The center effect in liver transplantation in the Eurotransplant region : a retrospective database analysis

Apart from donor and recipient risk factors, the effect of center-related factors has significant impact on graft survival after liver transplantation (LT). To investigate this effect in Eurotransplant, a retrospective database analysis was performed, including all LT's in adult recipients (18years) in the Eurotransplant region from 1.1.2007 until 31.12.2013. Additionally, a survey was sent out to all transplant centers requesting information on surgeons' experience and exposure. In total, 10265 LT's were included (median follow-up 3.3years), performed in 39 transplant centers. Funnel plots showed significant differences in graft survival between the transplant centers. After correction for donor and recipient risk, with the Eurotransplant donor risk index (ET-DRI) and the simplified recipient risk index (sRRI) and random effects, these differences diminished. Mean historical volume (in the preceding 5years) was a significant (P<0.001), nonlinear marker for graft survival in the multivariate analysis. This study demonstrates that funnel plots can be used for benchmarking purposes in LT. Case-mix correction can be performed with the use of the ET-DRI and sRRI. The center effect encompasses the entire complex process of preoperative workup, operation to follow-up

Impact of Temporary Portocaval Shunting and Initial Arterial Reperfusion in Orthotopic Liver Transplantation

Perioperative Medicine: Efficacy, Safety and Outcom

Joint modeling of liver transplant candidates outperforms the model for end-stage liver disease: the effect of disease development over time on patient outcome

Liver function is measured regularly in liver transplantation (LT) candidates. Currently, these previous disease development data are not used for survival prediction. By constructing and validating joint models (JMs), we aimed to predict the outcome based on all available data, using both disease severity and its rate of change over time. Adult LT candidates listed in Eurotransplant between 2007 and 2018 (n = 16 283) and UNOS between 2016 and 2019 (n = 30 533) were included. Patients with acute liver failure, exception points, or priority status were excluded. Longitudinal MELD(-Na) data were modeled using spline-based mixed effects. Waiting list survival was modeled with Cox proportional hazards models. The JMs combined the longitudinal and survival analysis. JM 90-day mortality prediction performance was compared to MELD(-Na) in the validation cohorts. MELD(-Na) score and its rate of change over time significantly influenced patient survival. The JMs significantly outperformed the MELD(-Na) score at baseline and during follow-up. At baseline, MELD-JM AUC and MELD AUC were 0.94 (0.92-0.95) and 0.87 (0.85-0.89), respectively. MELDNa-JM AUC was 0.91 (0.89-0.93) and MELD-Na AUC was 0.84 (0.81-0.87). The JMs were significantly (p < .001) more accurate than MELD(-Na). After 90 days, we ranked patients for LT based on their MELD-Na and MELDNa-JM survival rates, showing that MELDNa-JM-prioritized patients had three times higher waiting list mortality.Transplant surger

Development and validation of a dynamic survival prediction model for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background & aims: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is usually associated with a precipitating event and results in the failure of other organ systems and high short-term mortality. Current prediction models fail to adequately estimate prognosis and need for liver transplantation (LT) in ACLF. This study develops and validates a dynamic prediction model for patients with ACLF that uses both longitudinal and survival data.Methods: Adult patients on the UNOS waitlist for LT between 11.01.2016-31.12.2019 were included. Repeated model for end-stage liver disease-sodium (MELD-Na) measurements were jointly modelled with Cox survival analysis to develop the ACLF joint model (ACLF-JM). Model validation was carried out using separate testing data with area under curve (AUC) and prediction errors. An online ACLF-JM tool was created for clinical application.Results: In total, 30,533 patients were included. ACLF grade 1 to 3 was present in 16.4%, 10.4% and 6.2% of patients, respectively. The ACLF-JM predicted survival significantly (p <0.001) better than the MELD-Na score, both at baseline and during follow-up. For 28- and 90-day predictions, ACLF-JM AUCs ranged between 0.840-0.871 and 0.833-875, respectively. Compared to MELD-Na, AUCs and prediction errors were improved by 23.1%-62.0% and 5%-37.6% respectively. Also, the ACLF-JM could have prioritized patients with relatively low MELD-Na scores but with a 4-fold higher rate of waiting list mortality.Conclusions: The ACLF-JM dynamically predicts outcome based on current and past disease severity. Prediction performance is excellent over time, even in patients with ACLF-3. Therefore, the ACLF-JM could be used as a clinical tool in the evaluation of prognosis and treatment in patients with ACLF.Lay summary: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) progresses rapidly and often leads to death. Liver transplantation is used as a treatment and the sickest patients are treated first. In this study, we develop a model that predicts survival in ACLF and we show that the newly developed model performs better than the currently used model for ranking patients on the liver transplant waiting list. (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V.Cellular mechanisms in basic and clinical gastroenterology and hepatolog

Applicability and reproducibility of the CPAT-grading system for pancreas allograft thrombosis

Purpose: : Although pancreas allograft thrombosis (PAT) incidence has progressively decreased, it remains the most common cause of early graft failure. Currently, there is no consensus on documentation of PAT, which has resulted in a great variability in reporting. The Cambridge Pancreas Allograft Thrombosis (CPAT) grading system has recently been developed for classification of PAT. In this study we aimed to assess the applicability and validate the reproducibility of the CPAT grading system.Methods: : This study is a retrospective cohort study. Selected for this study were all 177 pancreas transplantations performed at our center between January 1 st, 2008 and September 1 st, 2018 were included.Results: : A total of 318 Computed Tomography (CT) images was reevaluated according the CPAT system by two local radiologists. Inter-rater agreement expressed in Cohen's kappa was 0.403 for arterial and 0.537 for venous thrombosis. Inter-rater agreement, expressed in the Fleiss' kappa, within clinically relevant thrombosis categories was 0.626 for Grade 2 and 0.781 for Grade 3 venous thrombosis.Conclusions: : Although not perfect, we believe that implementation of the CPAT system would improve current documentation on PAT. However, it is questionable whether identification of a small Grade 1 thrombosis would be relevant in clinical practice.Furthermore, a good quality CT scan, including adequate phasing, is essential to accurately identify potential thrombus and extend after pancreas transplantation.Cardiovascular Aspects of Radiolog

Pancreas Transplantation With Grafts From Donors Deceased After Circulatory Death: 5 Years Single-Center Experience

Transplant surger

Flushing the liver with urokinase before transplantation does not prevent nonanastomotic biliary strictures

Transplant surger

Thirty Years of Pancreas Transplantation at Leiden University Medical Center: Long-term Follow-up in a Large Eurotransplant Center

Transplant surger

Should jaundice preclude resection in patients with gallbladder cancer? Results from a nation-wide cohort study

Background: It is controversial whether patients with gallbladder cancer (GBC) presenting with jaundice benefit from resection. This study re-evaluates the impact of jaundice on resectability and survival. Methods: Data was collected on surgically explored GBC patients in all Dutch academic hospitals from 2000 to 2018. Survival and prognostic factors were assessed. Results: In total 202 patients underwent exploration and 148 were resected; 124 non-jaundiced patients (104 resected) and 75 jaundiced patients (44 resected). Jaundiced patients had significantly (P < 0.05) more pT3/T4 tumors, extended (≥3 segments) liver- and organ resections, major post-operative complications and margin-positive resection. 90-day mortality was higher in jaundiced patients (14% vs. 0%, P < 0.001). Median overall survival (OS) was 7.7 months in jaundiced patients (2-year survival 17%) vs. 26.1 months in non-jaundiced patients (2-year survival 39%, P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, jaundice (HR1.89) was a poor prognostic factor for OS in surgically explored but not in resected patients. Six jaundiced patients did not develop a recurrence; none had liver- or common bile duct (CBD) invasion on imaging. Conclusion: Jaundice is associated with poor survival. However, jaundice is not an independent adverse prognostic factor in resected patients. Surgery should be considered in patients with limited disease and no CBD invasion on imaging

Optimizing the Use of Geriatric Livers for Transplantation in the Eurotransplant Region

Development and application of statistical models for medical scientific researc