [95% CI 5·1-17·1]). Positive test agreement was 73·2% (95% CI 67·9-78·1; κ=0·06 [95% CI -0·56 to 0·17]). Any cancer was detected in 133 (52% [95% CI 45·5-58]) of 257 patients, with 83 (32% [26-38]) of 257 being clinically significant by PROMIS definition 1. Each test alone would result in multiparametric ultrasound detecting PROMIS definition 1 cancer in 66 (26% [95% CI 21-32]) of 257 patients who had biopsies and multiparametric MRI detecting it in 77 (30% [24-36]; difference -4·3% [95% CI -8·3% to -0·3]). Combining both tests detected 83 (32% [95% CI 27-38]) of 257 clinically significant cancers as per PROMIS definition 1; of these 83 cancers, six (7% [95% CI 3-15]) were detected exclusively with multiparametric ultrasound, and 17 (20% [12-31]) were exclusively detected by multiparametric MRI (agreement 91·1% [95% CI 86·9-94·2]; κ=0·78 [95% CI 0·69-0·86]). No serious adverse events were related to trial activity. INTERPRETATION: Multiparametric ultrasound detected 4·3% fewer clinically significant prostate cancers than multiparametric MRI, but it would lead to 11·1% more patients being referred for a biopsy. Multiparametric ultrasound could be an alternative to multiparametric MRI as a first test for patients at risk of prostate cancer, particularly if multiparametric MRI cannot be carried out. Both imaging tests missed clinically significant cancers detected by the other, so the use of both would increase the detection of clinically significant prostate cancers compared with using each test alone. FUNDING: The Jon Moulton Charity Trust, Prostate Cancer UK, and UCLH Charity and Barts Charity

An economic evaluation of Alexander Technique lessons or acupuncture sessions for patients with chronic neck pain : A randomized trial (ATLAS)

OBJECTIVES: To assess the cost-effectiveness of acupuncture and usual care, and Alexander Technique lessons and usual care, compared with usual GP care alone for chronic neck pain patients. METHODS: An economic evaluation was undertaken alongside the ATLAS trial, taking both NHS and wider societal viewpoints. Participants were offered up to twelve acupuncture sessions or twenty Alexander lessons (equivalent overall contact time). Costs were in pounds sterling. Effectiveness was measured using the generic EQ-5D to calculate quality adjusted life years (QALYs), as well as using a specific neck pain measure-the Northwick Park Neck Pain Questionnaire (NPQ). RESULTS: In the base case analysis, incremental QALY gains were 0.032 and 0.025 in the acupuncture and Alexander groups, respectively, in comparison to usual GP care, indicating moderate health benefits for both interventions. Incremental costs were £451 for acupuncture and £667 for Alexander, mainly driven by intervention costs. Acupuncture was likely to be cost-effective (ICER = £18,767/QALY bootstrapped 95% CI £4,426 to £74,562) and was robust to most sensitivity analyses. Alexander lessons were not cost-effective at the lower NICE threshold of £20,000/QALY (£25,101/QALY bootstrapped 95% CI -£150,208 to £248,697) but may be at £30,000/QALY, however, there was considerable statistical uncertainty in all tested scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: In comparison with usual care, acupuncture is likely to be cost-effective for chronic neck pain, whereas, largely due to higher intervention costs, Alexander lessons are unlikely to be cost-effective. However, there were high levels of missing data and further research is needed to assess the long-term cost-effectiveness of these interventions

Medium- to long-term outcomes of botulinum toxin A for idiopathic overactive bladder

Botulinum toxin A (BoNT-A) has become an important therapeutic tool in the management of refractory overactive bladder (OAB). Over the last decade, there have been growing numbers of patients receiving repeat injections and these outcomes have begun to be reported in large, high-quality cohorts. This article reviews the current evidence for the medium- to long-term use of BoNT-A in adults with idiopathic detrusor overactivity (IDO) receiving repeat injections. We find that medium-term outcomes are encouraging but long-term outcomes are not as extensively reported. There is high-quality evidence that efficacy following the first injection persists across multiple treatment cycles. There are no additional safety concerns from repeat injections up to six treatment cycles. However, there is a need for further data to confirm the efficacy and safety of BoNT-A beyond the follow-up period in the current literature

An unrecognised case of metabolic acidosis following neobladder augmentation cystoplasty

Introduction: We present a case where there was a delay in the diagnosis of severe metabolic acidosis in a patient with an orthotopic neobladder. There are a growing number of patients with orthotopic neobladders and a wider range of clinicians are encountering these patients. A delay in the diagnosis can lead to significant morbidity but if identified early it can be easily treated. Presentation of case: A 59-year old patient with a recent neobladder augmentation cystoplasty was admitted under the medical team with a metabolic acidosis which was incorrectly presumed to be secondary to urosepsis. His condition rapidly deteriorated until a surgical review identified hyperchloremic metabolic acidosis secondary to neobladder augmentation. The patient required admission to the intensive care unit where he was treated with intravenous alkalising therapy which produced rapid metabolic improvement. Following a full recovery, he underwent neo-bladder excision and ileal conduit formation. Discussion: Hyperchloraemic metabolic acidosis develops due to the bowel segment absorbing urinary constituents including ammonium, hydrogen ions and chloride in exchange for sodium and bicarbonate. It can be diagnosed by careful interpretation of the arterial blood gas and calculation of the anion gap. This hyperchloraemic metabolic acidosis can be corrected with alkalizing agents combined with catheterisation. Conclusion: Hyperchloremic metabolic acidosis is a well-established complication of urinary diversion. Patient with orthotopic neobladder with high residual urine and large capacity are at even higher risk of metabolic acidosis. This information should be clearly documented in the post-operative discharge documentation to ensure early recognition by non-specialists

Adjusting for verification bias in diagnostic accuracy measures when comparing multiple screening tests - an application to the IP1-PROSTAGRAM study

INTRODUCTION: Novel screening tests used to detect a target condition are compared against either a reference standard or other existing screening methods. However, as it is not always possible to apply the reference standard on the whole population under study, verification bias is introduced. Statistical methods exist to adjust estimates to account for this bias. We extend common methods to adjust for verification bias when multiple tests are compared to a reference standard using data from a prospective double blind screening study for prostate cancer. METHODS: Begg and Greenes method and multiple imputation are extended to include the results of multiple screening tests which determine condition verification status. These two methods are compared to the complete case analysis using the IP1-PROSTAGRAM study data. IP1-PROSTAGRAM used a paired-cohort double-blind design to evaluate the use of imaging as alternative tests to screen for prostate cancer, compared to a blood test called prostate specific antigen (PSA). Participants with positive imaging (index) and/or PSA (control) underwent a prostate biopsy (reference standard). RESULTS: When comparing complete case results to Begg and Greenes and methods of multiple imputation there is a statistically significant increase in the specificity estimates for all screening tests. Sensitivity estimates remained similar across the methods, with completely overlapping 95% confidence intervals. Negative predictive value (NPV) estimates were higher when adjusting for verification bias, compared to complete case analysis, even though the 95% confidence intervals overlap. Positive predictive value (PPV) estimates were similar across all methods. CONCLUSION: Statistical methods are required to adjust for verification bias in accuracy estimates of screening tests. Expanding Begg and Greenes method to include multiple screening tests can be computationally intensive, hence multiple imputation is recommended, especially as it can be modified for low prevalence of the target condition. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12874-021-01481-w