Historical overview of development in methods to estimate burden of disease due to congenital disorders.

Congenital disorders (often also called birth defects) are an important cause of mortality and disability. They encompass a wide range of disorders with differing severity that can affect any aspect of structure or function. Understanding their epidemiology is important in developing appropriate services both for their prevention and treatment. The need for epidemiological data on congenital disorders has been recognised for many decades. Here, we provide a historical overview of work that has led to the development of the Modell Global Database of Congenital Disorders (MGDb)-a tool that can be used to generate evidence-based country, regional and global estimates of the birth prevalence and outcomes of congenital disorders

Estimates of global and regional prevalence of neural tube defects for 2015: a systematic analysis.

Neural tube defects (NTDs) are associated with substantial mortality, morbidity, disability, and psychological and economic costs. Many are preventable with folic acid, and access to appropriate services for those affected can improve survival and quality of life. We used a compartmental model to estimate global and regional birth prevalence of NTDs (live births, stillbirths, and elective terminations of pregnancy) and subsequent under-5 mortality. Data were identified through web-based reviews of birth defect registry databases and systematic literature reviews. Meta-analyses were undertaken where appropriate. For 2015, our model estimated 260,100 (uncertainty interval (UI): 213,800-322,000) NTD-affected birth outcomes worldwide (prevalence 18.6 (15.3-23.0)/10,000 live births). Approximately 50% of cases were elective terminations of pregnancy for fetal anomalies (UI: 59,300 (47,900-74,500)) or stillbirths (57,800 (UI: 35,000-88,600)). Of NTD-affected live births, 117,900 (∼75%) (UI: 105,500-186,600) resulted in under-5 deaths. Our systematic review showed a paucity of high-quality data in the regions of the world with the highest burden. Despite knowledge about prevention, NTDs remain highly prevalent worldwide. Lack of surveillance and incomplete ascertainment of affected pregnancies make NTDs invisible to policy makers. Improved surveillance of all adverse outcomes is needed to improve the robustness of total NTD prevalence estimation, evaluate effectiveness of prevention through folic acid fortification, and improve outcomes through care and rehabilitation

Estimating the birth prevalence and pregnancy outcomes of congenital malformations worldwide

Congenital anomaly registries have two main surveillance aims: firstly to define baseline epidemiology of important congenital anomalies to facilitate programme, policy and resource planning, and secondly to identify clusters of cases and any other epidemiological changes that could give early warning of environmental or infectious hazards. However, setting up a sustainable registry and surveillance system is resource-intensive requiring national infrastructure for recording all cases and diagnostic facilities to identify those malformations that that are not externally visible. Consequently, not all countries have yet established robust surveillance systems. For these countries, methods are needed to generate estimates of prevalence of these disorders which can act as a starting point for assessing disease burden and service implications. Here, we describe how registry data from high-income settings can be used for generating reference rates that can be used as provisional estimates for countries with little or no observational data on non-syndromic congenital malformations

The CHIME Graduate Programme in Health Informatics Background to the Programme: Health Informatics in the UK

Abstract I

Epidemiological Methods in Community Genetics and the Modell Global Database of Congenital Disorders (MGDb)

The Articles and Annexes contained within this document constitute the most fine-grained description of the methods and approaches devised in the course of a large collaborative exercise since the 1980s to make estimates of the epidemiology and associated health burden of congenital disorders. The work began at a scientific meeting at WHO Headquarters in Geneva, and has continued in various forms ever since, with input from more individuals than it is possible to acknowledge via the conventional methods of shared authorship. This document is a work in progress, and so its various portions are under development, in the course of which they have been shared with members of the international collaborative group. As the component texts reach the requisite level of maturity, will be added to this document to enable wider consultation with the global community of interested parties. Earlier access to some or all of the texts may be possible – contact [email protected] and [email protected] to discuss this

Epidemiological Methods in Community Genetics and the Modell Global Database of Congenital Disorders (MGDb)

The Articles and Annexes contained within this document constitute the most fine-grained description of the methods and approaches devised in the course of a large collaborative exercise since the 1980s to make estimates of the epidemiology and associated health burden of congenital disorders. The work began at a scientific meeting at WHO Headquarters in Geneva, and has continued in various forms ever since, with input from more individuals than it is possible to acknowledge via the conventional methods of shared authorship. This document is a work in progress, and so its various portions are under development, in the course of which they have been shared with members of the international collaborative group. As the component texts reach the requisite level of maturity, will be added to this document to enable wider consultation with the global community of interested parties. Earlier access to some or all of the texts may be possible – contact [email protected] and [email protected] to discuss this

Congenital disorders: epidemiological methods for answering calls for action.

The importance of congenital disorders (also called birth defects) as a cause of early death and disability becomes increasingly apparent as countries pass through the development window and background mortality falls (Malherbe et al. 2015). Consequently, there is growing recognition of the need for their care and prevention, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. In 2010, the World Health Assembly (WHA) expressed concern that birth defects are still not recognised as a priority in public health, and called upon its member states to strengthen the prevention of congenital disorders and provision of care for those affected (World Health Assembly 2010). Nevertheless, the 2015 International Conference on Birth Defects and Disabilities in the Developing World concluded that “as the Sustainable Development Goals are adopted by United Nations member states, children with congenital disorders remain left behind in policies, programs, research, and funding” (Darmstadt et al. 2016). In fact, two WHO regional offices (those for the Eastern Mediterranean and South-East Asia) have responded to the call from World Health Assembly. In the process, both have encountered important barriers to the development of health policy in this area. Firstly, policy requires a sound epidemiological base, but in most middle- and low-income countries, the combination of (a) limited resources for the correct and accurate diagnosis of congenital disorders and (b) inadequate information systems leads to gross under-estimation of the contribution of congenital disorders to early death and disability (Christianson et al. 2006; Christianson and Modell 2004; World Health Organization 1999). Secondly, the extreme diversity of congenital disorders makes them difficult to grasp collectively at a strategic public health level. Thirdly, these problems are compounded by failure to agree and implement precise and rigorous technical terminology (World Health Organization 2006). The database described in the following articles—the Modell Global Database of Congenital Disorders (MGDb)—has been developed in order to overcome these barriers to service development