The performance of serial correlation preliminary test estimators under asymmetry loss functions

The risk performances, under the symmetric squared error loss function, of the estimators of the regression coefficients after a preliminary test for serial correlation have been widely investigated in the literature. However, it is well known that the use of the symmetric loss functions is inappropriate in estimation problems where underestimation and overestimation have different consequences. We consider the Linear Exponential and Bounded Linear Exponential loss functions which allows for asymmetry. The risks of the estimators are derived and numerically evaluated by using simulations

Sensitivity to New Physics of Isotope Shift Studies using the Coronal Lines of Highly Charged Calcium Ions

Promising searches for new physics beyond the current Standard Model (SM) of particle physics are feasible through isotope-shift spectroscopy, which is sensitive to a hypothetical fifth force between the neutrons of the nucleus and the electrons of the shell. Such an interaction would be mediated by a new particle which could in principle be associated with dark matter. In so-called King plots, the mass-scaled frequency shifts of two optical transitions are plotted against each other for a series of isotopes. Subtle deviations from the expected linearity could reveal such a fifth force. Here, we study experimentally and theoretically six transitions in highly charged ions of Ca, an element with five stable isotopes of zero nuclear spin. Some of the transitions are suitable for upcoming high-precision coherent laser spectroscopy and optical clocks. Our results provide a sufficient number of clock transitions for -- in combination with those of singly charged Ca$^+$ -- application of the generalized King plot method. This will allow future high-precision measurements to remove higher-order SM-related nonlinearities and open a new door to yet more sensitive searches for unknown forces and particles

Change in cervical length after arrested preterm labor and the risk of preterm birth

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS B.W.J.M. is supported by a NHMRC Investigator grant (GNT1176437). B.W.J.M. reports consultancy for Guerbet, has been a member of the ObsEva advisory board and holds stock options for ObsEva. B.W.J.M. has received research funding from Guerbet and Merck.Peer reviewedPublisher PD

P14-07. Offering new prevention modalities in HIV vaccine trials: experience with male circumcision in the Phambili trial

Background: New prevention options will be added to the 'standard of prevention' offered in HIV vaccine efficacy trials as new methods prove effective. The HVTN503/Phambili trial was initiated in January 2007, shortly after results from 3 randomized controlled trials of male circumcision (MC) demonstrated that MC reduces the risk of HIV acquisition. Thus, HVTN503 investigators made plans to offer MC at no cost to enrolled male participants. Methods: All participants were informed of the benefits of MC as a component of HIV risk reduction counseling, including how and where MC could be accessed. One site offered on-site MC and the others provided referral to local services for men who requested MC. We present data on uptake of MC post-enrollment. Results: Prior to discontinuation of enrolment, 441 men joined the trial, of whom 312 (70.7%) were uncircumcised. Of these, 82 (26.3% of uncircumcised men) requested MC after enrolment. Uptake varied by site, being lower (70%) at the eThekwini site, the site with lowest baseline MC prevalence. Among 3 sites with intermediate baseline MC prevalence, uptake varied from 3.3 to 37.6%, being highest at the site providing MC on site. Uptake was similar in vaccine and placebo arms of the trial [42 (26.1%) vs. 40 (26.5%)]. There was no significant difference by arm in the timing of circumcision relative to randomization assignment being provided to participants following release of the STEP trial results [post-unblinding, vaccine 18 (42.9%) vs. placebo 13 (32.5%), p = 0.37]. Conclusion: MC, a new prevention modality, was offered as part of HIV prevention services in HVTN503. Uptake varied by provision of care model and inversely with baseline MC prevalence, but did not differ between treatment arms, and remained similar even after provision of treatment

Additional value of advanced ultrasonography in pregnancies with two inconclusive cell-free DNA draws

Objective: We aimed to evaluate the additional value of advanced fetal anatomical assessment by ultrasound in pregnancies with twice inconclusive noninvasive testing (NIPT) due to low fetal fraction (FF). Methods: We performed a multicenter-retrospective study between 2017 and 2020 including 311 pregnancies with twice inconclusive NIPT due to low FF ≤ 1%. Women were offered invasive testing and advanced fetal anatomical assessment at ≤18 weeks' gestation. Ultrasound findings, genetic testing, and pregnancy/postnatal outcomes were evaluated. Results: Ninety-two/311 (29.6%) women underwent invasive testing. Structural anomalies were diagnosed in 13/311 (4.2%) pregnancies (nine at the first scan and four at follow-up). In 6/13 (46.2%) cases, genetic aberrations were confirmed (one case of Trisomy 13 (detectable by NIPT), two of Triploidy, one of 16q12-deletion, HCN4-mutation and UPD(16) (nondetectable by NIPT). Genetic aberrations were found in 4/298 (1.3%) structurallynormal pregnancies (one 47XYY, two microscopic aberrations, one monogenic disorder found postpartum). Structural anomalies in genetically normal fetuses (2.0%) were not more prevalent compared to the general pregnant population (OR 1.0 [0.4–2.2]). Conclusion: In pregnancies with twice inconclusive NIPT due to low FF, fetal structural anomalies are not more prevalent than in the general obstetric population. The detailed anatomical assessment has the added value to detect phenotypical features suggestive of chromosomal/genetic aberrations and identify pregnancies where advanced genetic testing may be indicated