Sensitivity of the Cherenkov Telescope Array to TeV photon emission from the Large Magellanic Cloud

A deep survey of the Large Magellanic Cloud at ∼0.1-100 TeV photon energies with the Cherenkov Telescope Array is planned. We assess the detection prospects based on a model for the emission of the galaxy, comprising the four known TeV emitters, mock populations of sources, and interstellar emission on galactic scales. We also assess the detectability of 30 Doradus and SN 1987A, and the constraints that can be derived on the nature of dark matter. The survey will allow for fine spectral studies of N 157B, N 132D, LMC P3, and 30 Doradus C, and half a dozen other sources should be revealed, mainly pulsar-powered objects. The remnant from SN 1987A could be detected if it produces cosmic-ray nuclei with a flat power-law spectrum at high energies, or with a steeper index 2.3-2.4 pending a flux increase by a factor of >3-4 over ∼2015-2035. Large-scale interstellar emission remains mostly out of reach of the survey if its >10 GeV spectrum has a soft photon index ∼2.7, but degree-scale 0.1-10 TeV pion-decay emission could be detected if the cosmic-ray spectrum hardens above >100 GeV. The 30 Doradus star-forming region is detectable if acceleration efficiency is on the order of 1−10 per cent of the mechanical luminosity and diffusion is suppressed by two orders of magnitude within <100 pc. Finally, the survey could probe the canonical velocity-averaged cross-section for self-annihilation of weakly interacting massive particles for cuspy Navarro-Frenk-White profiles

Modelling and detecting changes in user satisfaction

Informational needs behind queries, that people issue to search engines, are inherently sensitive to external factors such as breaking news, new models of devices, or seasonal changes as 'black Friday'. Mostly these changes happen suddenly and it is natural to suppose that they may cause a shift in user satisfaction with presented old search results and push users to reformulate their queries. For instance, if users issued the query 'CIKM conference' in 2013 they were satisfied with results referring to the page cikm2013.org and this page gets a majority of clicks. However, the confernce site has been changed and the same query issued in 2014 should be linked to the different page cikm2014.fudan.edu.cn. If the link to the fresh page is not among the retrieved results then users will reformulate the query to find desired information. In this paper, we examine how to detect changes in user satisfaction if some events affect user information goals but search results remained the same. We formulate a problem using concept drift detection techniques. The proposed method works in an unsupervised manner, we do not rely on any labelling. We report results of a large scale evaluation over real user interactions, that are collected by a commercial search engine within six months. The final datasets consist of more than sixty millions log entries. The results of our experiments demonstrate that by using our method we can accurately detect changes in user behavior. The detected drifts can be used to enhance query auto-completion, user satisfaction metrics, and recency ranking

Continuous quality improvement in intensive care medicine. The GiViTI Margherita project - Report 2005

Aim. The assessment of the quality of intensive care medicine is mandatory in the modern healthcare system. In Italy, the GiViTI (Gruppo Italiano per la Valutazione degli Interventi in Terapia Intensiva) network is working in this field since 1991 and it now involves 295 out of the about 450 Italian intensive care units (ICU). In 2002 GiViTI launched a project for the continuous quality assessment and improvement that is now joined by 180 ICUs. Data collected in 2005 are analyzed and presented. Methods. All admitted patients were entered in a validated software, which performs a multitude of validity checks during the data entry. Data were further reviewed by the co-ordinating center; patients admitted in months with more than 10% of incomplete or inconsistent records in each ICU were excluded from the analysis. Each year, a multivariate logistic regression model is fitted to identify predictors of hospital mortality. Starting from the SAPS 2 and the 2004 GiViTI model predictions of hospital mortality, two calibration tables and curves are presented. Results. In 2005, 180 Italian ICUs collected data on 55 246 patients. After excluding those admitted in months with an unjustified lower recruitment rate or with less than 90% of complete and consistent data, we had 52 816 (95.6%) valid cases. Although the rough hospital mortality in 2005 was 1% higher than in 2004 (22.6% vs 21.5%), the adjusted mortality shows a statistically significant 4% reduction (obser-ved-to-expected ratio: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.94-0.97). Conclusion. Italian ICUs in 2005 performed better than in 2004, at a parity of patient severity

Hospitals with and without neurosurgery: a comparative study evaluating the outcome of patients with traumatic brain injury

Background: We leveraged the data of the international CREACTIVE consortium to investigate whether the outcome of traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients admitted to intensive care units (ICU) in hospitals without on-site neurosurgical capabilities (no-NSH) would differ had the same patients been admitted to ICUs in hospitals with neurosurgical capabilities (NSH). Methods: The CREACTIVE observational study enrolled more than 8000 patients from 83 ICUs. Adult TBI patients admitted to no-NSH ICUs within 48 h of trauma were propensity-score matched 1:3 with patients admitted to NSH ICUs. The primary outcome was the 6-month extended Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS-E), while secondary outcomes were ICU and hospital mortality. Results: A total of 232 patients, less than 5% of the eligible cohort, were admitted to no-NSH ICUs. Each of them was matched to 3 NSH patients, leading to a study sample of 928 TBI patients where the no-NSH and NSH groups were well-balanced with respect to all of the variables included into the propensity score. Patients admitted to no-NSH ICUs experienced significantly higher ICU and in-hospital mortality. Compared to the matched NSH ICU admissions, their 6-month GOS-E scores showed a significantly higher prevalence of upper good recovery for cases with mild TBI and low expected mortality risk at admission, along with a progressively higher incidence of poor outcomes with increased TBI severity and mortality risk. Conclusions: In our study, centralization of TBI patients significantly impacted short- and long-term outcomes. For TBI patients admitted to no-NSH centers, our results suggest that the least critically ill can effectively be managed in centers without neurosurgical capabilities. Conversely, the most complex patients would benefit from being treated in high-volume, neuro-oriented ICUs