Spatio-temporal modelling of weekly malaria incidence in children under 5 for early epidemic detection in Mozambique

Malaria is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in Mozambique. We present a malaria early warning system (MEWS) for Mozambique informed by seven years of weekly case reports of malaria in children under 5 years of age from 142 districts. A spatio-temporal model was developed based on explanatory climatic variables to map exceedance probabilities, defined as the predictive probability that the relative risk of malaria incidence in a given district for a particular week will exceed a predefined threshold. Unlike most spatially discrete models, our approach accounts for the geographical extent of each district in the derivation of the spatial covariance structure to allow for changes in administrative boundaries over time. The MEWS can thus be used to predict areas that may experience increases in malaria transmission beyond expected levels, early enough so that prevention and response measures can be implemented prior to the onset of outbreaks. The framework we present is also applicable to other climate-sensitive diseases

Identifying and Quantifying Genotypes in Polyclonal Infections due to Single Species

The combination of real-time PCR and capillary electrophoresis permits the rapid identification and quantification of pathogen genotypes

Beyond Environmental Regulatory Fragmentation: Signs of Integration in the Case of the Great Lakes Basin

Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/72007/1/j.1468-0491.1995.tb00197.x.pd

Human Gene Expression in Uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum Malaria

To examine human gene expression during uncomplicated P. falciparum malaria, we obtained three samples (acute illness, treatment, and recovery) from 10 subjects and utilized each subject's recovery sample as their baseline. At the time of acute illness (day 1), subjects had upregulation of innate immune response, cytokine, and inflammation-related genes (IL-1 , IL-6, TNF, and IFN-), which was more frequent with parasitemias >100,000 per L and body temperatures ≥39 ∘ C. Apoptosis-related genes (Fas, BAX, and TP53) were upregulated acutely and for several days thereafter (days 1-3). In contrast, the expression of immunemodulatory (transcription factor 7, HLV-DOA, and CD6) and apoptosis inhibitory (c-myc, caspase 8, and Fas Ligand G) genes was downregulated initially and returned to normal with clinical recovery (days 7-10). These results indicate that the innate immune response, cytokine, and apoptosis pathways are upregulated acutely in uncomplicated malaria with concomitant downregulation of immune-modulatory and apoptosis inhibitory genes

Modular laboratories--cost-effective and sustainable infrastructure for resource-limited settings.

High-quality laboratory space to support basic science, clinical research projects, or health services is often severely lacking in the developing world. Moreover, the construction of suitable facilities using traditional methods is time-consuming, expensive, and challenging to implement. Three real world examples showing how shipping containers can be converted into modern laboratories are highlighted. These include use as an insectary, a molecular laboratory, and a BSL-3 containment laboratory. These modular conversions have a number of advantages over brick and mortar construction and provide a cost-effective and timely solution to offer high-quality, user-friendly laboratory space applicable within the developing world

Human Gene Expression in Uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum Malaria

To examine human gene expression during uncomplicated P. falciparum malaria, we obtained three samples (acute illness, treatment, and recovery) from 10 subjects and utilized each subject’s recovery sample as their baseline. At the time of acute illness (day 1), subjects had upregulation of innate immune response, cytokine, and inflammation-related genes (IL-1β, IL-6, TNF, and IFN-γ), which was more frequent with parasitemias >100,000 per μL and body temperatures ≥39∘C. Apoptosis-related genes (Fas, BAX, and TP53) were upregulated acutely and for several days thereafter (days 1–3). In contrast, the expression of immune-modulatory (transcription factor 7, HLV-DOA, and CD6) and apoptosis inhibitory (c-myc, caspase 8, and Fas Ligand G) genes was downregulated initially and returned to normal with clinical recovery (days 7–10). These results indicate that the innate immune response, cytokine, and apoptosis pathways are upregulated acutely in uncomplicated malaria with concomitant downregulation of immune-modulatory and apoptosis inhibitory genes

Estimation of malaria-attributable fever in malaria test-positive febrile outpatients in three provinces of Mozambique, 2018

Like most malaria-endemic countries, Mozambique relies on tabulation of confirmed malaria test-positive febrile patients to track incidence of malaria. However, this approach is potentially biased by incidental malaria parasitemia in patients with fever of another etiology. We compared pan-; Plasmodium; aldolase and lactate dehydrogenase and; Plasmodium falciparum; histidine-rich protein 2 (PfHRP2) antigen concentrations measured using a laboratory bead-based assay of samples collected from 1,712 febrile and afebrile patients of all ages in Maputo, Zambézia, and Cabo Delgado provinces. We used a Bayesian latent class model to estimate the proportion of malaria-attributable fevers in malaria test-positive febrile patients. Depending on the antigen, estimated rates of malaria-attributable fever in malaria test-positive febrile patients were 100% in Maputo, 33-58% in Zambézia, and 63-74% in Cabo Delgado. Our findings indicate that most malaria test-positive febrile patients in the three provinces of Mozambique had a fever that was likely caused by the concurrent malaria infection. Counting malaria test-positive febrile patients for estimation of malaria incidence appears to be appropriate in this setting

Malaria parasite mobility in mozambique estimated using mobile phone records

Malaria is one of the primary causes of death in Mozambique, responsible for an estimated 15,000 deaths in 2017. Human-mediated parasite movement combined with spatial and seasonal changes in transmission threatens the success of malaria interventions by reintroducing parasites to areas targeted for elimination. In this study we used pseudonymized and aggregated call detail records from a sample of over 8.5 million subscribers of a mobile phone operator in Mozambique to quantify human movements for four months in 2017. We calculated parasite importation and exportation rates to identify potential net sinks and sources of malaria across districts. We used a community structure algorithm to explore the connectedness of provinces in Mozambique, and we calculated parasite mobility between urban and rural areas. This work will help provide evidence to inform malaria elimination strategies regionally.</p