Notes from the Stockpile seminar

A seminar was held to review some of the models used by the armed services for planning weapon procurement. Most of the effort was spent on the Navy's NNOR and the Air Force's Sabre Mix Methodologies. Even in an emergency situation, it is difficult to speed up the production rate of sophisticated, modern weapons. The time constant for increasing production rate for many weapons seems to be on the order of a year, whereas major wars are sometimes imagined to last for only several months. Given these supposed facts, the following question would seem to be crucial for the yearly POM process: How should a fixed budget be spent augmenting the current stockpile of weapons so as to maximize the effectiveness of the resulting stockpile? Operations Research techniques could play an important role in answering the question, since several favorable preconditions exist: The question must be asked repetitively, Combat modelling must inevitably be involved in assessing effectiveness, Lots of data are available that must be taken into account, and The problem of determining the best stockpile can be interpreted as one of mathematical optimization. For example, shows for a typical weapon the comparison between inventory and the Navy's 'programming objective profile' as determined by the NNOR (Non-Nuclear Ordnance Requirements). There is clearly a large difference between the two, particularly if the gap is compared to the yearly stockpile increment. One way of resolving the discrepancy between budgets and requirements would be to reassess requirements (possibly also budgets) until feasibility is finally achievedNaval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA.http://archive.org/details/notesfromstockpi00bog

Budget Allocation and Enlistment Prediction Models of Richard C. Morey: A Brief Review

Working Paper SeriesReviewed is "Budget Allocation and Enlistment Prediction Models for the Navy's Recruiting Conmand", Richard C. Morey, Principal Investigator; May 1979 and October 1979; The center of Applied Business Research, Graduate School of Business, Duke University, Durham, NC. The subject reports were prepared to summarize work performed for the Office of Naval Research and the Naval Recruiting Command

Benefits of a marketing cooperative in transition agriculture: Mórakert purchasing and service co-operative

The paper analyses the potential benefits of marketing cooperatives in Hungary, employing a transaction cost economics framework. We found that the purchased quantity, the existence of contracts, flexibility and trust are the most important factors farmers consider when selling their products via a cooperative. The most striking result is that diversification has positive influences on the share of cooperatives in farmers’ sale. Furthermore, farmers with larger bargaining power have less willingness to sell their product to the cooperative. Surprisingly, asset specificity has rather negative effects on the share of cooperatives in members’ sales

Elastic Convection in Vibrated Viscoplastic Fluids

We observe a new type of behavior in a shear thinning yield stress fluid: freestanding convection rolls driven by vertical oscillation. The convection occurs without the constraint of container boundaries yet the diameter of the rolls is spontaneously selected for a wide range of parameters. The transition to the convecting state occurs without hysteresis when the amplitude of the plate acceleration exceeds a critical value. We find that a non-dimensional stress, the stress due to the inertia of the fluid normalized by the yield stress, governs the onset of the convective motion.Comment: 4 pages, 6 figure

MQ-25A Manned/Unmanned Teaming

NPS NRP Project PosterManned aircraft coordinate with tankers locally through voice, hand signals and lighting. MQ-25A coordination is through a remote operator, typically through beyond line of sight communications. Degradation or loss of that communications link would inhibit refueling capability. Human machine teaming may be a key enabler for increased reliability and resilience in the unmanned tanking mission. Further, advanced human machine teaming capability may enable force multiplier missions, increasing war fighting capabilities of the carrier air wing. Co-Active Design and interdependence analysis are two proven methods for identifying human machine teaming requirements that enable resilience, reliability, and identify potential pitfalls. This year's research effort focuses on enhancing mission capabilities by exploring two key areas: enhanced ISR capabilities, and operations in non-permissive communications and position, navigation, and timing environments.ASN(RDA) - Research, Development, and AcquisitionThis research is supported by funding from the Naval Postgraduate School, Naval Research Program (PE 0605853N/2098). https://nps.edu/nrpChief of Naval Operations (CNO)Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.

MQ-25A Manned/Unmanned Teaming

NPS NRP Executive SummaryManned aircraft coordinate with tankers locally through voice, hand signals and lighting. MQ-25A coordination is through a remote operator, typically through beyond line of sight communications. Degradation or loss of that communications link would inhibit refueling capability. Human machine teaming may be a key enabler for increased reliability and resilience in the unmanned tanking mission. Further, advanced human machine teaming capability may enable force multiplier missions, increasing war fighting capabilities of the carrier air wing. Co-Active Design and interdependence analysis are two proven methods for identifying human machine teaming requirements that enable resilience, reliability, and identify potential pitfalls. This year's research effort focuses on enhancing mission capabilities by exploring two key areas: enhanced ISR capabilities, and operations in non-permissive communications and position, navigation, and timing environments.ASN(RDA) - Research, Development, and AcquisitionThis research is supported by funding from the Naval Postgraduate School, Naval Research Program (PE 0605853N/2098). https://nps.edu/nrpChief of Naval Operations (CNO)Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.

The South Australian Heat Flow Anomaly in east Antarctica: hot rocks in a cool place.

第3回極域科学シンポジウム/第32回極域地学シンポジウム 11月30日（金） 統計数理研究所 ３階セミナー

Improvi ng Federal Informati on Systems Management: Technological Opportunityes and Social Constraints

The management of data processing systems in the Federal government is rapidly approaching a state of crisis.1 The Federal information systems inventory is a collection of outdated hardware as well as software techniques and systems which were abandoned 1 ong ago in the private sector. Projects have such long lead times that when systems are finally devel oped they are outmoded or no 1 onger meet current requi rements. A number of sol uti ons have been proposed which range from new rul es and procedures to i ncreased use of private contractors in delivering EDP resources. Many of the proposed solutions have more to do with the political philosophy of the proposers than with the realities of data processing management or the underlying political processes which make EDP management so complex in the government sector. This paper examines the causes of Federal FDP management problems and the political questions that must be resolved for any proposed solutions to succeed

The Isotopic Composition of Strontium in Fossils from the Kendrick Shale, Kentucky

Author Institution: Department of Geology and Mineralogy, The Ohio State UniversityNine analyses of the isotopic composition of strontium in the carbonate shells of marine fossils from the Kendrick Shale (Lower Pennsylvanian) of Kentucky indicate an average 87Sr/86Sr ratio of 0.7086^O.OOOSS at the 95 percent confidence limit. This value is in satisfactory agreement with previous measurements by Peterman et al. (1970) and confirms that strontium in the oceans during Early Pennsylvanian time was anomalously enriched in radiogenic 87Sr, compared to that in earlier and later periods. The isotopic composition of strontium in skeletal clacium carbonate of cephalopods, gastropods, and brachiopods from the Kendrick Shale appears to be the same in spite of the different feeding habits of these animals