20 research outputs found

    Mortality from gastrointestinal congenital anomalies at 264 hospitals in 74 low-income, middle-income, and high-income countries: a multicentre, international, prospective cohort study

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    Summary Background Congenital anomalies are the fifth leading cause of mortality in children younger than 5 years globally. Many gastrointestinal congenital anomalies are fatal without timely access to neonatal surgical care, but few studies have been done on these conditions in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). We compared outcomes of the seven most common gastrointestinal congenital anomalies in low-income, middle-income, and high-income countries globally, and identified factors associated with mortality. Methods We did a multicentre, international prospective cohort study of patients younger than 16 years, presenting to hospital for the first time with oesophageal atresia, congenital diaphragmatic hernia, intestinal atresia, gastroschisis, exomphalos, anorectal malformation, and Hirschsprung’s disease. Recruitment was of consecutive patients for a minimum of 1 month between October, 2018, and April, 2019. We collected data on patient demographics, clinical status, interventions, and outcomes using the REDCap platform. Patients were followed up for 30 days after primary intervention, or 30 days after admission if they did not receive an intervention. The primary outcome was all-cause, in-hospital mortality for all conditions combined and each condition individually, stratified by country income status. We did a complete case analysis. Findings We included 3849 patients with 3975 study conditions (560 with oesophageal atresia, 448 with congenital diaphragmatic hernia, 681 with intestinal atresia, 453 with gastroschisis, 325 with exomphalos, 991 with anorectal malformation, and 517 with Hirschsprung’s disease) from 264 hospitals (89 in high-income countries, 166 in middleincome countries, and nine in low-income countries) in 74 countries. Of the 3849 patients, 2231 (58·0%) were male. Median gestational age at birth was 38 weeks (IQR 36–39) and median bodyweight at presentation was 2·8 kg (2·3–3·3). Mortality among all patients was 37 (39·8%) of 93 in low-income countries, 583 (20·4%) of 2860 in middle-income countries, and 50 (5·6%) of 896 in high-income countries (p<0·0001 between all country income groups). Gastroschisis had the greatest difference in mortality between country income strata (nine [90·0%] of ten in lowincome countries, 97 [31·9%] of 304 in middle-income countries, and two [1·4%] of 139 in high-income countries; p≤0·0001 between all country income groups). Factors significantly associated with higher mortality for all patients combined included country income status (low-income vs high-income countries, risk ratio 2·78 [95% CI 1·88–4·11], p<0·0001; middle-income vs high-income countries, 2·11 [1·59–2·79], p<0·0001), sepsis at presentation (1·20 [1·04–1·40], p=0·016), higher American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score at primary intervention (ASA 4–5 vs ASA 1–2, 1·82 [1·40–2·35], p<0·0001; ASA 3 vs ASA 1–2, 1·58, [1·30–1·92], p<0·0001]), surgical safety checklist not used (1·39 [1·02–1·90], p=0·035), and ventilation or parenteral nutrition unavailable when needed (ventilation 1·96, [1·41–2·71], p=0·0001; parenteral nutrition 1·35, [1·05–1·74], p=0·018). Administration of parenteral nutrition (0·61, [0·47–0·79], p=0·0002) and use of a peripherally inserted central catheter (0·65 [0·50–0·86], p=0·0024) or percutaneous central line (0·69 [0·48–1·00], p=0·049) were associated with lower mortality. Interpretation Unacceptable differences in mortality exist for gastrointestinal congenital anomalies between lowincome, middle-income, and high-income countries. Improving access to quality neonatal surgical care in LMICs will be vital to achieve Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 of ending preventable deaths in neonates and children younger than 5 years by 2030

    Global, regional, and national burden of disorders affecting the nervous system, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

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    BackgroundDisorders affecting the nervous system are diverse and include neurodevelopmental disorders, late-life neurodegeneration, and newly emergent conditions, such as cognitive impairment following COVID-19. Previous publications from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factor Study estimated the burden of 15 neurological conditions in 2015 and 2016, but these analyses did not include neurodevelopmental disorders, as defined by the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-11, or a subset of cases of congenital, neonatal, and infectious conditions that cause neurological damage. Here, we estimate nervous system health loss caused by 37 unique conditions and their associated risk factors globally, regionally, and nationally from 1990 to 2021.MethodsWe estimated mortality, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), with corresponding 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs), by age and sex in 204 countries and territories, from 1990 to 2021. We included morbidity and deaths due to neurological conditions, for which health loss is directly due to damage to the CNS or peripheral nervous system. We also isolated neurological health loss from conditions for which nervous system morbidity is a consequence, but not the primary feature, including a subset of congenital conditions (ie, chromosomal anomalies and congenital birth defects), neonatal conditions (ie, jaundice, preterm birth, and sepsis), infectious diseases (ie, COVID-19, cystic echinococcosis, malaria, syphilis, and Zika virus disease), and diabetic neuropathy. By conducting a sequela-level analysis of the health outcomes for these conditions, only cases where nervous system damage occurred were included, and YLDs were recalculated to isolate the non-fatal burden directly attributable to nervous system health loss. A comorbidity correction was used to calculate total prevalence of all conditions that affect the nervous system combined.FindingsGlobally, the 37 conditions affecting the nervous system were collectively ranked as the leading group cause of DALYs in 2021 (443 million, 95% UI 378–521), affecting 3·40 billion (3·20–3·62) individuals (43·1%, 40·5–45·9 of the global population); global DALY counts attributed to these conditions increased by 18·2% (8·7–26·7) between 1990 and 2021. Age-standardised rates of deaths per 100 000 people attributed to these conditions decreased from 1990 to 2021 by 33·6% (27·6–38·8), and age-standardised rates of DALYs attributed to these conditions decreased by 27·0% (21·5–32·4). Age-standardised prevalence was almost stable, with a change of 1·5% (0·7–2·4). The ten conditions with the highest age-standardised DALYs in 2021 were stroke, neonatal encephalopathy, migraine, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, diabetic neuropathy, meningitis, epilepsy, neurological complications due to preterm birth, autism spectrum disorder, and nervous system cancer.InterpretationAs the leading cause of overall disease burden in the world, with increasing global DALY counts, effective prevention, treatment, and rehabilitation strategies for disorders affecting the nervous system are needed

    COVID-19 Outcomes Among Participants in the NHLBI Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS) Natural History Study

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    Abstract Introduction: The NHLBI MDS Natural History Study (NCT02775383) is an ongoing prospective cohort study conducted across 144 sites in the U.S. and Israel intended to establish a data and biospecimen repository to advance the understanding of MDS. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the study also collected data on COVID-19 infection and management. Here, we report a summary of COVID-19 outcomes from participants in this study and the impact of the pandemic on study operations. Methods: This prospective cohort study initiated in June, 2016 is enrolling patients (pts) undergoing diagnostic work up for suspected or newly diagnosed MDS or MDS/myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) in the setting of cytopenia. Study enrollment was paused from Mar. 27, 2020 to May 18, 2020 due to COVID-19. Previously untreated pts underwent a bone marrow assessment with a centralized histopathology review at enrollment for assignment to a longitudinal cohort (MDS, MDS/MPN overlap, idiopathic cytopenia of undetermined significance (ICUS), acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with <30% blasts, or "At-Risk" (pts with sub-threshold dysplasia, select karyotype, or select genetic mutations) for follow-up every six months; or a cross-sectional cohort (other cytopenia or cancers) with no further follow-up. COVID-19 outcomes, including tests, status, hospitalizations and treatments for COVID-19, were collected for all eligible pts. Protocol deviations related to COVID-19 were also collected. Fisher's exact test was used for comparing the proportions of pts tested or positive between groups. Results : Of 758 eligible pts with available COVID-19 data, 507 (67%) were assigned to the longitudinal cohort and 251 (33%) to the cross-sectional cohort or are pending assignment. Among longitudinal pts, 74 (15%) had ICUS, 240 (47%) MDS, 47 (9%) MDS/MPN overlap, 11 (2%) AML with <30% blasts, and 135 (27%) At-Risk for MDS. The median age over all pts was 72 years (range=21-95) and 66% were male, 92% White, 4% Black, 2% Asian, and 2% other. Among 244 pts (32%) tested for COVID-19 (Table 1), 23 (9%) were positive. Twelve (>50% of the positive pts) were in Wisconsin, California (CA), and Missouri (Figure 1), with 8 identified from Sep. to Dec. 2020, which overlaps with third waves of COVID-19 reported in CA and in the Midwest. Tests from 17 (74%) of the 23 pts were based on a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay. The proportion of pts positive were similar between pooled disease (ICUS, MDS, MDS/MPN, AML <30%), At-Risk, and cross-sectional groups (8%, 8%, 16%, respectively; Table 2) but the proportions tested differed significantly (39%, 28%, and 25%, respectively, p=0.004). Among all positive pts, 21 (91%) are recovering or have recovered (16 with sequelae), 1 (4%) died, and 1 outcome is unknown (Table 1). The one participant who died had MDS with excess blasts-1 (MDS-EB1, 5-9% blasts). Eight pts (35% of positive pts) required hospitalization (median duration of 7 days (range=2-17)) or treatment (tx) in response to COVID-19, 7 of whom required both. In the 8 pts who required tx for COVID-19, 4 reported Remdesivir-use, 3 of whom were diagnosed with MDS or MDS/MPN overlap. The study monthly accrual rates were similar when compared pre- vs. post-study pause (23 vs. 22 pts, respectively) but the rate of missed follow-up visits increased from 5% to 11% post-pause. About half (49%) of the 144 COVID-19-related study deviations occurred during the months the study was paused. Conclusions: In this analysis of 758 pts with MDS and related conditions, the largest reported for these diagnoses, the COVID-19 mortality rate (13%) in MDS was lower than has been reported in a smaller (n=61) case study (39%, Feld et al Blood 2020) but is similar to the rates for MDS observed annually each year prior to study pause (range=11-19%) and to the rate reported in a larger (n=2186) observational study of cancer patients (16%, Rivera et al Cancer Discov 2020). Infection rates were similar across disease groups. The pandemic also resulted in substantial study-specific challenges, including increased rate of deviations, the study being paused, and difficulty sourcing material for biospecimen processing. Data on vaccine efficacy and rates of pts with long-haul symptoms post-COVID may be of interest in future work. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures Padron: BMS: Research Funding; Kura: Research Funding; Taiho: Honoraria; Stemline: Honoraria; Blueprint: Honoraria; Incyte: Research Funding. Komrokji: Novartis: Honoraria; Geron: Honoraria; Acceleron: Honoraria; Agios: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Abbvie: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; JAZZ: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; BMS: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau. Saber: Govt. COI: Other. Al Baghdadi: Bristol-Myers Squibb: Current holder of individual stocks in a privately-held company, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; AstraZeneca: Current holder of individual stocks in a privately-held company; Epizyme: Current holder of individual stocks in a privately-held company; Heron Therapeutics: Current holder of individual stocks in a privately-held company; Morphosys: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Karyopharm: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Cardinal Health: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. DeZern: Taiho: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Novartis: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Bristol-Myers Squibb: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Takeda: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Sekeres: Novartis: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Takeda/Millenium: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; BMS: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees
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