The short-run, dynamic employment effects of natural disasters: New insights from Puerto Rico

We study the short-run, dynamic employment effects of natural disasters. We exploit monthly data for 70 3-digits NAICS industries and 78 Puerto Rican counties over the period 1995–2019. Our exogenous measure of exposure to natural disasters is computed using the maximum wind speed recorded in each county during each hurricane. Using panel local projections, we find that after the “average” hurricane, employment falls by 0.5% on average. Across industries, we find substantial heterogeneity in the employment responses. Employment increases in some industries while in others employment decreases after a hurricane. This heterogeneity can be partly explained by input–output linkages

Croissance économique-Econométrie ARDL

International audienceAlthough the countries of the Organization of the Eastern Caribbean States (OECS) have registered some appreciable degrees of success concerning poverty reduction, education or schooling achievement, and economic growth, in many instances, much needs to be done interms of poverty reduction, high external debt and overall development. The present paper reexamines the issue of the determinants of economic growth in the countries of the OECS in the period 1980-2011. Specifically, the paper answers two questions. What are the determinants of economic growth in the countries of the OECS? What are their short-run and long-run impacts?To this end, the paper uses the cointegration autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach at the country level to draw conclusions concerning each country individually and the region as a whole. Overall, it is found that external debt, natural increase rate, and private consumption are the main drags to economic growth in the region in the short and long runs, and trade openness positively impacts economic growth. For any significant determinant, the long-run impact is in general far bigger than the short-run impact. Of note, natural disasters have negative impacts on economic growth, but only in a handful of countries. The negative impact of budget deficit shows up in one country with a complete data set. These results have policy implications

Chômage et exportation agricole : le cas des régions ultra périphériques de l'Europe

Arbeitslosigkeit und Export landwirtschaftlicher Erzeugnisse: der Fall der Regionen an der âuftersten Randlage Europas von Patrice Borda, Jean-Gabriel Montauban Aus der Untersuchung der Struktur der Unterbeschaftigung in den Regionen, die an der auBersten Randlage Europas liegen, ergibt sich das Vorhandensein eines dualen Marktes in diesen kleinen Volkswirtschaften. In diesem Artikel soil ein duales Arbeitsmarktmodell vorgestellt werden, in dem wir die informellen Aktivitaten sowie einen Produktionszwang beriicksichtigen, dem die Unternehmen des sekundaren Sektors unterworfen sind. Dadurch werden die Faktoren aufgezeigt, die das Aufkommen der Unterbeschaftigung begiinstigen.Unemployment and Agricultural Exports: The Case of the Outlying Areas of Europe by Patrice Borda and Jean-Gabriel Montauban An analysis of the structure of underemployment in Europe's outlying areas reveals the existence of a dual market in these small economies. The purpose of this article is to present a dual market model taking account of unofficial activities and the constraint on the output of secondary sector firms. In this way, we highlight the factors that encourage the emergence of underemployment.Chômage et exportation agricole : le cas des régions ultra-périphériques de l'Europe par Patrice Borda, Jean-Gabriel Montauban L'examen de la structure du sous-emploi dans les régions ultra-périphériques de l'Europe traduit l'existence d'un marché dual dans ces petites économies. L'objet de cet article est de présenter un modèle dual du marché du travail dans lequel nous prenons en compte les activités informelles ainsi qu'une contrainte de production à laquelle doivent se soumettre les entreprises du secteur secondaire. On met ainsi en évidence les facteurs favorisant l'émergence du sous-emploi.Desempleo y exportaciôn agrîcola: el caso de las regiones ultraperiféricas de Europa por Patrice Borda y Jean-Gabriel Montauban El examen de la estructura del subempleo en las regiones ultra periféricas de Europa révéla la existencia de un mercado dual en estas pequenas economias. El objetivo de este articulo es presentar un modelo dual del mercado de trabajo en el cùal tomamos en consideraciôn las actividades informales asi como también una restricciôn de producciôn a la cual deben estar sujetas las empresas del sector secundario. Asi, ponemos en evidencia los factores que favorizan la emergencia del subempleo.Borda Patrice, Montauban Jean Gabriel. Chômage et exportation agricole : le cas des régions ultra périphériques de l'Europe. In: Économie & prévision, n°119, 1995-3. pp. 31-42

L'immigration intra-caribéenne. Des faits aux enjeux économiques

Les Grandes Antilles sont composées d'un chapelet d'îles plus ou moins riches. Ces différences entraînent des flux migratoires très variés entre les îles. Ainsi, sur 38 millions d'habitants, la Caraïbe compte-t-elle un million de migrants intrarégionaux. Si, en volume, ces migrations représentent une portion congrue des migrations mondiales, compte tenu de la petite taille des territoires, ces circulations de populations peuvent avoir des conséquences économiques importantes, notamment sur les marchés locaux du travail, tant pour les pays d'accueil que pour les pays d'origine des migrants.Borda Patrice, Maurin Alain, Manioc Olivier. L'immigration intra-caribéenne. Des faits aux enjeux économiques. In: Hommes et Migrations, n°1274, Juillet-août 2008. L’espace caribéen : institutions et migrations depuis le XVIIe siècle. pp. 10-20

The Short-Run Dynamic Employment Effects of Natural Disasters: New Insights

We study the short-run, dynamic employment effects of natural disasters. We exploit monthly data for over 90 3-digits NAICS industries and 78 Puerto Rican counties over the period 1995-2017. Our exogenous measure of exposure to natural disasters is computed using the maximum wind speed recorded in each county during each hurricane. Using panel local projections, we find that after the “average” hurricane, employment and wages fall by 1% on average. The effects peak after six months and disappear within two years. Across industries, we find substantial heterogeneity in the employment responses. This heterogeneity can be partly explained by input-output linkages

The coverage of science in television news programs in Brazil and Colombia: a comparative study of media constructs

This study analyzes and compares the science and technology coverage in Brazil's main television news program (Jornal Nacional) and its Colombian counterpart (Noticias Caracol). Using content analysis, we investigated a corpus of news stories broadcast from April 2009 to March 2010. We found that Jornal Nacional presented over twice as many reports on science and technology as Noticias Caracol, and that its levels of reporting remained fairly stable throughout the year. The Brazilian reports were also longer, were featured more prominently, and used more visual resources. Even so, some similarities were found: news about health and medicine was most frequent; the reports focused primarily on announcing new research; scientists were the main sources cited; and national research was prioritized