ANALYSIS OF U.S. RICE POLICY IN A GLOBAL STOCHASTIC FRAMEWORK

Replaced with revised version of paper 04/13/11.Government payments, stochastic analysis, deterministic analysis, rice trade, empirical distribution, Arkansas Global Rice Model, Agricultural and Food Policy, Demand and Price Analysis, International Relations/Trade, Q11, Q17,

Analysis of Commodity Program Adjustments for U.S. Rice in Stochastic Framework

Potential adjustments in U.S. commodity program for rice are evaluated in this paper using stochastic analysis in a global modeling framework. Corresponding threshold and loss-compensatory increases in target price and loan rates are determined with assumed outright and gradual elimination of direct payments. Results show that if direct payments (DP) are eliminated in 2012, a 23% increase in both the target price (TP) and loan rate (LR) triggers counter-cyclical payments (CCP) 80% of the time; and it will take an increase of 48% in TP and LR to generate CCP enough to compensate for the loss in total DP. If DP is gradually removed over 5 years, the trigger and compensatory increases in TP and LR are 41% and 46%, respectively. Furthermore, if DP is eliminated outright and TP maintained, an increase of 71% in LR triggers loan deficiency payments (LDP) 75% of the time; and it will take an increase of 130% in LR to generate enough LDP to recoup the total loss in DP. Under gradual removal of DP, the trigger and compensatory increases in LR are 71% and 92%, respectively.U.S. commodity program, threshold and loss-compensatory increases, stochastic analysis, Agricultural and Food Policy, Crop Production/Industries, Q18,

2011 Updated Arkansas Global Rice Model

The Arkansas Global Rice Model is based on a multi-country statistical simulation and econometric framework. The model is disaggregated by five world regions: Africa, the Americas, Asia, Europe, and Oceania. Each region includes country models which have a supply sector, a demand sector, a trade, stocks and price linkage equations. All equations used in this model are estimated using econometric procedures or identities. Estimates are based upon a set of explanatory variables including exogenous macroeconomic factors such as income, population, inflation rate, technology development, and especially, government determined policy variables which reflect the various mechanisms by which countries intervene in their rice sector economy. Individual country models are linked through net trade to recognize the interdependence of countries in the world rice economy.Rice, trade model, policy, Agricultural and Food Policy, Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies, CO2, C61, F11, F14, Q17, Q18,

Concept for passive system to control gas flow independently of temperature

Volumetric flow rate of gas is maintained at a constant value independent of temperature by passing the gas through a parallel or series combination of turbulent flow and laminar flow restrictors. By proper combination of restrictors, the flow rate may be automatically made to vary as an increasing or decreasing function of temperature

Linear character-dependent models with constant time delay in population dynamics

AbstractWe reduce the extended MacKendrick-Von Foerster formalism of Gurney and Nisbet—an initial boundary value problem—to the solution of a single Volterra integral equation with a constant time lag. We then establish the existence, uniqueness and continuation of solutions for all t > 0, and reduce a simplified version of this model to a time-delay version of the classical MacKendrick model, for which the standard stability results for persistent distributions are available

PROTEA: The Journey

The purpose of this project is to create an E.P with instrumentals that combine ethnic musical elements with modern electronic music, accompanied by a virtual reality experience. The music of this E.P is inspired by African traditional rhythms, Arabic chants, Indian and Asian traditional instruments combined with Trap, Hip-Hop, House, and Ambient music. The motivation behind this entire concept came as a result of being in a diverse environment and believing that if we can combine the different regions together, something great can come to life. After spending hours of studying ancient music, it was time to get inspiration from other sources like movies, television shows and having old fashion conversations. The visual aspect of this project initially started as a challenge but later it became a new acquired skill. During the process, multiple programs had to be learnt in order to successfully create the virtual environments. Ultimately, the plan is for music to be experienced in a new way along with new textures that might not be familiar to your everyday music lover and we hope to spark the flame of a new trailblazer.https://remix.berklee.edu/graduate-studies-production-technology/1106/thumbnail.jp