Measuring local depletion of terrestrial game vertebrates by central-place hunters in rural Amazonia

The degree to which terrestrial vertebrate populations are depleted in tropical forests occupied by human communities has been the subject of an intense polarising debate that has important conservation implications. Conservation ecologists and practitioners are divided over the extent to which community-based subsistence offtake is compatible with ecologically functional populations of tropical forest game species. To quantify depletion envelopes of forest vertebrates around human communities, we deployed a total of 383 camera trap stations and 78 quantitative interviews to survey the peri-community areas controlled by 60 semi-subsistence communities over a combined area of over 3.2 million hectares in the Médio Juruá and Uatumã regions of Central-Western Brazilian Amazonia. Our results largely conform with prior evidence that hunting large-bodied vertebrates reduces wildlife populations near settlements, such that they are only found at a distance to settlements where they are hunted less frequently. Camera trap data suggest that a select few harvest-sensitive species, including lowland tapir, are either repelled or depleted by human communities. Nocturnal and cathemeral species were detected relatively more frequently in disturbed areas close to communities, but individual species did not necessarily shift their activity patterns. Group biomass of all species was depressed in the wider neighbourhood of urban areas rather than communities. Interview data suggest that species traits, especially group size and body mass, mediate these relationships. Large-bodied, large-group-living species are detected farther from communities as reported by experienced informants. Long-established communities in our study regions have not “emptied” the surrounding forest. Low human population density and low hunting offtake due to abundant sources of alternative aquatic protein, suggest that these communities represent a best-case scenario for sustainable hunting of wildlife for food, thereby providing a conservative assessment of game depletion. Given this ‘best-case’ camera trap and interview-based evidence for hunting depletion, regions with higher human population densities, external trade in wildlife and limited access to alternative protein will likely exhibit more severe depletion

Consideration of spatial heterogeneity in landslide susceptibility mapping using geographical random forest model

Most previous studies of landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) have not contemplated spatial heterogeneity and the commonly used models for LSM are aspatial, which could reduce model performance. Therefore, aiming to evaluate the applicability of spatial algorithms to predict landslide susceptibility, the performance of geographical random forest (GRF) was evaluated, in comparison to random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). Based on the results, GRF presented the better performance (AUC = 0.876), followed by RF (AUC = 0.748) and XGBoost (AUC = 0.745). GRF also provided the most suitable susceptibility map. While RF and XGBoost presented almost 50% of the study area as susceptible, the GRF presented more concentrated susceptibility areas spatially, with a reasonable area for moderate (15.55%), high (8.73%) and very-high (2.59%) susceptibility classes. Finally, it can be inferred that spatial assessment may improve model performance, and that spatial models have a great potential for LSM