Cardiorespiratory fitness and future risk of venous thromboembolism

This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Evensen, L. H., Isaksen, T., Brækkan, S. K. & Hansen, J.-B. (2019). Cardiorespiratory fitness and future risk of venous thromboembolism. Journal of Thrombosis and Haemostasis, 17(12), 2160-2168., which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/jth.14619. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions.Background - Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) is a strong predictor of future arterial cardiovascular disease and premature mortality. However, there are limited data on the association between CRF and the risk of incident venous thromboembolism (VTE). Objectives - To investigate whether estimated CRF (eCRF) was associated with the risk of incident VTE in a cohort recruited from the general population. Methods - Participants (n = 10 393) from the sixth survey of the Tromsø Study (2007—08) were included, and incident VTEs were recorded up to 31 December 2016. CRF was estimated in sex‐specific algorithms based on age, waist circumference, resting heart rate, and self‐reported physical activity. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of VTE according to categories of eCRF were estimated in Cox regression models adjusted for sex with age as timescale. The impact of weight status was evaluated in analyses stratified by weight category. Results - There were 176 incident VTEs during follow‐up. Compared with individuals with eCRF 100% of age‐predicted had 46% (HR 0.54; 95% CI 0.39‐0.77) and 67% (HR 0.33; 95% CI 0.20‐0.54) lower VTE risk, respectively. Compared with overweight/obese individuals with eCRF Conclusions - Higher eCRF was associated with lower risk of incident VTE. The association was independent of weight categories, suggesting that higher eCRF may modify the association between obesity and VTE

Surgery As a Trigger for Incident Venous Thromboembolism: Results from a Population-Based Case-Crossover Study

Background Surgery is a major transient risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, the impact of major surgery as a VTE trigger has been scarcely investigated using a case-crossover design. Aim To investigate the role of major surgery as a trigger for incident VTE in a population-based case-crossover study while adjusting for other concomitant VTE triggers. Methods We conducted a case-crossover study with 531 cancer-free VTE cases derived from the Tromsø Study cohort. Triggers were registered during the 90 days before a VTE event (hazard period) and in four preceding 90-day control periods. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for VTE according to major surgery and after adjustment for other VTE triggers. Results Surgery was registered in 85 of the 531 (16.0%) hazard periods and in 38 of the 2,124 (1.8%) control periods, yielding an OR for VTE of 11.40 (95% CI: 7.42–17.51). The OR decreased to 4.10 (95% CI: 2.40–6.94) after adjustment for immobilization and infection and was further attenuated to 3.31 (95% CI: 1.83–5.96) when additionally adjusted for trauma, blood transfusion, and central venous catheter. In a mediation analysis, 51.4% (95% CI: 35.5–79.7%) of the effect of surgery on VTE risk could be mediated through immobilization and infection. Conclusions Major surgery was a trigger for VTE, but the association between surgery and VTE risk was in part explained by other VTE triggers often coexisting with surgery, particularly immobilization and infection

Hand grip strength in venous thromboembolism: risk of recurrence and mortality

Background - There is limited information on the relationship between muscle strength and recurrence and mortality after incident venous thromboembolism (VTE). Objectives - To investigate whether weak hand grip strength (HGS) was associated with risk of recurrence and mortality in patients with VTE recruited from the general population. Methods - Participants from the Tromsø Study with a first-time VTE (n = 545) were included, and all VTE recurrences and deaths among the participants were recorded in the period 1994 to 2020. Weak HGS was defined as lowest 25th percentile of the general population, and incidence rates for VTE recurrence and mortality according to weak vs normal (>25th percentile) HGS, with 95% CIs, were estimated. Results - There were 90 recurrences and 350 deaths during a median of 3.7 years of follow-up. The fully adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for overall VTE recurrence for those with weak HGS vs those with normal HGS was 2.02 (95% CI, 1.23-3.30). The corresponding HRs for recurrence were 2.22 (95% CI, 1.18-4.17) in patients with a first deep vein thrombosis and 1.60 (95% CI, 0.72-3.57) in patients with a first pulmonary embolism. The cumulative 1-year survival was 74.9% and 77.8% in those with weak and normal HGS, respectively. For overall mortality after incident VTE, the fully adjusted HR for those with weak HGS was 1.34 (95% CI, 1.04-1.72). Conclusion - Weak HGS was associated with an increased risk of recurrent VTE, and the association appeared to be particularly pronounced after incident deep vein thrombosis. There was a slightly lower survival probability among those with weak HGS than among those with normal HGS

Risk factors and predictors for venous thromboembolism in people with ischemic stroke: A systematic review

Identification of individuals with ischemic stroke at particularly high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is crucial for targeted thromboprophylaxis. To guide clinical decision-making and development of risk prediction models, increased knowledge on risk factors and biomarkers is needed. Therefore, we set out to identify risk factors and predictors for VTE in people with ischemic stroke by conducting a systematic review of the literature. Medline and Embase were searched from January 1990 and onwards. Studies investigating demographic, clinical, and/or laboratory factors for stroke-related VTE were considered. Two reviewers screened all retrieved records, independently and in duplicate. Risk of bias assessments were guided by a structured framework (PROSPERO-ID: CRD42020176361). Of 4674 identified records, 26 studies were included. Twenty-six demographic, clinical, and laboratory factors associated with increased risk of stroke-related VTE after multivariable adjustments were identified. The following factors were reported by ≥2 studies: prior VTE, cancer, prestroke disability, leg weakness, increasing lesion volume of the brain infarct, infection, low Barthel Index, increasing length of hospital stay, biochemical indices of dehydration, as well as elevated levels of D-dimer, C-reactive protein, and homocysteine. The majority of the studies were of poor quality with moderate or high risk of bias. In conclusion, this systematic review informs on several potential risk factors and predictors for VTE in people with ischemic stroke. To improve risk stratification and guide development of risk prediction models, further confirmation is needed because there were few high-quality studies on each factor

Joint Effect of Multiple Prothrombotic Genotypes and Mean Platelet Volume on the Risk of Incident Venous Thromboembolism

Background - A high mean platelet volume (MPV), a marker of increased platelet reactivity, is a risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE). Whether established prothrombotic single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) further increase the VTE risk in subjects with high MPV because of biological interaction remains unknown. Aim - To investigate the joint effect of high MPV and prothrombotic genotypes, comprising a 5-SNP genetic risk score (GRS), on the risk of VTE in a population-based case–cohort. Methods - Incident VTE cases (n = 653) and a subcohort (n = 1,774) were derived from the Tromsø Study (1994–2012). DNA was genotyped for rs8176719 (ABO), rs6025 (F5), rs1799963 (F2), rs2036914 (F11), and rs2066865 (FGG). Hazard ratios (HRs) for VTE with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated according to predefined MPV-strata ( Results - The combination of high MPV and risk alleles, either as individual SNPs or the GRS, had an additive effect on VTE risk. Compared with subjects with MPV Conclusion - The combination of high MPV and prothrombotic genotypes had an additive effect on VTE risk, suggesting there is no biological interaction between these risk factors in the pathogenesis of VTE

The Risk of Incident Venous Thromboembolism Attributed to Overweight and Obesity: The Tromso Study

Background: Obesity is a well-established risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, data on the proportion of incident VTEs attributed to overweight and obesity in the general population are limited. Objective: To investigate the population attributable fraction (PAF) of VTE due to overweight and obesity in a population-based cohort with repeated measurements of body mass index (BMI). Methods: Participants from the fourth to seventh surveys of the Tromsø Study (enrolment: 1994-2016) were followed through 2020, and all incident VTEs were recorded. In total, 36,341 unique participants were included, and BMI measurements were updated for those attending more than one survey. BMI was categorized as 2, 25-30 kg/m2 (overweight), and ≥30 kg/m2 (obesity). Time-varying Cox regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The PAF was estimated based on age- and sex-adjusted HRs and the prevalence of BMI categories in VTE cases. Results: At baseline, the prevalence of overweight and obesity was 37.9 and 13.8%, respectively. During a median follow-up of 13.9 years, 1,051 VTEs occurred. The age- and sex-adjusted HRs of VTE were 1.40 (95% CI: 1.21-1.61) for overweight and 1.86 (95% CI: 1.58-2.20) for obesity compared with subjects with BMI 2. The PAF of VTE due to overweight and obesity was 24.6% (95% CI: 16.6-32.9), with 12.9% (95% CI: 6.6-19.0) being attributed to overweight and 11.7% (95% CI: 8.5-14.9) to obesity. Similar PAFs were obtained in analyses stratified by sex and VTE subtypes (provoked/unprovoked events, deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism). Conclusion: Our findings indicate that almost 25% of all VTE events can be attributed to overweight and obesity in a general population from Norway

Hand grip strength and risk of incident venous thromboembolism: The Tromsø study

Background Hand grip strength (HGS), a common proxy of whole-body muscular strength, is associated with a wide range of adverse health outcomes and mortality. However, there are limited data on the association between HGS and risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Objectives We aimed to investigate the association between HGS and risk of incident VTE in a population-based cohort. Methods Participants (n = 13,704) from the fourth to seventh surveys of the Tromsø study (Tromsø4–Tromsø7, enrollment: 1994–2016) were followed throughout 2020, and all incident VTEs were recorded. HGS of the nondominant hand was measured using a Martin Vigorimeter (Tromsø4–Tromsø6) and a Jamar Digital Dynamometer (Tromsø7). Hazard ratios (HRs) for VTE with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) according to weak HGS (less than 25th percentile) versus normal HGS (25th percentile or greater) were estimated using Cox regression models and adjusted for age, sex, body height, body mass index, physical activity, cardiovascular disease, and cancer. Results During a median of 6.5 years of follow-up, 545 incident VTEs occurred. Participants with weak HGS had a 27% higher risk of VTE (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.03–1.57) compared to those with normal HGS. Subgroup analyses revealed that the point estimates were higher for unprovoked VTE (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 0.96–1.91) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT; HR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.14–2.01). Similar results were found in analyses restricted to men, women, and elderly (aged greater than 75 years). Conclusion A weak HGS was associated with increased risk of VTE, and particularly unprovoked VTE and isolated DVT. Our findings suggest that weak muscle strength may be a risk factor for VTE

Diagnostic Blood Biomarkers for Acute Pulmonary Embolism: A Systematic Review

(1) Background: The current diagnostic algorithm for acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is associated with the overuse of CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA). An additional highly specific blood test could potentially lower the proportion of patients with suspected PE that require CTPA. The aim was to summarize the literature on the diagnostic performance of biomarkers of patients admitted to an emergency department with suspected acute PE. (2) Methods: Medline and Embase databases were searched from 1995 to the present. The study selection process, data extraction, and risk of bias assessment were conducted by two reviewers. Eligibility criteria accepted all blood biomarkers except D-dimer, and CTPA was used as the reference standard. Qualitative data synthesis was performed. (3) Results: Of the 8448 identified records, only 6 were included. Eight blood biomarkers were identified, of which, three were investigated in two separate studies. Red distribution width and mean platelet volume were reported to have a specificity of ≥ 90% in one study, although these findings were not confirmed by other studies. The majority of the studies contained a high risk of selection bias. (4) Conclusions: The modest findings and the uncertain validity of the included studies suggest that none of the biomarkers identified in this systematic review have the potential to improve the current diagnostic algorithm for acute PE by reducing the overuse of CTPA

Low D-dimer levels at diagnosis of venous thromboembolism are associated with reduced risk of recurrence: data from the TROLL registry

Background: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a frequent disease with a high risk of recurrence. It has been suggested that the D-dimer level at the time of VTE diagnosis can be used to identify patients at a low risk of recurrence. Objectives: We aimed to investigate the impact of D-dimer levels measured at the time of VTE diagnosis on the risk of recurrence in a large cohort of patients with a first-time VTE. Methods: The study included 2585 patients with first symptomatic non-cancer–associated VTE from the Venous Thrombosis Registry in Østfold Hospital (TROLL) (2005- 2020). All recurrent events during the follow-up were recorded, and cumulative incidences of recurrence were estimated according to D-dimer levels of ≤1900 ng/mL (≤25th percentile) and >1900 ng/mL. Results: During a median follow-up of 3.3 years, 395 patients experienced a recurrent VTE. The 1- and 5-year cumulative incidences of recurrence were 2.9% (95% CI: 1.8- 4.6) and 11.4% (95% CI: 8.7-14.8), respectively, in those with a D-dimer concentration of ≤1900 ng/mL and 5.0% (95% CI, 4.0-6.1) and 18.3% (95% CI: 16.2-20.6), respectively, in those with a D-dimer concentration of >1900 ng/mL, respectively. In patients with unprovoked VTE, the 5-year cumulative incidence was 14.3% (95% CI: 10.3-19.7) in the ≤1900-ng/mL category, and 20.2% (95% CI: 17.3-23.5) in the >1900-ng/mL category. Conclusions: D-dimer levels within the lowest quartile, measured at the time of VTE diagnosis, were associated with lower recurrence risk. Our findings imply that D-dimer levels measured at the time of diagnosis may be used to identify patients with VTE at a low risk of recurrent VTE

Plasma levels of platelet-derived microvesicles are associated with risk of future venous thromboembolism

Background - Microvesicles (MVs) are small double‐membrane encapsulated particles shed from cells. Case‐control studies have reported elevated plasma levels of platelet‐derived MVs (PDMVs) in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, it is not known whether high PDMV levels is a risk factor or a consequence of the acute VTE event. Objectives - To investigate the association between PDMVs in plasma and risk of future incident VTE. Methods - We performed a population‐based nested case‐control study with 314 VTE cases and 705 age‐ and sex‐matched controls (from The Tromsø Study) to investigate the association between the proportion of PDMVs (PDMVs%) in plasma and risk of future incident VTE. MVs isolated from plasma sampled at baseline (i.e., before VTE) were stained for platelet markers and analyzed by flow cytometry. PDMVs% were defined as the number of PDMVs divided by the total number of MVs. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for VTE risk were estimated across quartiles of PDMVs%. Results - Subjects with PDMVs% in the highest quartile had an OR for VTE of 1.78 (95% CI: 1.21–2.64) and 1.99 (95% CI: 1.24–3.26) for provoked VTE, compared to those in the lowest quartile. The association was moderately affected by multivariable adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, C‐reactive protein, platelet count, and cancer. The OR for VTE was higher when the time between blood sampling and event was shorter. Conclusions - Our results show that high proportions of PDMVs are associated with future risk of incident VTE and imply a role of platelet activation in the pathogenesis of VTE