Genetic risk and a primary role for cell-mediated immune mechanisms in multiple sclerosis.

Multiple sclerosis is a common disease of the central nervous system in which the interplay between inflammatory and neurodegenerative processes typically results in intermittent neurological disturbance followed by progressive accumulation of disability. Epidemiological studies have shown that genetic factors are primarily responsible for the substantially increased frequency of the disease seen in the relatives of affected individuals, and systematic attempts to identify linkage in multiplex families have confirmed that variation within the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) exerts the greatest individual effect on risk. Modestly powered genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have enabled more than 20 additional risk loci to be identified and have shown that multiple variants exerting modest individual effects have a key role in disease susceptibility. Most of the genetic architecture underlying susceptibility to the disease remains to be defined and is anticipated to require the analysis of sample sizes that are beyond the numbers currently available to individual research groups. In a collaborative GWAS involving 9,772 cases of European descent collected by 23 research groups working in 15 different countries, we have replicated almost all of the previously suggested associations and identified at least a further 29 novel susceptibility loci. Within the MHC we have refined the identity of the HLA-DRB1 risk alleles and confirmed that variation in the HLA-A gene underlies the independent protective effect attributable to the class I region. Immunologically relevant genes are significantly overrepresented among those mapping close to the identified loci and particularly implicate T-helper-cell differentiation in the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis

Genotype-phenotype correlation for non-HLA disease associated risk alleles in multiple sclerosis

Background Recent advances in MS genetics have led to the successful identification of a number of novel disease associated non-HLA genes. It is now becoming possible to begin to analyse the possible effects of these genes on aspects of disease phenotype where longitudinal clinical data is available. Objective We examined phenotypic impact of 10 non-HLA disease associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 1003 patients with MS followed for an average of 14.1 years. Methods Association of SNPs with time to established disability milestones (Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 4.0, 6.0, 8.0), onset of secondary progression and cross-sectional aspects of early phenotype were tested using survival analysis. Results No SNP was associated with systematic deflection in time to disability milestones, age at onset or time to secondary progression. Conclusions Genotypic information from non-HLA associated SNPs is unlikely to inform individual patient prognosis in the clinical setting although minor phenotypic effects operative at specific phases of disease cannot be excluded. This preliminary study provides a framework for future genotype–phenotype analysis in MS and will need to be replicated in independent patient cohorts

Age at onset as a determinant of presenting phenotype and initial relapse recovery in multiple sclerosis

Background: Age at onset modifies prognosis in multiple sclerosis (MS) and may also exert an effect on the characteristics of disease ignition. Understanding how age influences presentation informs disease management and may allow differentiation of distinct clinical sub-groups. Objectives: To determine the nature of age-specific presentations of relapsing–remitting MS (RRMS) with respect to onset symptoms, gender ratios and index event outcomes. Methods: In a prospective, population-based sample of 1424 patients in South-East Wales we examined associations between age at onset, clinical features and outcome of the onset event, making specific comparisons between paediatric, adolescent and late-onset MS. Results: Age at onset varied significantly between sexes (Male 31.2, Female 29.3, p = 0.002), 0.7% had paediatric onset, 2.7% adolescent onset and 2.8% late-onset MS (>50 years). Optic neuritis was common in younger patients and declined after age 30. Lower limb motor, facial sensory, sexual and sphincteric symptoms rose with age independent of sex and disease course. F:M ratios were highest <16 years of age and declined with increasing age, with a male excess in those over 50. Probability of complete recovery from index event declined with age from 87.4% in the youngest group to 68% in the eldest (p = 0.009). Conclusions: Age at disease onset in RRMS exerts a significant effect on gender ratios and presenting phenotype, and allows identification of specific clinical sub-groups. In addition, ability to recover from initial relapse declines with age, suggesting accumulation of disability in MS is an age-dependent response to relapse

The prevalence of neuromyelitis optica in South East Wales

Background and purpose: Neuromyeltis optica (NMO) is a neuroinflammatory disorder considered rare in Caucasian populations. However, accurate population-based epidemiological data for NMO and NMO spectrum disorder (NMO-SD) from Western populations employing validated diagnostic criteria remain limited. We sought therefore to estimate the prevalence and clinical features of NMO in a north European Caucasian population in South East Wales. Methods: Patients were identified by a comprehensive, multistage ascertainment strategy employing a regional neuroinflammatory disease register, hospital diagnostic databases personal physician referrals and regional requests for anti-aquaporin-4 antibodies (anti-AQP4). Results: Fourteen Caucasian patients (11 patients with NMO and three with NMO-SD) were identified in a population of 712 572 (19.6/million; 95% CIs: 12.2–29.7). There was an excess of females (female:male 12:2), 11/14 were anti-AQP4 positive and 5/14 had disease onset under the age of 20 years. Conclusion: This study suggests that NMO and related spectrum disorders are at least as frequent in Northern European populations as in non-Caucasian populations and that the demographic profile of prevalent patients differs from clinic-based cohorts

Clinical relevance of differential lymphocyte recovery after alemtuzumab therapy for multiple sclerosis

Objective: Alemtuzumab is potentially a highly effective treatment for relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS) acting via complement-mediated lysis of circulating lymphocytes. Variability in posttreatment lymphocyte recovery time is observed, with some patients showing striking durability in the efficacy of treatment. This study aims to establish whether this observed variation affects clinical and imaging parameters of disease activity. Methods: A total of 56 patients were followed for a median of 39.5 months post alemtuzumab treatment with interval clinical assessments, lymphocyte immunophenotyping, and MRI. Timing and degree of CD4+, CD8+, and CD19+ recovery were correlated with the re-emergence of disease activity defined as clinical relapse, increasing disability, and new T2/enhancing lesions on MRI. Results: New disease activity was recorded in 14% of patients. Mean time to CD19+, CD8+, and CD4+ reconstitution was 6, 10, and 36 months. No differences were observed in CD8+ and CD19+ reconstitution between patients with active disease and those in remission. Patients with active disease showed an accelerated recovery of CD4+ cells (p = 0.001) with a difference in absolute CD4+ counts at 24 months (p = 0.009). CD4+ counts <388.5 × 106 cells/mL predicted MRI stability. Conclusions: Differential lymphocyte recovery in MS following alemtuzumab may be a biomarker for relapse and also inform monitoring and treatment protocols. Classification of evidence: This study provides Class IV evidence that differential lymphocyte reconstitution after alemtuzumab treatment may be a biomarker for relapse

Complement regulator factor H as a serum biomarker of multiple sclerosis disease state

Multiple sclerosis has a variable phenotypic presentation and subsequent disease course that, although unpredictable at disease onset, is of crucial importance in guiding interventions. Effective and accessible biomarkers are required in order to stratify patients and inform treatment. We examined whether the complement regulator factor H and its Tyr402His polymorphism, recently implicated as biomarkers in other chronic inflammatory central nervous system conditions, might identify or predict specific pathological processes and outcomes in multiple sclerosis. Employing novel assays, we measured factor H and its His402 variant in serum from 350 patients with multiple sclerosis classified according to disease course and relapse status. Serum factor H levels were significantly higher in progressive disease (P < 0.001) compared to controls and relapsing patients, after controlling for variables including disease duration, age, gender, disability and treatment. Serum factor H levels were capable of distinguishing secondary progressive from relapsing remitting disease (excluding patients in clinical relapse) with a sensitivity of 89.41%, specificity of 69.47% and a positive predictive value of 72.38%. Acute relapse was also associated with transiently increased factor H levels (P = 0.009) compared to stable relapsing disease. In clinically stable patients, factor H levels remained constant over 1 year (coefficient of variation percentage = 6.8), however, in patients in transition from relapsing to progressive disease, factor H levels significantly increased over a period of 2 years (P = 0.007). Concentration of the His402 variant in heterozytgotes was significantly higher in secondary progressive (P < 0.01) and primary progressive (P < 0.05) disease, suggesting altered expression or consumption of variants when factor H is upregulated. Serum factor H may be an effective indicator of progression and a practical and accessible biomarker and stratifying tool in determining disease course, providing objective evidence to help guide therapeutic decisions

Long-term outcome of paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis: a population-based study

Background Age of onset of multiple sclerosis (MS) peaks in the 3rd and 4th decades and is rarely less than 18. Robust longitudinal studies in paediatric-onset MS (POMS) are limited, and a clearer understanding of outcome could optimise management strategies. Methods Patients with disease onset <18 years were identified from a prospective population-based register. Clinical features including presenting symptoms, time to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 4.0, 6.0 and 8.0 and onset of secondary progression were compared with patients with adult-onset MS (AOMS). Results 111 POMS patients were identified from a cohort of 2068. No significant differences in sex ratio, familial recurrence, relapse rate, ethnicity or clinical symptoms at presentation were identified between POMS and AOMS. However, interval to second relapse was longer (5 vs 2.6 years, p=0.04) and primary progressive disease was less common (0.9% vs 8.5%, p=0.003) in POMS than in AOMS. POMS patients also took longer to develop secondary progressive disease (32 vs 18 years, p=0.0001) and to reach disability milestones (EDSS 4.0, 23.8 vs 15.5 years, p<0.0001; EDSS 6.0, 30.8 vs 20.4 years, p<0.0001; EDSS 8.0, 44.7 vs 39 years, p=0.02), but did so between 7.0 and 12 years younger than in AOMS. Conclusions 5.4% of patients with MS have POMS (2.7% <16 years; 0.3% <10 years) and have distinct phenotypic characteristics in early disease. Furthermore, while patients with POMS take longer to reach disability milestones, they do so at a younger age than their adult counterparts and could be considered to have a poorer prognosis. Management strategies for these patients should take account of these data