Prediction of hepatic fibrosis in patients coinfected with HIV and hepatitis C virus based on genetic markers

Objective: To assess the ability of the cirrhosis risk score (CRS) to predict liver fibrosis progression in HIV/hepatitis C virus (HCV)-coinfected patients. Design: Retrospective follow-up study. Methods: Based on a minimum follow-up time of 10 years with HCV infection, 190 HIV/HCV-coinfected patients were classified according to their METAVIR score: (1) 25 nonprogressor patients who did not develop fibrosis (F0) and (2) 165 progressor patients who developed fibrosis (F ≥ 1). Seven polymorphisms of CRS signature and IL28B genotype were performed using the GoldenGate assay. The CRS signature was calculated by naive Bayes formula as previously described. Results: Nonprogressors had CRS values significantly lower than progressors (0.61 versus 0.67; P = 0.043). Among the progressors, we observed similar CRS values through all the fibrosis stages (F1/F2/F3/F4). The percentage of patients with CRS > 0.70 (high risk of developing fibrosis) was higher in progressors than in nonprogressors; but the percentages with values between 0.50 and 0.70 (intermediate risk) and <0.50 (low risk) were quite similar for each of the fibrosis stages (P = 0.047). The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of CRS for discriminating nonprogressor versus progressor was 0.625 (P = 0.043). When clinical variables were considered (age at HCV infection, intravenous drug use, gender, IL28B, and HCV genotype), the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of CRS improved up to 0.739 (P < 0.001). Conclusions: CRS itself seems not to be a good marker for identifying HIV/HCV-coinfected patients who are at high risk of developing liver fibrosis. However, CRS score coupled with clinical factors might help to distinguish between nonprogressors and progressors patients.Supported by Fondo de Investigacion de Sanidad en España (FIS) (Spanish Health Founds for Research) Grants PI08/0738, PI11/00245; PI08/0928, and PI11/01556; Red Española de Investigación en SIDA (RIS) (AIDS Research Network) Grants RD12/0017/0024 and RD12/0017/0004; and “Fundación para la Investigación y la Prevención del Sida en España” (FIPSE) Grant 361020/10. A. F. R., M. G. F., P. G. B., and M. A. J. S. are supported by “Instituto de Salud Carlos III” Grants UIPY-1377/08, CM09/00031, FI12/00036, and CM10/00105, respectively.S

Incentivizing the Dynamic Workforce: Learning Contracts in the Gig-Economy

In principal-agent models, a principal offers a contract to an agent to perform a certain task. The agent exerts a level of effort that maximizes her utility. The principal is oblivious to the agent's chosen level of effort, and conditions her wage only on possible outcomes. In this work, we consider a model in which the principal is unaware of the agent's utility and action space. She sequentially offers contracts to identical agents, and observes the resulting outcomes. We present an algorithm for learning the optimal contract under mild assumptions. We bound the number of samples needed for the principal obtain a contract that is within $\epsilon$ of her optimal net profit for every $\epsilon>0$

IL15 polymorphism is associated with advanced fibrosis, inflammation-related biomarkers and virological response in human immunodeficiency virus/hepatitis C virus coinfection

Background & aims: IL15 is an essential cytokine in both innate and adaptive immune response against hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. The aim was to analyze whether IL15 rs10833 is associated with liver disease severity and response to pegylated-interferon-alpha plus ribavirin (pegIFN-alpha/RBV) therapy in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-/HCV-co-infected patients. Methods: A retrospective study was performed in 315 patients who started pegIFN-alpha/RBV therapy. Liver fibrosis stage was characterized in 286 patients. IL15 rs10833 and IL28B rs12980275 were genotyped by GoldenGate. The primary outcomes were: (a) advanced liver fibrosis evaluated by liver biopsy (F3-F4) or transient elastography (liver stiffness values ≥9.5 Kpa); (b) sustained virological response (SVR). The secondary outcome variable was the levels of serum biomarkers of inflammation. Results: Patients with rs10833 AA genotype had increased odds of having advanced fibrosis (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 2.30; P = 0.019), particularly in males (aOR = 2.24; P = 0.040), patients with HCV serum viral load (HCV-RNA) <500 000 IU/ml (aOR = 5.14; P = 0.018) and patients with IL28B rs12980275 AG/GG genotypes (aOR = 2.51; P = 0.046). Moreover, rs10833 AA genotype was significantly associated with higher levels of hepatocyte growth factor (adjusted arithmetic mean ratio (aAMR) = 1.50; P = 0.016), sICAM-1 (aAMR = 1.57; P = 0.025) and sVCAM-1 (aAMR = 1.56; P = 0.007). Finally, patients with rs10833 AA genotype had increased odds of achieving SVR (aOR = 3.12; P = 0.006), particularly in males (aOR = 3.69; P = 0.005), GT1/4 patients (aOR = 3.59; P = 0.006), patients with advanced fibrosis (aOR = 4.64; P = 0.021), HCV-RNA ≥500 000 IU/ml (aOR = 3.92; P = 0.007) and patients with IL28B rs12980275 AG/GG genotype (aOR = 2.98; P = 0.041). Conclusions: The presence of IL15 rs10833 AA genotype in HIV-/HCV-co-infected patients was associated with advanced liver fibrosis, inflammation-related biomarkers and increased rates of SVR to pegIFN-alpha/RBV therapy.This work has been supported by Fondo de Investigación de Sanidad en España (FIS) [grant numbers PI11/01556, PI14/01094, PI11/00245, PI14CIII/00011], and Red Española de Investigación en SIDA (RIS) [grant numbers RD12/0017/0024, RD12/0017/0004 and RD12/0017/0031]. MGA, MAJS, and DPT are supported by “Instituto de Salud Carlos III” [grant numbers CD12/00442, CD13/00013, and CM12/00043, respectively]. This work has been (partially) funded by the RD12/0017 project as part of the Plan Nacional R + D + I and cofinanced by ISCIII-Subdirección General de Evaluación y el Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER).S

Relapse or reinfection after failing hepatitis C direct acting antiviral treatment: Unravelled by phylogenetic analysis

Despite high response rates associated to hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment, no protective immunity is acquired, allowing for reinfection and continued infectiousness. Distinguishing between relapse and reinfection is crucial for patient counselling and to choose the most appropriate retreatment. Here, refined phylogenetic analysis using multiple genes served to assess genotype and reinfection for 53 patients for whom the virus was sampled before start of therapy and at time of sustained virological response evaluation at week 12. At baseline, genotypes were determined as HCV1a (41.5%), HCV1b (24.5%), HCV4 (18.9%) and HCV3a (15.1%), while six cases revealed to be discordantly assigned by phylogeny and commercial assays. Overall, 60.4% was co-infected with HIV. The large majority was classified as people who inject drugs (78.6%), often co-infected with HIV. Transmission was sexual in seven cases, of which five in HIV-positive men-who-have-sex-with-men. Overall, relapse was defined for 44 patients, while no conclusion was drawn for four patients. Five patients were reinfected with a different HCV strain, of which three with a different genotype, showing that phylogeny is needed not only to determine the genotype, but also to distinguish between relapse and intra-subtype reinfection. Of note, phylogenies are more reliable when longer fragments of the viral genome are being sequenced.status: publishe

Availability, accessibility and delivery to patients of the 28 orphan medicines approved by the European Medicine Agency for hereditary metabolic diseases in the MetabERN network

BACKGROUND: The European Medicine Agency granted marketing approval to 164 orphan medicinal products for rare diseases, among which 28 products intended for the treatment of hereditary metabolic diseases. Taking advantage of its privileged connection with 69 healthcare centres of excellence in this field, MetabERN, the European Reference Network for hereditary metabolic diseases, performed a survey asking health care providers from 18 European countries whether these products are available on the market, reimbursed and therefore accessible for prescription, and actually delivered in their centre. RESULTS: Responses received from 52 centres (75%) concerned the design of treatment plans, the access to marketed products, and the barriers to delivery. Treatment options are always discussed with patients, who are often involved in their treatment plan. Most products (26/28) are available in most countries (15/18). Among the 15 broadly accessible products (88.5% of the centres), 9 are delivered to most patients (mean 70.1%), and the others to only few (16.5%). Among the 10 less accessible products (40.2% of the centres), 6 are delivered to many patients (66.7%), and 4 are rarely used (6.3%). Information was missing for 3 products. Delay between prescription and delivery is on average one month. Beside the lack of availability or accessibility, the most frequent reasons for not prescribing a treatment are patients' clinical status, characteristic, and personal choice. CONCLUSIONS: Data collected from health care providers in the MetabERN network indicate that two-third of the orphan medicines approved by EMA for the treatment of hereditary metabolic diseases are accessible to treating patients, although often less than one-half of the patients with the relevant conditions actually received the approved product to treat their disease. Thus, in spite of the remarkable achievement of many products, patients concerned by EMA-approved orphan medicinal products have persistent unmet needs, which deserve consideration. The enormous investments made by the companies to develop products, and the high financial burden for the Member States to purchase these products emphasize the importance of a scrupulous appreciation of treatment value involving all stakeholders at early stage of development, before marketing authorization, and during follow up.status: publishe