An agent-based approach to integrated assessment modelling of climate change

There is an ongoing discussion concerning the relationship between social welfare and climate change, and thus the required level and type of measures needed to protect the climate. Integrated assessment models (IAMs) have been extended to incorporate technological progress, heterogeneity and uncertainty, making use of a (stochastic) dynamic equilibrium approach in order to derive a solution. According to the literature, the IAM class of models does not take all the relationships among economic, social and environmental factors into account. Moreover, it does not consider these interdependencies at the micro-level, meaning that all possible consequences are not duly examined. Here, we propose an agent-based approach to analyse the relationship between economic welfare and climate protection. In particular, our aim is to analyse how the decisions of individual agents, allowing for the trade-off between economic welfare and climate protection, influence the aggregated emergent economic behaviour. Using this model, we estimate a damage function, with values in the order 3% - 4%for 2 C temperature increase and having a linear (or slightly concave) shape. We show that the heterogeneity of the agents, technological progress and the damage function may lead to lower GDP growth rates and greater temperature-related damage than what is forecast by models with solely homogeneous (representative) agents

Superparamagnetic Iron Oxide Nanoparticle Probes for Molecular Imaging

The field of molecular imaging has recently seen rapid advances in the development of novel contrast agents and the implementation of insightful approaches to monitor biological processes non-invasively. In particular, superparamagnetic iron oxide nanoparticles (SPIO) have demonstrated their utility as an important tool for enhancing magnetic resonance contrast, allowing researchers to monitor not only anatomical changes, but physiological and molecular changes as well. Applications have ranged from detecting inflammatory diseases via the accumulation of non-targeted SPIO in infiltrating macrophages to the specific identification of cell surface markers expressed on tumors. In this article, we attempt to illustrate the broad utility of SPIO in molecular imaging, including some of the recent developments, such as the transformation of SPIO into an activatable probe termed the magnetic relaxation switch

Thermotolerance of an inactivated rabies vaccine for dogs

This study provides the first robust data that the antibody response of dogs vaccinated with Nobivac® Rabies vaccine stored for several months at high temperatures (up to 30 °C) is not inferior to that of dogs vaccinated with vaccine stored under recommended cold-chain conditions (2–8 °C). A controlled and randomized non-inferiority study was carried out comparing the four-week post vaccination serological responses of Tanzanian village dogs inoculated with vaccine which had been stored at elevated temperatures for different periods of time with those of dogs vaccinated with the same product stored according to label recommendations. Specifically, the neutralizing antibody response following the use of vaccine which had been stored for up to six months at 25 °C or for three months at 30 °C was not inferior to that following the use of cold-chain stored vaccine. These findings provide reassurance that the vaccine is likely to remain efficacious even if exposed to elevated temperatures for limited periods of time and, under these circumstances, it can safely be used and not necessarily destroyed or discarded. The availability of thermotolerant vaccines has been an important factor in the success of several disease control and elimination programs and could greatly increase the capacity of rabies vaccination campaigns to access hard to reach communities in Africa and Asia. We have not confirmed a 3-year duration of immunity for the high temperature stored vaccine, however because annual re-vaccination is usually practiced for dogs presented for vaccination during campaigns in Africa and Asia this should not be a cause for concern. These findings will provide confidence that, for rabies control and elimination programs using this vaccine in low-income settings, more flexible delivery models could be explored, including those that involve limited periods of transportation and storage at temperatures higher than that currently recommended

Zgon w przebiegu kleszczowego zapalenia mózgu – opis serii przypadków

Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is a disease which may present as meningitis, encephalomeningitis and myeloencephalomeningitis. The course of the disease is usually mild although it may result in the patient's death in 1–4% of cases. Patients with myeloencephalomeningitis are the most endangered group, but also encephalomeningitis may have a fatal outcome. There are many risk factors which influence the severity of TBE, including patient's age, immunosuppression and concomitant diseases. We present four cases of patients who died because of TBE. The aim of the paper was to underline that in elderly patients or patients suffering from chronic diseases and additional infections, special attention should be paid to their treatment, including mechanical ventilation and steroid use.Kleszczowe zapalenie mózgu (KZM) może przebiegać pod trzema postaciami: zapalenia opon mózgowo-rdzeniowych, zapalenia mózgu i opon mózgowo-rdzeniowych oraz zapalenia rdzenia, mózgu i opon mózgowo-rdzeniowych. Przebieg choroby jest zazwyczaj łagodny, jednak w przypadku 1–4% pacjentów choroba może zakończyć się zgonem. Grupami najbardziej narażonymi na zgon są pacjenci z zapaleniem rdzenia, mózgu i opon mózgowo-rdzeniowych oraz z zapaleniem mózgu i opon mózgowo-rdzeniowych. Istnieje wiele czynników wpływających na ciężkość KZM, m.in. wiek pacjentów, upośledzenie układu odpornościowego i współistnienie innych chorób. W pracy zaprezentowano opisy czterech przypadków pacjentów, którzy zmarli z powodu KZM. Celem pracy jest podkreślenie, iż w przypadku starszych pacjentów lub pacjentów z chorobami przewlekłymi czy z innymi zakażeniami towarzyszącymi, chorujących na KZM należy zwrócić uwagę na leczenie, w tym respiratoro- i steroidoterapię

Preoperative plasma level of IL-10 but not of proinflammatory cytokines is an independent prognostic factor in patients with gastric cancer

There have been many discrepant observations on the serum levels of cytokines in cancer patients and their prognostic value. The purpose of this study was to determine the plasma levels of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines and their clinical significance in a large group of patients with gastric carcinoma. The levels of tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNF α), interleukin-12p40 (IL-12p40), IL-12p70, IL-18, IL-10 and soluble TNF receptors I and II sTNF-Rs were investigated in the plasma of 136 consecutive patients with biopsy proven gastric cancer using specific enzymelinked immunoabsorbent assays (ELISA). Survival curves were estimated using the method of Kaplan and Meier and the differences in the survival rates were tested by the logrank test. For multivariate analysis of prognostic factors, the Cox proportional hazard model was used. Proinflammatory cytokines and sTNF-Rs were higher in the whole group of patients in comparison to healthy volunteers. IL-10 was elevated mostly in advanced disease. The increased levels of IL-10 (>10 pg/ml) were associated with significantly poorer survival of patients, while the levels of the other cytokines and sTNF-Rs showed no correlation with prognosis. The increased level of IL-10 is an independent unfavorable prognostic factor in patients with gastric cancer