Mortgage choices and housing speculation

We describe a rational expectations model in which speculative bubbles in house prices can emerge. Within this model both speculators and their lenders use interest-only mortgages (IOs) rather than traditional mortgages when there is a bubble. Absent a bubble, there is no tendency for IOs to be used. These insights are used to assess the extent to which house prices in US cities were driven by speculative bubbles over the period 2000-2008. We find that IOs were used sparingly in cities where elastic housing supply precludes speculation from arising. In cities with inelastic supply, where speculation is possible, there was heavy use of IOs, but only in cities that had boom-bust cycles. Peak IO usage predicts rapid appreciations that cannot be explained by standard correlates and this variable is more robustly correlated with rapid appreciations than other mortgage characteristics, including sub-prime, securitization and leverage. Where IOs were popular, their use does not appear to have been a response to houses becoming more expensive. Indeed, their use anticipated future appreciation. Finally, consistent with the reason why lenders prefer IOs, these mortgages are more likely to be repaid earlier or foreclose. Combined with our model, this evidence suggests that speculative bubbles were an important factor driving prices in cities with boom-bust cycles.Mortgage loans ; Mortgage-backed securities ; Housing - Prices

Mortgage choices and housing speculation

We describe a rational expectations model in which speculative bubbles in house prices can emerge. Within this model both speculators and their lenders use interest-only mortgages (IOs) rather than traditional mortgages when there is a bubble. Absent a bubble, there is no tendency for IOs to be used. These insights are used to assess the extent to which house prices in US cities were driven by speculative bubbles over the period 2000-2008. We find that IOs were used sparingly in cities where elastic housing supply precludes speculation from arising. In cities with inelastic supply, where speculation is possible, there was heavy use of IOs, but only in cities that had boom-bust cycles. Peak IO usage predicts rapid appreciations that cannot be explained by standard correlates and this variable is more robustly correlated with rapid appreciations than other mortgage characteristics, including sub-prime, securitization and leverage. Where IOs were popular, their use does not appear to have been a response to houses becoming more expensive. Indeed, their use anticipated future appreciation. Finally, consistent with the reason why lenders prefer IOs, these mortgages are more likely to be repaid earlier or foreclose. Combined with our model, this evidence suggests that speculative bubbles were an important factor driving prices in cities with boom-bust cycles

ANALISIS PENGARUH PENERAPAN BUDAYA TERHADAP KEBUTUHAN EKONOMI DAN PERILAKU MANAJEMEN KEUANGAN PADA MASYARAKAT ENDE LIO

Indonesia is a country that has diverse tribes and cultures. Each culture has different behavioral characteristics in terms of financial management that can affect the economic growth of a region. Wurumana culture is a local custom of the Ende Lio community which is related to the cycle of money circulation in the family which has become a tradition for generations. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of local culture (Wurumana) on Economic Needs, the effect of Economic Needs on Financial Management Behavior, the influence of Economic Needs on Financial Attitudes, and to determine the effect of Financial Attitudes on Financial Management Behavior of the Ende Lio community. The research method used in this study is a quantitative method using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) analysis tools using AMOS 22. The results of the study show that Wurumana Culture has a significant positive effect on Economic Conditions (H1), Economic Conditions are proven to have a significant positive effect on Management Behavior Financial (H2), Economic Conditions have a significant positive effect on Financial Attitudes (H3), and Financial Attitudes have a significant positive effect on Financial Management Behavior (H4)

PENGARUH LABA BERSIH, ARUS KAS OPERASI TERHADAP KEBIJAKAN DEVIDEN PERUSAHAAN MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

The research objectives (1) determine the effect of Net Income on Dividend Policy (2) to determine the effect of Operating Cash Flow on Dividend Policy (3) to determine the effect of Net Income and Operating Cash Flow on Dividend Policy. The research sample is 45 manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the 2015-2016 period. Classic assumption test: normality test, autocorrelation test, multicolonierity test and heteroscedasticity test. The data analysis technique used simple regression analysis techniques and multiple regression analysis. The results of the study: (1) Partially Net Profit has a negative effect on Dividend Policy (2) Operational Cash Flow has a negative effect partially and on Dividend Policy (3) Net Income and Operating Cash Flow simultaneously have a negative effect on Dividend Policy

PENGARUH PENERIMAAN PAJAK HIBURAN DAN INFLASI TERHADAP PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH : Studi Kasus Pada Badan Pendapatan Daerah Kabupaten Ende

The purpose of this study is to determine (1) To determine the effect of entertainment tax revenue on Regional Original Revenues. (2) To find out inflation affects the Regional Original Revenue. Analysis of the data used is multiple linear regression analysis. To facilitate analysis, the Statistical Package for the Social Sciens (SPSS) program for windows is used. The results of this study indicate that the results of the t test of entertainment tax variables obtained tcount> ttable where 4.801> 2.353 and the significance value obtained was 0.041 <0.05. Thus it means that partially the entertainment tax revenue variable has a significant effect on the PAD variable in the Ende Regency Revenue Agency. The t-test results of the inflation variable obtained value of t> t table where 16.026> 2.353 and the significance value obtained was 0.004 <0.05. Thus it means that partially the inflation variable has a significant effect on the PAD variable in the Ende Regency Regional Revenue Agency

PENGARUH PEMBERIAN KREDIT GADAI KCA TERHADAP PENDAPATAN SEWA MODAL DI PT PEGADAIAN CABANG WOLOWONA KABUPATEN ENDE

The problems that occur are what is the level of KCA pawning credit, how is the level of capital lease income and how much influence does KCA pawning credit give to capital lease income at PT Pegadaian, Wolowona branch. This study aims to determine the level of KCA pawning credit at PT Pegadaian, Wolowona branch, the level of capital rental income at PT Pegadaian, Wolowona branch, and the effect of KCA pawning credit on rental income at PT Pegadaian, Wolowona branch. The method in this study uses simple linear regression analysis, t test, and the coefficient of reduction to determine the effect of KCA pawning credit on capital rental income at PT Pegadaian, Wolowona branch, Ende district. The data sources are primary data and secondary data. Data collection techniques in this study were observation, interviews, and documentation. Based on the test results using simple linear analysis, t test, and determinant coefficient, it shows that the provision of mortgage loans has a significant effect on capital rental income at PT Pegadaian, Wolowona branch, Ende district

Pengaruh Sistem Informasi Akuntansi Terhadap Efektivitas Penjualan Dengan Pengendalian Intern Sebagai Variabel Intervening : Studi Empiris Pada PT. Nusantara Surya Sakti di Kabupaten Ende dan Nagekeo

This study aims to determine the effect of each variable, namely the accounting information system on sales effectiveness, with internal control as an intervening variable at PT. Nusantara Surya Sakti in Ende and Nagekeo Regencies. The population in this study was 86 employees. Samples taken as many as 46 respondents. The method used is a quantitative research method. This research uses primary data that is questionnaire. Data were analyzed using multiple regression analysis and path analysis which are managed through SPSS Statistics 25 software. The results showed that the accounting information system affects the effectiveness of sales with a significance value of 0,032 less than 0,05. However, the Path Analysis test results show that the value of direct influence has a smaller value compared to the indirect effect (0,193<l,030), so it is concluded that there is a mediating influence between the accounting information system on sales effectiveness through internal control

ANALISIS KREDIT MACET DAN IMPLEMENTASI RESTRUKTURISASI KREDIT : (Studi Kasus Koperasi Kredit Syuradikara)

Syuradikara Credit Cooperative (KKS) is one of the cooperatives that is experiencing bad credit. Bad credit that occurs is due to the inability of customers to pay loan installments, as a result, it can reduce the income of the cooperative. One of the steps taken by the KKS to resolve this bad credit is by restructuring. The purpose of this study was to determine: (1). factors that lead to bad credit on KKS and (2), steps in the implementation of restructuring in settling bad debts on KKS. The data analysis used is descriptive analysis using a qualitative approach. The results of this study indicate that: (1). The factors that cause bad credit on KKS, namely from internal factors, include the KKS not being observant in deciding the size of loan services to members, lack of education for members and prospective borrowers, and less competent credit staff. Meanwhile, external factors include members who are not used properly, lazy attitude, wastefulness, lack of diligence in doing business and the backbone of the family who dies or is looking for a place to work overseas. (2). The steps for implementing restructuring in settling bad debts include giving a warning or warning letter, conducting routine billing, working with the police to pick up members to sign a statement of ability to pay arrears, and making renewals, namely by rescheduling

ANALISIS PENGAKUAN PENDAPATAN DAN BEBAN PADA CV. PUTRA TUNGGAL MANDIRI KABUPATEN NGADA BERDASARKAN PSAK NO.34

The purpose of this study is (1) To determine the recognition of income and expenses in the CV. Putra Tunggal Mandiri. (2) To determine the recognition of income and expenses carried out on the CV. Putra Tunggal Mandiri according to PSAK 34. The data analysis technique used is a descriptive qualitative analysis method of data collected compiled, grouped, and analyzed so that it can provide a true picture of the recognition of income and expenses and see the comparison of recording financial statements conducted by CV. Putra Tunggal Mandiri with PSAK No. 34 The results of this study indicate that (1) CV. Putra Tunggal Mandiri in running a project that is more than one accounting period (long-term construction contract), the company applies the percentage of completion method in recognizing opinions and expenses. (2) The company has not applied it as a basis for the recognition of revenues and expenses, as evidenced in 2018 the company recognizes that revenue is too small. This happens because the company only recognizes revenue worth the project down payment, which is 30% of the total contract value, which is 30% xRp. 199,228,000 = Rp. 59,768,400, according to PSAK No. 34 works were completed in 2018 at 82.3% of the contract value of 82.3% x Rp. 199,228,000 = Rp. 163,964,644 which consists of raw material costs, labor costs and overhead costs. Additional contract costs to Rp. 163,925,000 due to the lack of companies to record the depreciation expense of equipment that is included in the overhead, the burden and revenue recognized too small

Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Pelaporan Keuangan Melalui Internet (Internet Financial Reporting) Dalam Website Perusahaan

This study aims to analyze the factors that affect financial reporting via the internet, which consists of company size, liquidity, leverage, and listing age. The type of data used is secondary data. There are 30 companies included in the sample criteria. This study uses a causal design which is useful for analyzing the relationship between one variable and another. The research technique used was sampling based on criteria. The data analysis method used is a quantitative approach consisting of classic assumption tests, fit tests, and hypothesis testing. The results showed that company size, liquidity, leverage, and listing age had a simultaneous effect on financial reporting via the internet. Partially, only the liquidity structure variable has a significant effect on financial reporting via the internet (IFR)