29 research outputs found

    Optimized location-allocation of earthquake relief centers using PSO and ACO, complemented by GIS, clustering, and TOPSIS

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    © 2018 by the authors. After an earthquake, it is required to establish temporary relief centers in order to help the victims. Selection of proper sites for these centers has a significant effect on the processes of urban disaster management. In this paper, the location and allocation of relief centers in district 1 of Tehran are carried out using Geospatial Information System (GIS), the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) decision model, a simple clustering method and the two meta-heuristic algorithms of Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Ant Colony Optimization (ACO). First, using TOPSIS, the proposed clustering method and GIS analysis tools, sites satisfying initial conditions with adequate distribution in the area are chosen. Then, the selection of proper centers and the allocation of parcels to them are modelled as a location/allocation problem, which is solved using the meta-heuristic optimization algorithms. Also, in this research, PSO and ACO are compared using different criteria. The implementation results show the general adequacy of TOPSIS, the clustering method, and the optimization algorithms. This is an appropriate approach to solve such complex site selection and allocation problems. In view of the assessment results, the PSO finds better answers, converges faster, and shows higher consistency than the ACO

    Irrigation water allocation at farm level based on temporal cultivation-related data using meta-heuristic optimisation algorithms

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    © 2019 by the authors. The present water crisis necessitates a frugal water management strategy. Deficit irrigation can be regarded as an efficient strategy for agricultural water management. Optimal allocation of water to agricultural farms is a computationally complex problem because of many factors, including limitations and constraints related to irrigation, numerous allocation states, and non-linearity and complexity of the objective function. Meta-heuristic algorithms are typically used to solve complex problems. The main objective of this study is to represent water allocation at farm level using temporal cultivation data as an optimisation problem, solve this problem using various meta-heuristic algorithms, and compare the results. The objective of the optimisation is to maximise the total income of all considered lands. The criteria of objective function value, convergence trend, robustness, runtime, and complexity of use and modelling are used to compare the algorithms. Finally, the algorithms are ranked using the technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS). The income resulting from the allocation of water by the imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) was 1.006, 1.084, and 1.098 times that of particle swarm optimisation (PSO), bees algorithm (BA), and genetic algorithm (GA), respectively. The ICA and PSO were superior to the other algorithms in most evaluations. According to the results of TOPSIS, the algorithms, by order of priority, are ICA PSO, BA, and GA. In addition, the experience showed that using meta-heuristic algorithms, such as ICA, results in higher income (4.747 times) and improved management of water deficit than the commonly used area-based water allocation method

    Prediction mapping of human leptospirosis using ANN, GWR, SVM and GLM approaches

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    © 2019 The Author(s). Background: Recent reports of the National Ministry of Health and Treatment of Iran (NMHT) show that Gilan has a higher annual incidence rate of leptospirosis than other provinces across the country. Despite several efforts of the government and NMHT to eradicate leptospirosis, it remains a public health problem in this province. Modelling and Prediction of this disease may play an important role in reduction of the prevalence. Methods: This study aims to model and predict the spatial distribution of leptospirosis utilizing Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), Generalized Linear Model (GLM), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) as capable approaches. Five environmental parameters of precipitation, temperature, humidity, elevation and vegetation are used for modelling and predicting of the disease. Data of 2009 and 2010 are used for training, and 2011 for testing and evaluating the models. Results: Results indicate that utilized approaches in this study can model and predict leptospirosis with high significance level. To evaluate the efficiency of the approaches, MSE (GWR = 0.050, SVM = 0.137, GLM = 0.118 and ANN = 0.137), MAE (0.012, 0.063, 0.052 and 0.063), MRE (0.011, 0.018, 0.017 and 0.018) and R2 (0.85, 0.80, 0.78 and 0.75) are used. Conclusion: Results indicate the practical usefulness of approaches for spatial modelling and predicting leptospirosis. The efficiency of models is as follow: GWR > SVM > GLM > ANN. In addition, temperature and humidity are investigated as the most influential parameters. Moreover, the suitable habitat of leptospirosis is mostly within the central rural districts of the province

    Evaluating citizen satisfaction and prioritizing their needs based on citizens' complaint data

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    © 2019 by the authors. Citizen Relationship Management (CiRM) is one of the important matters in citizen-centric e-government. In fact, the most important purpose of e-government is to satisfy citizens. The '137 system' is one of the most important ones based on the citizen-centric that is a municipality phone based request/response system. The aim of this research is a data-mining of a '137 system' (citizens' complaint system) of the first district of Bojnourd municipality in Iran, to prioritize the urban needs and to estimate citizens' satisfaction. To reach this, the K-means and Bees Algorithms (BA) were used. Each of these two algorithms was executed using two different methods. In the first method, prioritization and estimation of satisfaction were done separately, whereas in the second method, prioritization and estimation of satisfaction were done simultaneously. To compare the clustering results in the two methods, an index was presented quantitatively. The results showed the superiority of the second method. The index of the second method for the first needs in K-means was 0.299 more than the first method and it was the same in two methods in BA. Also, the results of the BA clustering were better at it because of the S (silhouette) and CH (Calinski-Harabasz) indexes. Considering the final prioritization done by the two algorithms in two methods, the primary needs included asphalt, so specific schemes should be considered

    A holistic metric approach to solving the dynamic location-allocation problem.

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    In this paper, we introduce a dynamic variant of the Location-Allocation problem: Dynamic Location-Allocation Problem (DULAP). DULAP involves the location of facilities to service a set of customer demands over a defined horizon. To evaluate a solution to DULAP, we propose two holistic metric approaches: Static and Dynamic Approach. In the static approach, a solution is evaluated with the assumption that customer locations and demand remain constant over a defined horizon. In the dynamic approach, the assumption is made that customer demand, and demographic pattern may change over the defined horizon. We introduce a stochastic model to simulate customer population and distribution over time. We use a Genetic Algorithm and Population-Based Incremental Learning algorithm used in previous work to find robust and satisfactory solutions to DULAP. Results show the dynamic approach of evaluating a solution finds good and robust solutions

    OPTIMUM ALLOCATION OF WATER TO THE CULTIVATION FARMS USING GENETIC ALGORITHM

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    The water scarcity crises in the world and specifically in Iran, requires the proper management of this valuable resource. According to the official reports, around 90 percent of the water in Iran is used for agriculture. Therefore, the adequate management and usage of water in this section can help significantly to overcome the above crises. The most important aspect of agricultural water management is related to the irrigation planning, which is basically an allocation problem. The proper allocation of water to the farms is not a simple and trivial problem, because of the limited amount of available water, the effect of different parameters, nonlinear characteristics of the objective function, and the wideness of the solution space. Usually To solve such complex problems, a meta-heuristic method such as genetic algorithm could be a good candidate. In this paper, Genetic Algorithm (GA) is used for the allocation of different amount of water to a number of farms. In this model, the amount of water transferable using canals of level one, in one period of irrigation is specified. In addition, the amount of water required by each farm is calculated using crop type, stage of crop development, and other parameters. Using these, the water production function of each farm is determined. Then, using the water production function, farm areas, and the revenue and cost of each crop type, the objective function is calculated. This objective function is used by GA for the allocation of water to the farms. The objective function is defined such that the economical profit extracted from all farms is maximized. Moreover, the limitation related to the amount of available water is considered as a constraint. In general, the total amount of allocated water should be less than the finally available water (the water transferred trough the level one canals). Because of the intensive scarcity of water, the deficit irrigation method are considered. In this method, the planning is on the basis of the optimum and limited allocation of water, and not on the basis of the each crop water requirement. According to the available literature, in the condition of water scarcity, the implementation of deficit irrigation strategy results in higher economical income. The main difference of this research with others is the allocation of water to the farms. Whilst, most of similar researches concentrate on the allocation of water to different water consumption sections (such as agriculture, industry etc.), networks and crops. Using the GA for the optimization of the water allocation, proper solutions were generated that maximize the total economical income in the entire study area. In addition, although the search space was considerably wide, the results of the implementation showed an adequate convergence speed. The repeatability test of the algorithm also proved that the algorithm is reasonably stable. In general the usage of GA algorithm can be considered as an efficient and trustable method for such irrigation planning problems. By optimum allocation of the water to the farms with different areas and crop types, and considering the deficit irrigation method, the general income of the entire area can be improved substantially

    A spatio-temporal agent-based approach for modeling the spread of zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis in northeast Iran

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    Background: Zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis (ZCL) is a neglected tropical disease worldwide, especially the Middle East. Although previous works attempt to model the ZCL spread using various environmental factors, the interactions between vectors (Phlebotomus papatasi), reservoir hosts, humans, and the environment can affect its spread. Considering all of these aspects is not a trivial task. Methods: An agent-based model (ABM) is a relatively new approach that provides a framework for analyzing the heterogeneity of the interactions, along with biological and environmental factors in such complex systems. The objective of this research is to design and develop an ABM that uses Geospatial Information System (GIS) capabilities, biological behaviors of vectors and reservoir hosts, and an improved Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemic model to explore the spread of ZCL. Various scenarios were implemented to analyze the future ZCL spreads in different parts of Maraveh Tappeh County, in the northeast region of Golestan Province in northeastern Iran, with alternative socio-ecological conditions. Results: The results confirmed that the spread of the disease arises principally in the desert, low altitude areas, and riverside population centers. The outcomes also showed that the restricting movement of humans reduces the severity of the transmission. Moreover, the spread of ZCL has a particular temporal pattern, since the most prevalent cases occurred in the fall. The evaluation test also showed the similarity between the results and the reported spatiotemporal trends. Conclusions: This study demonstrates the capability and efficiency of ABM to model and predict the spread of ZCL. The results of the presented approach can be considered as a guide for public health management and controlling the vector populationFigure not available: see fulltext.. © 2020, The Author(s)

    El clima organizacional y su relación con la gestión institucional en la Institución Educativa N° 5003 - Virgen de la Inmaculada Concepción - Callao

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    Universidad Nacional de Educación Enrique Guzmán y Valle. Escuela de Posgrado.TesisEn la investigación titulada El clima organizacional y su relación con la gestión institucional en la Institución Educativa N° 5003 - Virgen de la Inmaculada Concepción – Callao, el clima organizacional de un grupo social es una variable mediadora entre los propósitos y los logros del mismo grupo. En nuestro país nos encontramos en el proceso de puesta en marcha de la Reforma Educativa, esto significa que los programas de estudio, las metodologías, los recursos materiales y humanos están recibiendo un impulso renovador de acuerdo al nuevo modelo educativo. Desde La perspectiva de una investigación de tipo -descriptivo- explicativo utilizando el diseño correlacional; se llevó a cabo un conjunto de actividades utilizando los conceptos teóricos básicos de clima organizacional y gestión institucional, a través de muestreo no probabilístico se eligió una muestra de 25 integrantes de la Institución Educativa 5003 Virgen de la Inmaculada Concepción, a quienes se les aplicó mediante la técnica de la encuesta y su instrumento el cuestionario, para determinar si el clima organizacional se relaciona con la gestión institucional. La contribución que se hace y se ha encontrado que, si hay una relación significativa, porque tomó situaciones reales propias y se profundizó en el quehacer educativo, que permitió describir, observar, sistematizar e interpretar la información recogida a través de los análisis cuantitativo y cualitativo; además se integró la información para emitir conclusiones importantes. Como resultado de la investigación se puede afirmar que existe una relación entre el clima organizacional y la gestión institucional de esta institución del Callao
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