Bayesian Conditional Cointegration

Cointegration is an important topic for time-series, and describes a relationship between two series in which a linear combination is stationary. Classically, the test for cointegration is based on a two stage process in which first the linear relation between the series is estimated by Ordinary Least Squares. Subsequently a unit root test is performed on the residuals. A well-known deficiency of this classical approach is that it can lead to erroneous conclusions about the presence of cointegration. As an alternative, we present a framework for estimating whether cointegration exists using Bayesian inference which is empirically superior to the classical approach. Finally, we apply our technique to model segmented cointegration in which cointegration may exist only for limited time. In contrast to previous approaches our model makes no restriction on the number of possible cointegration segments.Comment: Appears in Proceedings of the 29th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2012

Exploring the Impact of Patient and Public Involvement in a Cancer Research Setting

An enduring theme in the literature exploring patient and public involvement (PPI) in research has been the focus on evaluating impact, defined usually in terms of participants’ practical contribution to enhancing research processes. By contrast, there has been less emphasis on the perspectives and experiences of those involved in PPI. Drawing on qualitative data with people involved in the National Cancer Research Network in the United Kingdom, we report on what motivated participants to get involved and their experiences of involvement in this setting. We highlight how those involved in PPI often espoused the notion of the “good citizen,” with PPI in research being a natural extension of their wider civic interests. However, our findings also highlight how PPI was an important resource, utilized by participants to make sense of living with chronic illness. We suggest that PPI in research also offers spaces for the reconfiguration of self and identity

Electrodeposition of Copper Indium Sulfide Films from Organic Solutions

We report on organic solutions ofCuCl 2 ,InClg, and elemental sulfur for electrodepositing CuIn x Sv films. CuInS 2 and CuInSe 2 are promising solar cellmaterials; our work on CuInSg prefaces planned work on plating CuInSe 2 from nonaqueous solvents. Two promising solvent systems are (1) mixed propylcne carbonate and water and (2) mixed ethylene glycol, propionic acid, and water (Engelken et al., 1988). Gray-brown films ofCuInx Sy (nominally GuInS2 ) have been plated from both baths. Major problems include (1) reduction ofCu+2 to Cu and Cu x S by the solvent at high temperatures (T\u3el()0°C), hence depleting Cu+2,(2) poor adherence/uniformity, (3) controlling stoichiometry, and (4) sluggish indium deposition. The paper willdiscuss our routes to solving these problems and present filmdata

Improved Methods for Electroplating Cadmium Sulfide Thin Films

We report improved methods for electroplating cadmium sulfide (CMS) films. Aprevious problem was cracking/flaking of films deposited from organic solutions of elemental sulfur; attempts to improve adhesion via bath additives reduced grain size. Aqueous baths of thiosulfate ions yield cadmium-richness at low T temperatures (T), long deposition times, and/or poor bath stability. Developments in our work to be discussed include (1) plating ofuniform, adherent, and stoichiometric CdS from tetraethylene baths of CdCl 2 and elemental sulfur at T \u3e70° C with minimal cracking/flaking, (2) improved uniformity/ adherence by use of CdL\u3e, and (3) swept voltage methods in aqueous thiosulfate baths to plate stoichiometric (vs. Cd-rich) films near room temperature

On-Farm Participatory Research is an Essential Step Towards Achieving Successful Adoption of Innovation: ‘Lifetime Wool’ a Case Study

\u27Lifetime Wool\u27 project (LTW) is a national project that is developing new nutritional guidelines for the management of ewe flocks across Australia funded by farmers through Australian Wool Innovation (AWI EC298; 2001-2008). A large replicated plot-scale experiment was used to define the dose-response of current production (wool and reproduction from the ewe) and future production (survival, growth and wool from progeny over their lifetime) to a range of levels of ewe nutrition (Thompson & Oldham, 2004). However, farmers and research workers have long realised that the difference between the results obtained on experimental plots and those obtained by farmers is of crucial importance if farmers are to be convinced to adopt new technology (Davidson & Martin, 1968). Hence, the LTW was designed from the start to include four distinct phases: (i) plot-scale research (2001 2003; see Oldham et al. 2006); (ii) on-farm paddock-scale research (2003 - 2005); (iii) whole-farm systems modelling (see Young et al. 2004); and (iv) on-farm demonstration or \u27road-testing\u27 of the draft guidelines (2005-2007)

Improved Methods for Electroplating Cadmium Sulfide Thin Films

We report improved methods for electroplating cadmium sulfide (CMS) films. Aprevious problem was cracking/flaking of films deposited from organic solutions of elemental sulfur; attempts to improve adhesion via bath additives reduced grain size. Aqueous baths of thiosulfate ions yield cadmium-richness at low T temperatures (T), long deposition times, and/or poor bath stability. Developments in our work to be discussed include (1) plating ofuniform, adherent, and stoichiometric CdS from tetraethylene baths of CdCl 2 and elemental sulfur at T \u3e70° C with minimal cracking/flaking, (2) improved uniformity/ adherence by use of CdL\u3e, and (3) swept voltage methods in aqueous thiosulfate baths to plate stoichiometric (vs. Cd-rich) films near room temperature

Autism Theology: Discussions from an emerging field

This multi-authored book review explores the current state of the field of Autism Theology through a discussion of four recent publications. A concluding section reflects on several key themes in the individual reviews, drawing particular attention to: Autism Theology's focus on the ideas and practices which enable autistic people’s thriving; the importance of the inclusion of different voices in the conversation (including those who are non- or minimally speaking); and the richness which autistic people’s presence and contributions bring to theology and to the Church as a whole. Reviewed works:Claire Williams, Peculiar Discipleship: An Autistic Liberation Theology (London: SCM Press, 2023), pp. 272, ISBN 978-0334063063.Ruth M. Dunster, The Autism of Gxd: An Atheological Love Story (Eugene, OR: Pickwick Publications, 2022), pp. xix + 420, ISBN 978-1725268357.Stewart Rapley, Autistic Thinking in the Life of the Church (London: SCM Press, 2021), pp. xiv + 178, ISBN 978-0334060871.Cynthia Tam, Kinship in the Household of God: Towards a Practical Theology of Belonging and Spiritual Care of People with Profound Autism (Eugene, OR: Pickwick Publications, 2021), pp. x + 191, ISBN 978-1725274419.&nbsp