Phase I analysis of hidden operating status for wind turbine

Data-driven methods based on Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) become a recent trend for wind turbine condition monitoring. However, SCADA data are known to be of low quality due to low sampling frequency and complex turbine working dynamics. In this work, we focus on the phase I analysis of SCADA data to better understand turbines' operating status. As one of the most important characterization, the power curve is used as a benchmark to represent normal performance. A powerful distribution-free control chart is applied after the power generation is adjusted by an accurate power curve model, which explicitly takes into account the known factors that can affect turbines' performance. Informative out-of-control segments have been revealed in real field case studies. This phase I analysis can help improve wind turbine's monitoring, reliability, and maintenance for a smarter wind energy system

De-Biased Two-Sample U-Statistics With Application To Conditional Distribution Testing

In some high-dimensional and semiparametric inference problems involving two populations, the parameter of interest can be characterized by two-sample U-statistics involving some nuisance parameters. In this work we first extend the framework of one-step estimation with cross-fitting to two-sample U-statistics, showing that using an orthogonalized influence function can effectively remove the first order bias, resulting in asymptotically normal estimates of the parameter of interest. As an example, we apply this method and theory to the problem of testing two-sample conditional distributions, also known as strong ignorability. When combined with a conformal-based rank-sum test, we discover that the nuisance parameters can be divided into two categories, where in one category the nuisance estimation accuracy does not affect the testing validity, whereas in the other the nuisance estimation accuracy must satisfy the usual requirement for the test to be valid. We believe these findings provide further insights into and enhance the conformal inference toolbox.Comment: 25 pages, 1 figure, 6 table

Low Rank Approximation of Binary Matrices: Column Subset Selection and Generalizations

Low rank matrix approximation is an important tool in machine learning. Given a data matrix, low rank approximation helps to find factors, patterns and provides concise representations for the data. Research on low rank approximation usually focus on real matrices. However, in many applications data are binary (categorical) rather than continuous. This leads to the problem of low rank approximation of binary matrix. Here we are given a $d \times n$ binary matrix $A$ and a small integer $k$. The goal is to find two binary matrices $U$ and $V$ of sizes $d \times k$ and $k \times n$ respectively, so that the Frobenius norm of $A - U V$ is minimized. There are two models of this problem, depending on the definition of the dot product of binary vectors: The $\mathrm{GF}(2)$ model and the Boolean semiring model. Unlike low rank approximation of real matrix which can be efficiently solved by Singular Value Decomposition, approximation of binary matrix is $NP$-hard even for $k=1$. In this paper, we consider the problem of Column Subset Selection (CSS), in which one low rank matrix must be formed by $k$ columns of the data matrix. We characterize the approximation ratio of CSS for binary matrices. For $GF(2)$ model, we show the approximation ratio of CSS is bounded by $\frac{k}{2}+1+\frac{k}{2(2^k-1)}$ and this bound is asymptotically tight. For Boolean model, it turns out that CSS is no longer sufficient to obtain a bound. We then develop a Generalized CSS (GCSS) procedure in which the columns of one low rank matrix are generated from Boolean formulas operating bitwise on columns of the data matrix. We show the approximation ratio of GCSS is bounded by $2^{k-1}+1$, and the exponential dependency on $k$ is inherent.Comment: 38 page