323 research outputs found

    Conditioning an additive functional of a markov chain to stay non-negative. I, Survival for a long time

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    Let (X-t)(t >= 0) be a continuous-time irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space E, let v be a map v: E -> R \ {0}, and let (phi(t))(t >= 0) be an additive functional defined by phi(t) = integral(0)(t)(X-s) ds. We consider the case in which the process (phi(t))(t >= 0) is oscillating and that in which (phi(t))(t >= 0) has a negative drift. In each of these cases, we condition the process (X-t, phi(t))(t >= 0) on the event that (phi(t))(t >= 0) is nonnegative until time T and prove weak convergence of the conditioned process as T -> infinity
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