543 research outputs found
Evaluation of Sample Design and Estimation Methods for Great Lakes Angler Surveys
The waters of the Great Lakes support outstanding recreational fishing opportunities. Total catch and effort estimates obtained from onāsite angler surveys are essential for the management of the recreational fisheries. However, quality of angler survey estimates can be greatly affected by the survey design and estimation approaches used. Using Monte Carlo simulation techniques, we evaluated the effects of two potential sources of bias (disproportional sampling of angler trips and subsampling of the fishing day) on two catch estimators: (1) a multipleāday estimator that ignores day effects and pools the angler trip data over a multipleāday period, and (2) a daily estimator that treats the trip data in each day separately. When catch rates are constant among different time periods of the fishing day, the daily estimator produces total catch estimates with little bias, whereas the multipleāday estimator is prone to bias caused by disproportional sampling of angler trips. When catch rates vary among different periods of a fishing day, the daily estimator produces biased estimates of total catch when the fishing day is subsampled, whereas the multipleāday estimator is less affected by the variation in daily timeāperiod catch rates and subsampling of fishing days. Quality of total catch and effort estimates, in terms of root mean square error and coverage probability of confidence intervals, is poor when the number of days sampled each month is low and fishing days are subsampled.Peer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/141929/1/tafs0234.pd
Isolation, small population size, and management influence inbreeding and reduced genetic variation in Kāgari dingoes
Small island populations are vulnerable to genetic decline via demographic and environmental stochasticity. In the absence of immigration, founder effects, inbreeding and genetic drift are likely to contribute to local extinction risk. Management actions may also have a greater impact on small, closed populations. The demographic and social characteristics of a species can, however, delay the impact of threats. Kāgari, aā~ā1 660 km2 island off the Australian east coast and UNESCO World Heritage Site (Fraser Island 1842ā2023), supports an isolated population of approximately 70ā200 dingoes that represent an ideal opportunity to explore the small island paradigm. To examine temporal and spatial patterns of genetic diversity in this population we analysed single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) genotype data (72 454 SNPS) for 112Ā Kāgari dingoes collected over a 25-year period (1996 to 2020). Genetic diversity was lower in Kāgari dingoes than mainland dingoesĀ at the earliest time point in our study and declined significantly following a management cull in 2001. We did not find any spatial genetic patterns on the island, suggesting high levels of genetic connectivity between socially discrete packs. This connectivity, combined with the social structure and behaviour of dingoes, may act in concert to buffer the population from the impacts of genetic drift in the short term. Nevertheless, a general decline in genetic variation via inbreeding and drift has occurred over the past 20 years which we suggest should be considered in any future management planning for the population. Monitoring patterns of genetic variation, together with a clearer understanding of the social ecology of Kāgari dingoes, will aid in the development of measurable genetic targets set over ecologically meaningful timelines, and help ensure continued survival of this culturally important population
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An Overview of the Management of Flexor Tendon Injuries
Flexor tendon injuries still remain a challenging condition to manage to ensure optimal outcome for the patient. Since the first flexor tendon repair was described by Kirchmayr in 1917, several approaches to flexor tendon injury have enabled successful repairs rates of 70-90%. Primary surgical repair results in better functional outcome compared to secondary repair or tendon graft surgery. Flexor tendon injury repair has been extensively researched and the literature demonstrates successful repair requires minimal gapping at the repair site or interference with tendon vascularity, secure suture knots, smooth junction of tendon end and having sufficient strength for healing. However, the exact surgical approach to achieve success being currently used among surgeons is still controversial. Therefore, this review aims to discuss the results of studies demonstrating the current knowledge regarding the optimal approach for flexor tendon repair. Post-operative rehabilitation for flexor tendon surgery is another area, which has caused extensive debate in hand surgery. The trend to more active mobilisation protocols seems to be favoured but further study in this area is needed to find the protocol, which achieves function and gliding but avoids rupture of the tendons. Lastly despite success following surgery complications commonly still occur post surgery, including adhesion formation, tendon rupture and stiffness of the joints. Therefore, this review aims to discuss the appropriate management of these difficulties post surgery. New techniques in management of flexor tendon will also be discussed including external laser devices, addition of growth factors and cytokines
GW190521: A Binary Black Hole Merger with a Total Mass of 150 M
On May 21, 2019 at 03:02:29 UTC Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo observed a short duration gravitational-wave signal, GW190521, with a three-detector network signal-to-noise ratio of 14.7, and an estimated false-alarm rate of 1 in 4900 yr using a search sensitive to generic transients. If GW190521 is from a quasicircular binary inspiral, then the detected signal is consistent with the merger of two black holes with masses of 85+21-14 Mā and 66+17-18 Mā (90% credible intervals). We infer that the primary black hole mass lies within the gap produced by (pulsational) pair-instability supernova processes, with only a 0.32% probability of being below 65 Mā. We calculate the mass of the remnant to be 142+28-16 Mā, which can be considered an intermediate mass black hole (IMBH). The luminosity distance of the source is 5.3+2.4-2.6 Gpc, corresponding to a redshift of 0.82+0.28-0.34 . The inferred rate of mergers similar to GW190521 is 0.13+0.30-0.11 Gpc-3 yr-1
Tai Chi for osteopenic women: design and rationale of a pragmatic randomized controlled trial
<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Post-menopausal osteopenic women are at increased risk for skeletal fractures. Current osteopenia treatment guidelines include exercise, however, optimal exercise regimens for attenuating bone mineral density (BMD) loss, or for addressing other fracture-related risk factors (e.g. poor balance, decreased muscle strength) are not well-defined. Tai Chi is an increasingly popular weight bearing mind-body exercise that has been reported to positively impact BMD dynamics and improve postural control, however, current evidence is inconclusive. This study will determine the effectiveness of Tai Chi in reducing rates of bone turnover in post-menopausal osteopenic women, compared with standard care, and will preliminarily explore biomechanical processes that might inform how Tai Chi impacts BMD and associated fracture risks.</p> <p>Methods/Design</p> <p>A total of 86 post-menopausal women, aged 45-70y, T-score of the hip and/or spine -1.0 and -2.5, have been recruited from primary care clinics of a large healthcare system based in Boston. They have been randomized to a group-based 9-month Tai Chi program plus standard care or to standard care only. A unique aspect of this trial is its pragmatic design, which allows participants randomized to Tai Chi to choose from a pre-screened list of community-based Tai Chi programs. Interviewers masked to participants' treatment group assess outcomes at baseline and 3 and 9 months after randomization. Primary outcomes are serum markers of bone resorption (C-terminal cross linking telopeptide of type I collagen), bone formation (osteocalcin), and BMD of the lumbar spine and proximal femur (dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry). Secondary outcomes include health-related quality-of-life, exercise behavior, and psychological well-being. In addition, kinetic and kinematic characterization of gait, standing, and rising from a chair are assessed in subset of participants (n = 16) to explore the feasibility of modeling skeletal mechanical loads and postural control as mediators of fracture risk.</p> <p>Discussion</p> <p>Results of this study will provide preliminary evidence regarding the value of Tai Chi as an intervention for decreasing fracture risk in osteopenic women. They will also inform the feasibility, value and potential limitations related to the use of pragmatic designs for the study of Tai Chi and related mind-body exercise. If the results are positive, this will help focus future, more in-depth, research on the most promising potential mechanisms of action identified by this study.</p> <p>Trial registration</p> <p>This trial is registered in Clinical Trials.gov, with the ID number of NCT01039012.</p
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