986 research outputs found
Empirical ground-motion models for point- and extended-source crustal earthquake scenarios in Europe and the Middle East
This article presents the latest generation of ground-motion models for the prediction of elastic response (pseudo-) spectral accelerations, as well as peak ground acceleration and velocity, derived using pan-European databases. The models present a number of novelties with respect to previous generations of models (Ambraseys et al. in Earthq Eng Struct Dyn 25:371–400, 1996, Bull Earthq Eng 3:1–53, 2005; Bommer et al. in Bull Earthq Eng 1:171–203, 2003; Akkar and Bommer in Seismol Res Lett 81:195–206, 2010), namely: inclusion of a nonlinear site amplification function that is a function of V S30 and reference peak ground acceleration on rock; extension of the magnitude range of applicability of the model down to M w 4; extension of the distance range of applicability out to 200 km; extension to shorter and longer periods (down to 0.01 s and up to 4 s); and consistent models for both point-source (epicentral, R epi, and hypocentral distance, R hyp) and finite-fault (distance to the surface projection of the rupture, R JB) distance metrics. In addition, data from more than 1.5 times as many earthquakes, compared to previous pan-European models, have been used, leading to regressions based on approximately twice as many records in total. The metadata of these records have been carefully compiled and reappraised in recent European projects. These improvements lead to more robust ground-motion prediction equations than have previously been published for shallow (focal depths less than 30 km) crustal earthquakes in Europe and the Middle East. We conclude with suggestions for the application of the equations to seismic hazard assessments in Europe and the Middle East within a logic-tree framework to capture epistemic uncertainty
Sex Differences on Elementary Cognitive Tasks Despite No Differences on the Wonderlic Personnel Test
Whether males and females differ in general mental ability (GMA) remains an open question. Complicating the issue is that standardized IQ tests are constructed to minimize sex differences. We propose a potential solution whereby GMA is measured via performance on elementary cognitive tasks (ECTs). ECTs assess basic information-processing ability, yet correlate moderately highly with GMA. Toward this end, we had male (n = 218) and female (n = 226) undergraduates complete the Wonderlic Personnel Test (WPT), and two ECTs: inspection time (IT) and reaction time (RT). The sex difference on the WPT was non-significant (d = .17), but small differences favoring males existed for IT (d = .34), RT (d = .26), the standard deviation of RT (d = .30), and an ECT factor score (d = .38). Unlike standardized IQ tests, ECTs may be a viable research tool to help clarify and illuminate the nature of sex differences on GMA
Imbibition in mesoporous silica: rheological concepts and experiments on water and a liquid crystal
We present, along with some fundamental concepts regarding imbibition of
liquids in porous hosts, an experimental, gravimetric study on the
capillarity-driven invasion dynamics of water and of the rod-like liquid
crystal octyloxycyanobiphenyl (8OCB) in networks of pores a few nanometers
across in monolithic silica glass (Vycor). We observe, in agreement with
theoretical predictions, square root of time invasion dynamics and a sticky
velocity boundary condition for both liquids investigated.
Temperature-dependent spontaneous imbibition experiments on 8OCB reveal the
existence of a paranematic phase due to the molecular alignment induced by the
pore walls even at temperatures well beyond the clearing point. The ever
present velocity gradient in the pores is likely to further enhance this
ordering phenomenon and prevent any layering in molecular stacks, eventually
resulting in a suppression of the smectic phase in favor of the nematic phase.Comment: 18 pages, 8 figure
Autonomous decision-making against induced seismicity in deep fluid injections
The rise in the frequency of anthropogenic earthquakes due to deep fluid
injections is posing serious economic, societal, and legal challenges to
geo-energy and waste-disposal projects. We propose an actuarial approach to
mitigate this risk, first by defining an autonomous decision-making process
based on an adaptive traffic light system (ATLS) to stop risky injections, and
second by quantifying a "cost of public safety" based on the probability of an
injection-well being abandoned. The ATLS underlying statistical model is first
confirmed to be representative of injection-induced seismicity, with examples
taken from past reservoir stimulation experiments (mostly from Enhanced
Geothermal Systems, EGS). Then the decision strategy is formalized: Being
integrable, the model yields a closed-form ATLS solution that maps a risk-based
safety standard or norm to an earthquake magnitude not to exceed during
stimulation. Finally, the EGS levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is
reformulated in terms of null expectation, with the cost of abandoned
injection-well implemented. We find that the price increase to mitigate the
increased seismic risk in populated areas can counterbalance the heat credit.
However this "public safety cost" disappears if buildings are based on
earthquake-resistant designs or if a more relaxed risk safety standard or norm
is chosen.Comment: 8 pages, 4 figures, conference (International Symposium on Energy
Geotechnics, 26-28 September 2018, Lausanne, Switzerland
Simulations for the development of a ground motion model for induced seismicity in the Groningen gas field, the Netherlands
We present simulations performed for the development of a ground motion model for induced earthquakes in the Groningen gas field. The largest recorded event, with M3.5, occurred in 2012 and, more recently, a M3.4 event in 2018 led to recorded ground accelerations exceeding 0.1 g. As part of an extensive hazard and risk study, it has been necessary to predict ground motions for scenario earthquakes up to M7. In order to achieve this, while accounting for the unique local geology, a range of simulations have been performed using both stochastic and full-waveform finite-difference simulations. Due to frequency limitations and lack of empirical calibration of the latter approach, input simulations for the ground motion model used in the hazard and risk analyses have been performed with a finite-fault stochastic method. However, in parallel, extensive studies using the finite-difference simulations have guided inputs and modelling considerations for these simulations. Three approaches are used: (1) the finite-fault stochastic method, (2) elastic point- and (3) finite-source 3D finite-difference simulations. We present a summary of the methods and their synthesis, including both amplitudes and durations within the context of the hazard and risk model. A unique form of wave-propagation with strong lateral focusing and defocusing is evident in both peak amplitudes and durations. The results clearly demonstrate the need for a locally derived ground motion model and the potential for reduction in aleatory variability in moving toward a path-specific fully non-ergodic model
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Synthesis of accelerograms compatible with the Chinese GB 50011-2001 design spectrum via harmonic wavelets: artificial and historic records
A versatile approach is employed to generate artificial accelerograms which satisfy the compatibility criteria prescribed by the Chinese aseismic code provisions GB 50011-2001. In particular, a frequency dependent peak factor derived by means of appropriate Monte Carlo analyses is introduced to relate the GB 50011-2001 design spectrum to a parametrically defined evolutionary power spectrum (EPS). Special attention is given to the definition of the frequency content of the EPS in order to accommodate the mathematical form of the aforementioned design spectrum. Further, a one-to-one relationship is established between the parameter controlling the time-varying intensity of the EPS and the effective strong ground motion duration. Subsequently, an efficient auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) filtering technique is utilized to generate ensembles of non-stationary artificial accelerograms whose average response spectrum is in a close agreement with the considered design spectrum. Furthermore, a harmonic wavelet based iterative scheme is adopted to modify these artificial signals so that a close matching of the signals’ response spectra with the GB 50011-2001 design spectrum is achieved on an individual basis. This is also done for field recorded accelerograms pertaining to the May, 2008 Wenchuan seismic event. In the process, zero-phase high-pass filtering is performed to accomplish proper baseline correction of the acquired spectrum compatible artificial and field accelerograms. Numerical results are given in a tabulated format to expedite their use in practice
Statistical modeling of ground motion relations for seismic hazard analysis
We introduce a new approach for ground motion relations (GMR) in the
probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), being influenced by the extreme
value theory of mathematical statistics. Therein, we understand a GMR as a
random function. We derive mathematically the principle of area-equivalence;
wherein two alternative GMRs have an equivalent influence on the hazard if
these GMRs have equivalent area functions. This includes local biases. An
interpretation of the difference between these GMRs (an actual and a modeled
one) as a random component leads to a general overestimation of residual
variance and hazard. Beside this, we discuss important aspects of classical
approaches and discover discrepancies with the state of the art of stochastics
and statistics (model selection and significance, test of distribution
assumptions, extreme value statistics). We criticize especially the assumption
of logarithmic normally distributed residuals of maxima like the peak ground
acceleration (PGA). The natural distribution of its individual random component
(equivalent to exp(epsilon_0) of Joyner and Boore 1993) is the generalized
extreme value. We show by numerical researches that the actual distribution can
be hidden and a wrong distribution assumption can influence the PSHA negatively
as the negligence of area equivalence does. Finally, we suggest an estimation
concept for GMRs of PSHA with a regression-free variance estimation of the
individual random component. We demonstrate the advantages of event-specific
GMRs by analyzing data sets from the PEER strong motion database and estimate
event-specific GMRs. Therein, the majority of the best models base on an
anisotropic point source approach. The residual variance of logarithmized PGA
is significantly smaller than in previous models. We validate the estimations
for the event with the largest sample by empirical area functions. etc
Quantized Majorana conductance
Majorana zero-modes hold great promise for topological quantum computing.
Tunnelling spectroscopy in electrical transport is the primary tool to identify
the presence of Majorana zero-modes, for instance as a zero-bias peak (ZBP) in
differential-conductance. The Majorana ZBP-height is predicted to be quantized
at the universal conductance value of 2e2/h at zero temperature. Interestingly,
this quantization is a direct consequence of the famous Majorana symmetry,
'particle equals antiparticle'. The Majorana symmetry protects the quantization
against disorder, interactions, and variations in the tunnel coupling. Previous
experiments, however, have shown ZBPs much smaller than 2e2/h, with a recent
observation of a peak-height close to 2e2/h. Here, we report a quantized
conductance plateau at 2e2/h in the zero-bias conductance measured in InSb
semiconductor nanowires covered with an Al superconducting shell. Our
ZBP-height remains constant despite changing parameters such as the magnetic
field and tunnel coupling, i.e. a quantized conductance plateau. We distinguish
this quantized Majorana peak from possible non-Majorana origins, by
investigating its robustness on electric and magnetic fields as well as its
temperature dependence. The observation of a quantized conductance plateau
strongly supports the existence of non-Abelian Majorana zero-modes in the
system, consequently paving the way for future braiding experiments.Comment: 5 figure
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