Stochastic programming approaches to stochastic scheduling

Practical scheduling problems typically require decisions without full information about the outcomes of those decisions. Yields, resource availability, performance, demand, costs, and revenues may all vary. Incorporating these quantities into stochastic scheduling models often produces diffculties in analysis that may be addressed in a variety of ways. In this paper, we present results based on stochastic programming approaches to the hierarchy of decisions in typical stochastic scheduling situations. Our unifying framework allows us to treat all aspects of a decision in a similar framework. We show how views from different levels enable approximations that can overcome nonconvexities and duality gaps that appear in deterministic formulations. In particular, we show that the stochastic program structure leads to a vanishing Lagrangian duality gap in stochastic integer programs as the number of scenarios increases.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/44935/1/10898_2004_Article_BF00121682.pd

Bounding separable recourse functions with limited distribution information

The recourse function in a stochastic program with recourse can be approximated by separable functions of the original random variables or linear transformations of them. The resulting bound then involves summing simple integrals. These integrals may themselves be difficult to compute or may require more information about the random variables than is available. In this paper, we show that a special class of functions has an easily computable bound that achieves the best upper bound when only first and second moment constraints are available.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/44185/1/10479_2005_Article_BF02204821.pd

Towards Machine Wald

The past century has seen a steady increase in the need of estimating and predicting complex systems and making (possibly critical) decisions with limited information. Although computers have made possible the numerical evaluation of sophisticated statistical models, these models are still designed \emph{by humans} because there is currently no known recipe or algorithm for dividing the design of a statistical model into a sequence of arithmetic operations. Indeed enabling computers to \emph{think} as \emph{humans} have the ability to do when faced with uncertainty is challenging in several major ways: (1) Finding optimal statistical models remains to be formulated as a well posed problem when information on the system of interest is incomplete and comes in the form of a complex combination of sample data, partial knowledge of constitutive relations and a limited description of the distribution of input random variables. (2) The space of admissible scenarios along with the space of relevant information, assumptions, and/or beliefs, tend to be infinite dimensional, whereas calculus on a computer is necessarily discrete and finite. With this purpose, this paper explores the foundations of a rigorous framework for the scientific computation of optimal statistical estimators/models and reviews their connections with Decision Theory, Machine Learning, Bayesian Inference, Stochastic Optimization, Robust Optimization, Optimal Uncertainty Quantification and Information Based Complexity.Comment: 37 page

Sublinear upper bounds for stochastic programs with recourse

Separable sublinear functions are used to provide upper bounds on the recourse function of a stochastic program. The resulting problem's objective involves the inf-convolution of convex functions. A dual of this problem is formulated to obtain an implementable procedure to calculate the bound. Function evaluations for the resulting convex program only require a small number of single integrations in contrast with previous upper bounds that require a number of function evaluations that grows exponentially in the number of random variables. The sublinear bound can often be used when other suggested upper bounds are intractable. Computational results indicate that the sublinear approximation provides good, efficient bounds on the stochastic program objective value.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/47918/1/10107_2005_Article_BF01582286.pd