The Hepatitis C Cascade of Care: Identifying Priorities to Improve Clinical Outcomes

Background: As highly effective hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapies emerge, data are needed to inform the development of interventions to improve HCV treatment rates. We used simulation modeling to estimate the impact of loss to follow-up on HCV treatment outcomes and to identify intervention strategies likely to provide good value for the resources invested in them. Methods: We used a Monte Carlo state-transition model to simulate a hypothetical cohort of chronically HCV-infected individuals recently screened positive for serum HCV antibody. We simulated four hypothetical intervention strategies (linkage to care; treatment initiation; integrated case management; peer navigator) to improve HCV treatment rates, varying efficacies and costs, and identified strategies that would most likely result in the best value for the resources required for implementation. Main measures Sustained virologic responses (SVRs), life expectancy, quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE), costs from health system and program implementation perspectives, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Results: We estimate that imperfect follow-up reduces the real-world effectiveness of HCV therapies by approximately 75%. In the base case, a modestly effective hypothetical peer navigator program maximized the number of SVRs and QALE, with an ICER compared to the next best intervention of $48,700/quality-adjusted life year. Hypothetical interventions that simultaneously addressed multiple points along the cascade provided better outcomes and more value for money than less costly interventions targeting single steps. The 5-year program cost of the hypothetical peer navigator intervention was$14.5 million per 10,000 newly diagnosed individuals. Conclusions: We estimate that imperfect follow-up during the HCV cascade of care greatly reduces the real-world effectiveness of HCV therapy. Our mathematical model shows that modestly effective interventions to improve follow-up would likely be cost-effective. Priority should be given to developing and evaluating interventions addressing multiple points along the cascade rather than options focusing solely on single points

“Community members have more impact on their neighbors than celebrities”: Leveraging community partnerships to build COVID-19 vaccine confidence

Vaccines are a strong public health tool to protect against severe disease, hospitalization, and death from COVID-19. Still, inequities in COVID-19 vaccination rates and health outcomes continue to exist among Black and Latino populations. Boston Medical Center (BMC) has played a significant role in vaccinating medically underserved populations, and organized a series of community-engaged conversations to better understand community concerns regarding the COVID-19 vaccine. We accessed and analyzed nine publicly available recordings of the community-engaged conversations which were held between Mar 2021-Sep 2021 (n=8-122 attendees). We employed a Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research-driven codebook to code our data and utilized a modified version of qualitative rapid analysis methods. Five main themes emerged: (1) Structural factors are important barriers to COVID-19 vaccination; (2) Mistrust exists due to the negative impact of systemic oppression and perceived motivation of the government; (3) There is a desire to learn more about biological and clinical characteristics of the COVID-19 vaccine as well as the practical implications of being vaccinated; (4) Community engagement is important for delivering COVID-19 information and education and; (5) Community leaders believe that the COVID-19 vaccine is a solution to address the pandemic. In highlighting the themes which resulted from these community-engaged conversations, this study illustrates a need for community-engaged COVID-19 vaccine messaging which reflects the nuances of the COVID-19 vaccine and pandemic without oversimplifying information and underscores important considerations for public health and healthcare leadership in the development of initiatives which work to advance health equity

Cost Effectiveness and Cost Containment in the Era of Interferon-Free Therapies to Treat Hepatitis C Virus Genotype 1

Abstract Background. Interferon-free regimens to treat hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1 are effective but costly. At this time, payers in the United States use strategies to control costs including (1) limiting treatment to those with advanced disease and (2) negotiating price discounts in exchange for exclusivity. Methods. We used Monte Carlo simulation to investigate budgetary impact and cost effectiveness of these treatment policies and to identify strategies that balance access with cost control. Outcomes included nondiscounted 5-year payer cost per 10000 HCV-infected patients and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Results. We found that the budgetary impact of HCV treatment is high, with 5-year undiscounted costs of $1.0 billion to 2.3 billion per 10000 HCV-infected patients depending on regimen choices. Among noncirrhotic patients, using the least costly interferon-free regimen leads to the lowest payer costs with negligible difference in clinical outcomes, even when the lower cost regimen is less convenient and/or effective. Among cirrhotic patients, more effective but costly regimens remain cost effective. Controlling costs by restricting treatment to those with fibrosis stage 2 or greater disease was cost ineffective for any patient type compared with treating all patients. Conclusions. Treatment strategies using interferon-free therapies to treat all HCV-infected persons are cost effective, but short-term cost is high. Among noncirrhotic patients, using the least costly interferon-free regimen, even if it is not single tablet or once daily, is the cost-control strategy that results in best outcomes. Restricting treatment to patients with more advanced disease often results in worse outcomes than treating all patients, and it is not preferred

HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis and buprenorphine at a drug detoxification center during the opioid epidemic: opportunities and challenges

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and buprenorphine decrease HIV acquisition. Between November, 2016 - July, 2017, we surveyed persons (N=200) at a drug detoxification center to assess their interest in PrEP and in buprenorphine, and to examine factors associated with such interests. Participants had a mean [SD] age of 39 [10] years. Over the previous 6 months, 58% (117/200) injected drugs and 50% (85/171) had condomless sex. Only 22% (26/117) of persons who injected drugs were aware of PrEP, yet 74% (86/116) and 72% (84/116) were interested in oral or injectable PrEP, respectively. Thirty-eight percent (47/125) of persons not receiving buprenorphine or methadone expressed interest in buprenorphine. After multivariable adjustment, Latinx ethnicity was associated with interest in PrEP (aOR: 3.80; 95% CI, 1.37-10.53), while male gender (aOR: 2.76; 95% CI, 1.21-6.34) was associated with interest in buprenorphine. Opportunities exist to implement PrEP and buprenorphine within drug detoxification centers.R01 DA046527 - NIDA NIH HHS; R25DA035163, K23DA044085 - National Institute of Drug Abuse; R01DA046527, P30DA040500 - National Institute of Drug Abuse; P30 DA040500 - NIDA NIH HHS; R25 DA035163 - NIDA NIH HHS; K23 DA044085 - NIDA NIH HHS; P30 AI042853 - NIAID NIH HHS; P30AI042853 - National Institute of Allergy and Infectious DiseasesAccepted manuscrip

Development and Validation of the HIV-CARDIO-PREDICT Score to Estimate the Risk of Cardiovascular Events in HIV-Infected Patients

Importance: Commonly used risk assessment tools for cardiovascular disease might not be accurate for HIV-infected patients. Objective: We aimed to develop a model to accurately predict the 10-year cardiovascular disease (CV) risk of HIV-infected patients. Design: In this retrospective cohort study, adult HIV-infected patients seen at Boston Medical Center between March 2012 and January 2017 were divided into model development and validation cohorts. Setting: Boston Medical Center, a tertiary, academic medical center. Participants: Adult HIV-infected patients, seen in inpatient and outpatient setting. Main Outcomes and Measures: We used logistic regression to create a prediction risk model for cardiovascular events using data from the development cohort. Using a point-based risk-scoring system, we summarized the relationship between risk factors and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. We then used the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) to evaluate model discrimination. Finally, we tested the model using a validation cohort. Results: 1914 individuals met the inclusion criteria. The model had excellent discrimination for CVD risk [AUC 0.989; (95% CI: 0.986–0.993)] and included the following 11 variables: male sex (95% CI: 2.53–3.99), African American race/ethnicity (95% CI: 1.50–3.13), current age (95% CI: 0.07–0.13), age at HIV diagnosis (95% CI: −0.10–(−0.02)), peak HIV viral load (95% CI: 9.89 × 10−7–3.00 × 10−6), nadir CD4 lymphocyte count (95% CI: −0.03–(−0.02)), hypertension (95% CI: 0.20–1.54), hyperlipidemia (95% CI: 3.03–4.60), diabetes (95% CI: 0.61–1.89), chronic kidney disease (95% CI: 1.26–2.62), and smoking (95% CI: 0.12–2.39). The eleven-parameter multiple logistic regression model had excellent discrimination [AUC 0.957; (95% CI: 0.938–0.975)] when applied to the validation cohort. Conclusions and Relevance: Our novel HIV-CARDIO-PREDICT Score may provide a rapid and accurate evaluation of CV disease risk among HIV-infected patients and inform prevention measures

Ive been 95% safe: perspectives on HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis at a drug detoxification center: a qualitative study.

Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) decreases human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) acquisition among persons who inject drugs (PWID); however, its uptake has been suboptimal. We explored HIV risk perceptions and PrEP interest among drug detoxification center patients in the context of the ongoing opioid overdose epidemic. We conducted in-depth interviews of patients (n = 24) and professional key informants (n = 10 physicians, case managers, nurses, and harm reduction educators), and thematic analysis of coded data. The mean age of participants (patients) was 37 years; 54% identified as male and 67% as White. Although 71% reported injecting drugs and 62% had condomless sex in the past 6 months, participants had mixed HIV risk perceptions, and some viewed PrEP as an undesirable indicator of elevated HIV risk. Nevertheless, many participants viewed drug detoxification as a first step towards embarking on a healthier lifestyle, with some narratives identifying opportunities for delivering PrEP information and services in this setting. Opportunities exist to expand PrEP at drug detoxification centers, but initiatives are needed to educate patients and staff on indications and benefits of this prevention tool. Interventions are also needed to determine the best strategies for implementing PrEP adoption in this setting

Factors associated with inpatient complications among patients with obesity and COVID‐19 at an urban safety‐net hospital: A retrospective cohort study

Abstract Objective Obesity increases morbidity and mortality from Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19). This study characterized inpatient complications among patients with obesity and COVID‐19—including myocardial infarction, renal failure requiring dialysis, stroke, secondary bacterial infection, and venous thromboembolism—and identified factors associated with developing at least one inpatient complication at a safety‐net hospital with a diverse cohort. Methods A retrospective review was performed of all patients admitted for ≥3 days with COVID‐19 between 16 March 2020, and 8 April 2020. Logistic regression identified factors associated with developing at least one COVID‐19‐related complication among patients with obesity (body mass index ≥30 kg/m2). Results 374 patients were included; 53.7% were classified as having obesity, 43.9% identified as Black, and 38.5% identified as Latino or Hispanic. Obesity was not associated with having at least one inpatient complication on multivariable analysis, but increased age (aOR 1.02, [95% CI 1.01–1.04], p = 0.010) and obstructive sleep apnea (aOR 2.25, [1.08–4.85], p = 0.034) were associated with this outcome. Conclusions Obesity was not associated with specified inpatient complications among patients with COVID‐19 admitted to a health system caring for diverse patients. Future studies should incorporate larger cohorts and reflect newer treatment protocols

Evidence-based and guideline-concurrent responses to narratives deferring HCV treatment among people who inject drugs.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is increasingly prevalent among people who inject drugs (PWID) in the context of the current US opioid crisis. Although curative therapy is available and recommended as a public health strategy, few PWID have been treated. We explore PWID narratives that explain why they have not sought HCV treatment or decided against starting it. We then compare these narratives to evidence-based and guideline-concordant information to better enable health, social service, harm reduction providers, PWID, and other stakeholders to dispel misconceptions and improve HCV treatment uptake in this vulnerable population. METHODS: We recruited HIV-uninfected PWID (n = 33) through community-based organizations (CBOs) to participate in semi-structured, in-depth qualitative interviews on topics related to overall health, access to care, and knowledge and interest in specific HIV prevention methods. RESULTS: In interviews, HCV transmission and delaying or forgoing HCV treatment emerged as important themes. We identified three predominant narratives relating to delaying or deferring HCV treatment among PWID: (1) lacking concern about HCV being serious or urgent enough to require treatment, (2) recognizing the importance of treatment but nevertheless deciding to delay treatment, and (3) perceiving that clinicians and insurance companies recommend that patients who currently use or inject drugs should delay treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight persistent beliefs among PWID that hinder HCV treatment utilization. Given the strong evidence that treatment improves individual health regardless of substance use status while also decreasing HCV transmission in the population, efforts are urgently needed to counter the predominant narratives identified in our study. We provide evidence-based, guideline-adherent information that counters the identified narratives in order to help individuals working with PWID to motivate and facilitate treatment access and uptake. An important strategy to improve HCV treatment initiation among PWID could involve disseminating guideline-concordant counternarratives to PWID and the providers who work with and are trusted by this population