Improving the consumer demand forecast to generate more accurate suggested orders at the store-item level

Thesis (M.B.A.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management; and, (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Mechanical Engineering; in conjunction with the Leaders for Manufacturing Program at MIT, 2008.Includes bibliographical references (p. 57).One of the biggest opportunities for this consumer goods company today is reducing retail stockouts at its Direct Store Delivery (DSD) customers via pre-selling, which represents approximately 70% of the company's total sales volume. But reducing retail stock-outs is becoming constantly more challenging with an ever-burgeoning number of SKUs due to new product introductions and packaging innovations. The main tool this consumer goods company uses to combat retail stock-outs is the pre-sell handheld, which the company provides to all field sales reps. The handheld runs proprietary software developed by this consumer goods company that creates suggested orders based on a number of factors including: * Baseline forecast (specific to store-item combination) * Seasonality effects (i.e., higher demand for products during particular seasons) * Promotional effects (i.e., lift created from sale prices) * Presence of in-store displays (i.e., more space for product than just shelf space) * Weekday effects (i.e., selling more on weekends when most people shop) * Holiday effects (i.e., higher demand for products at holidays) * Inventory levels on the shelves and in the back room * In-transit orders (i.e., orders that may already be on their way to the customer) The more accurate that the suggested orders are, the fewer retail stock-outs will occur. This project seeks to increase the accuracy of the consumer demand forecast, and ultimately the suggested orders, by improving the baseline forecast and accounting for the effect of cannibalization on demand.by Susan D. Bankston.S.M.M.B.A

Pond aeration

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A candidate multimodal functional genetic network for thermal adaptation

Vertebrate ectotherms such as reptiles provide ideal organisms for the study of adaptation to environmental thermal change. Comparative genomic and exomic studies can recover markers that diverge between warm and cold adapted lineages, but the genes that are functionally related to thermal adaptation may be difficult to identify. We here used a bioinformatics genome-mining approach to predict and identify functions for suitable candidate markers for thermal adaptation in the chicken. We first established a framework of candidate functions for such markers, and then compiled the literature on genes known to adapt to the thermal environment in different lineages of vertebrates. We then identified them in the genomes of human, chicken, and the lizard Anolis carolinensis, and established a functional genetic interaction network in the chicken. Surprisingly, markers initially identified from diverse lineages of vertebrates such as human and fish were all in close functional relationship with each other and more associated than expected by chance. This indicates that the general genetic functional network for thermoregulation and/or thermal adaptation to the environment might be regulated via similar evolutionarily conserved pathways in different vertebrate lineages. We were able to identify seven functions that were statistically overrepresented in this network, corresponding to four of our originally predicted functions plus three unpredicted functions. We describe this network as multimodal: central regulator genes with the function of relaying thermal signal (1), affect genes with different cellular functions, namely (2) lipoprotein metabolism, (3) membrane channels, (4) stress response, (5) response to oxidative stress, (6) muscle contraction and relaxation, and (7) vasodilation, vasoconstriction and regulation of blood pressure. This network constitutes a novel resource for the study of thermal adaptation in the closely related nonavian reptiles and other vertebrate ectotherms

Kinome rewiring reveals AURKA limits PI3K-pathway inhibitor efficacy in breast cancer.

Dysregulation of the PI3K-AKT-mTOR signaling network is a prominent feature of breast cancers. However, clinical responses to drugs targeting this pathway have been modest, possibly because of dynamic changes in cellular signaling that drive resistance and limit drug efficacy. Using a quantitative chemoproteomics approach, we mapped kinome dynamics in response to inhibitors of this pathway and identified signaling changes that correlate with drug sensitivity. Maintenance of AURKA after drug treatment was associated with resistance in breast cancer models. Incomplete inhibition of AURKA was a common source of therapy failure, and combinations of PI3K, AKT or mTOR inhibitors with the AURKA inhibitor MLN8237 were highly synergistic and durably suppressed mTOR signaling, resulting in apoptosis and tumor regression in vivo. This signaling map identifies survival factors whose presence limits the efficacy of targeted therapies and reveals new drug combinations that may unlock the full potential of PI3K-AKT-mTOR pathway inhibitors in breast cancer

Neuroinflammation, Mast Cells, and Glia: Dangerous Liaisons

The perspective of neuroinflammation as an epiphenomenon following neuron damage is being replaced by the awareness of glia and their importance in neural functions and disorders. Systemic inflammation generates signals that communicate with the brain and leads to changes in metabolism and behavior, with microglia assuming a pro-inflammatory phenotype. Identification of potential peripheral-to-central cellular links is thus a critical step in designing effective therapeutics. Mast cells may fulfill such a role. These resident immune cells are found close to and within peripheral nerves and in brain parenchyma/meninges, where they exercise a key role in orchestrating the inflammatory process from initiation through chronic activation. Mast cells and glia engage in crosstalk that contributes to accelerate disease progression; such interactions become exaggerated with aging and increased cell sensitivity to stress. Emerging evidence for oligodendrocytes, independent of myelin and support of axonal integrity, points to their having strong immune functions, innate immune receptor expression, and production/response to chemokines and cytokines that modulate immune responses in the central nervous system while engaging in crosstalk with microglia and astrocytes. In this review, we summarize the findings related to our understanding of the biology and cellular signaling mechanisms of neuroinflammation, with emphasis on mast cell-glia interactions

A Small Angle Scattering Sensor System for the Characterization of Combustion Generated Particulate

One of the critical issues for the US space program is fire safety of the space station and future launch vehicles. A detailed understanding of the scattering signatures of particulate is essential for the development of a false alarm free fire detection system. This paper describes advanced optical instrumentation developed and applied for fire detection. The system is being designed to determine four important physical properties of disperse fractal aggregates and particulates including size distribution, number density, refractive indices, and fractal dimension. Combustion generated particulate are the primary detection target; however, in order to discriminate from other particulate, non-combustion generated particles should also be characterized. The angular scattering signature is measured and analyzed using two photon optical laser scattering. The Rayleigh-Debye-Gans (R-D-G) scattering theory for disperse fractal aggregates is utilized. The system consists of a pulsed laser module, detection module and data acquisition system and software to analyze the signals. The theory and applications are described

Endothelial Stomatal and Fenestral Diaphragms in Normal Vessels and Angiogenesis

Vascular endothelium lines the entire cardiovascular system where performs a series of vital functions including the control of microvascular permeability, coagulation inflammation, vascular tone as well as the formation of new vessels via vasculogenesis and angiogenesis in normal and disease states. Normal endothelium consists of heterogeneous populations of cells differentiated according to the vascular bed and segment of the vascular tree where they occur. One of the cardinal features is the expression of specific subcellular structures such as plasmalemmal vesicles or caveolae, transendothelial channels, vesiculo-vacuolar organelles, endothelial pockets and fenestrae, whose presence define several endothelial morphological types. A less explored observation is the differential expression of such structures in diverse settings of angiogenesis. This review will focus on the latest developments on the components, structure and function of these specific endothelial structures in normal endothelium as well as in diverse settings of angiogenesis

The priming effect of extracellular UTP on human neutrophils: Role of calcium released from thapsigargin-sensitive intracellular stores

P2Y2 receptors, which are equally responsive to ATP and UTP, can trigger intracellular signaling events, such as intracellular calcium mobilization and mitogen-activated protein (MAP) kinase phosphorylation in polymorphonuclear leukocytes (PMN). Moreover, extracellular nucleotides have been shown to prime chemoattractant-induced superoxide production. The aim of our study was to investigate the mechanism responsible for the priming effect of extracellular nucleotides on reactive oxygen species (ROS) production induced in human neutrophils by two different chemoattractants: formyl-methionyl-leucyl-phenylalanine (fMLP) and interleukin-8 (IL-8). Nucleotide-induced priming of ROS production was concentration- and time-dependent. When UTP was added to neutrophil suspensions prior to chemoattractant, the increase of the response reached the maximum at 1 min of pre-incubation with the nucleotide. UTP potentiated the phosphorylation of p44/42 and p38 MAP kinases induced by chemoattractants, however the P2 receptor-mediated potentiation of ROS production was still detectable in the presence of a SB203580 or U0126, supporting the view that MAP kinases do not play a major role in regulating the nucleotide-induced effect. In the presence of thapsigargin, an inhibitor of the ubiquitous sarco-endoplasmic reticulum Ca2+-ATPases in mammalian cells, the effect of fMLP was not affected, but UTP-induced priming was abolished, suggesting that the release of calcium from thapsigargin-sensitive intracellular stores is essential for nucleotide-induced priming in human neutrophils