Prediction Scores Do Not Correlate with Clinically Adjudicated Categories of Pulmonary Embolism in Critically Ill Patients

Copyright © 2014 Hindawi Publishing Corporation. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.BACKGROUND: Prediction scores for pretest probability of pulmonary embolism (PE) validated in outpatient settings are occasionally used in the intensive care unit (ICU).OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the correlation of Geneva and Wells scores with adjudicated categories of PE in ICU patients.METHODS: In a randomized trial of thromboprophylaxis, patients with suspected PE were adjudicated as possible, probable or definite PE. Data were then retrospectively abstracted for the Geneva Diagnostic PE score, Wells, Modified Wells and Simplified Wells Diagnostic scores. The chance-corrected agreement between adjudicated categories and each score was calculated. ANOVA was used to compare values across the three adjudicated PE categories.RESULTS: Among 70 patients with suspected PE, agreement was poor between adjudicated categories and Geneva pretest probabilities (kappa 0.01 [95% CI −0.0643 to 0.0941]) or Wells pretest probabilities (kappa −0.03 [95% CI −0.1462 to 0.0914]). Among four possible, 16 probable and 50 definite PEs, there were no significant differences in Geneva scores (possible = 4.0, probable = 4.7, definite = 4.5; P=0.90), Wells scores (possible = 2.8, probable = 4.9, definite = 4.1; P=0.37), Modified Wells (possible = 2.0, probable = 3.4, definite = 2.9; P=0.34) or Simplified Wells (possible = 1.8, probable = 2.8, definite = 2.4; P=0.30).CONCLUSIONS: Pretest probability scores developed outside the ICU do not correlate with adjudicated PE categories in critically ill patients. Research is needed to develop prediction scores for this population

Factors Associated with Revision Surgery after Internal Fixation of Hip Fractures

Background: Femoral neck fractures are associated with high rates of revision surgery after management with internal fixation. Using data from the Fixation using Alternative Implants for the Treatment of Hip fractures (FAITH) trial evaluating methods of internal fixation in patients with femoral neck fractures, we investigated associations between baseline and surgical factors and the need for revision surgery to promote healing, relieve pain, treat infection or improve function over 24 months postsurgery. Additionally, we investigated factors associated with (1) hardware removal and (2) implant exchange from cancellous screws (CS) or sliding hip screw (SHS) to total hip arthroplasty, hemiarthroplasty, or another internal fixation device. Methods: We identified 15 potential factors a priori that may be associated with revision surgery, 7 with hardware removal, and 14 with implant exchange. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses in our investigation. Results: Factors associated with increased risk of revision surgery included: female sex, [hazard ratio (HR) 1.79, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25-2.50; P = 0.001], higher body mass index (fo

Intestinal permeability and multiple organ dysfunction in critically ill patients

Bibliography: p.83-89

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Accurately Predicts 90-Day Liver Transplant Wait-List Mortality in Atlantic Canada

OBJECTIVE: To determine the generalizability of the predictions for 90-day mortality generated by Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) and the serum sodium augmented MELD (MELDNa) to Atlantic Canadian adults with end-stage liver disease awaiting liver transplantation (LT)

The Model for End-stage Liver Disease accurately predicts 90-day liver transplant wait-list mortality in Atlantic Canada

OBJECTIVE: To determine the generalizability of the predictions for 90-day mortality generated by Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) and the serum sodium augmented MELD (MELDNa) to Atlantic Canadian adults with end-stage liver disease awaiting liver transplantation (LT)

The epidemiology of severe sepsis syndrome and its treatment with recombinant human activated protein C

Severe sepsis syndrome has important consequences to healthcare systems as the incidence is increasing, there is significant attributed morbidity and mortality and there is a substantial cost for in-hospital and post-discharge care. Current treatment includes the use of antimicrobials, local source control and aggressive physiological support, usually in an intensive care unit setting. Drotrecogin-alpha (activated) or recombinant human activated protein C (rhAPC) is the only biological agent approved for use in severe sepsis syndrome that has demonstrated efficacy in reducing 28-day all-cause mortality and new data suggests a trend towards longer term survival. However, given the evidence of a variable effect on survival rates in patient subgroups and its acquisition cost, controversy has arisen concerning its appropriate use. This review discusses the epidemiology of sepsis, preclinical and clinical evidence supporting the use of rhAPC use, controversies about the evidence of efficacy in severe sepsis syndrome and cost-effectiveness data.</p

Limited ability of SOFA and MOD scores to discriminate outcome: A prospective evaluation in 1,436 patients

Purpose: The multiple organ dysfunction (MOD) score and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score are measures of organ dysfunction and have been validated based on the association of these scores with mortality. We sought to compare the performance of the SOFA and MOD scores in a large cohort of consecutive multisystem intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Methods: Prospective automated daily measurements of MOD and SOFA scores were performed in 1,436 patients admitted to a multisystem ICU in the Calgary Health Region over a one-year period. Logistic regression modeling techniques were used to describe the association of SOFA and MODS with mortality. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the model's discriminatory ability. Results: For ICU and hospital mortality, there was very little practical difference between the SOFA and MOD scores in their ability to discriminate outcome as determined by the area under the ROC. However, compared to previous literature, the discriminatory ability of both scores in this population was weak. As well, the calibration of the models was poor for both scores. The SOFA cardiovascular component score performed better than the MOD cardiovascular component score in the discrimination of both ICU and hospital mortality. Conclusions: SOFA and MOD scores had only a modest ability to discriminate between survivors and non-survivors. These results question the appropriateness of using organ dysfunction scores as a 'surrogate' for mortality in clinical trials and suggest further work is necessary to better understand the temporal relationship and course of organ failure with mortality.</p