The Irish Fiscal Crisis

This paper considers the origins and characteristics of the current economic crisis in Ireland. In particular, it examines how fiscal policy contributed to the crisis rather than preventing it. The paper gives details of the major fiscal tightening that is under way. By 2014 the authorities will have implemented a package of ex ante cuts equivalent to one-fifth of GDP. The costs of this package, together with the more permanent effects of the recession on potential output, are discussed and the legacy effects of the crisis for government indebtedness are analysed.Fiscal policy, debt sustainability, Ireland

Excellent hepatitis C virus cure rates despite increasing complexity of people who use drugs: integrated-test-stage-treat study final outcomes

Achieving hepatitic C virus (HCV) elimination requires linking people who use drugs (PWUD) into care. We report final direct-acting antivirals (DAAs)-based outcomes from the Integrated-Test-stage -Treat (ITTREAT) study. Project ITTREAT (2013–2021), based at an addiction centre, was a ‘one-stop’ service with innovative linkage to care strategies. Primary outcome was sustained virological response (SVR12) (intention to treat ITT) including whether individuals were recruited in first (period 1) versus last four (period 2 included the COVID-19 pandemic) years of the study. Number recruited were n = 765, mean age 40.9 ± 10.1 years, 78% males, history of current/past injecting drug use (IDU) and alcohol use being 77% and 90%, respectively. Prevalence of a positive HCV PCR was 84% with 19% having cirrhosis. Comparing those recruited in period 2 versus period 1, there was increasing prevalence of IDU, 90% versus 72% (p < .001); homelessness, 67% versus 50% (p < .001); psychiatric diagnosis, 84% versus 50% (p < .001); overdose history 71% versus 31% (p < .001), receiving opioid agonist treatment (OAT) 75% versus 52% (p < .001) and comorbidity 44% versus 25% (p < .001). Of those treated with DAAs (n = 272), ITT SVR rates were 86% (95% CI: 81%–90%), being similar in period 2 versus period 1. Predictors of non-SVR were receiving OAT (OR 0.33, 95% CI: 0.12–0.87, p = .025) and ≥80% adherence (OR 0.01, 95% CI: 0.003–0.041, p < .001). Reinfection rates period 2 versus period 1 (per 100 person-years) were 1.84 versus 1.70, respectively. In the treated cohort, mortality was 15%, being mostly drug-related. Despite increasing complexity of PWUD, high SVR12 rates are achievable with use of OAT and good adherence.</p

The risk of skin cancer in renal transplant recipients in Queensland, Australia: A follow-up study

A long-term retrospective follow-up study was performed to evaluate the risk of skin cancer in 1098 renal transplant recipients in Queensland, Australia. In a subgroup, we also assessed the influence of immunosuppressive therapy on the risk of developing skin cancer: cyclosporine alone or in combination with prednisolone; azathioprine alone or in combination with prednisolone; or the combination of cyclosporine and azathioprine with or without prednisolone. The cumulative incidence of developing skin cancer, calculated by life table analysis, increased progressively from 7% after 1 year of immunosuppression to 45% after 11 years and to 70% after 20 years of immunosuppression. Multivariate analysis in a subgroup comparing the risk of developing skin cancer in patients on either long-term cyclosporine or azathioprine (each with or without prednisolone) and in patients on the combination of cyclosporine and azathioprine (with or without prednisolone) showed no differences between the groups. We conclude that it is likely that the increased risk of skin cancer associated with immunosuppression is independent of the agent(s) used and is a result of the immunosuppression per se

Effectiveness of pertussis vaccination in pregnancy to prevent hospitalisation in infants aged <2 months and effectiveness of both primary vaccination and mother's vaccination in pregnancy in infants aged 2-11 months

Background: PERTINENT is an active hospital-based surveillance system for pertussis in infants. In 2019, four of the six participating European countries recommended pertussis vaccination in pregnancy. Among infants aged &lt;2 months, we measured the vaccine effectiveness (VE) in pregnancy; among infants aged 2-11 months, VE of vaccination in pregnancy and of primary vaccination (PV).Methods: From December 2015 to 2019, we included all infants aged &lt;1 year presenting with pertussis-like symptoms. Using a test-negative-design, cases were infants testing positive for Bordetella pertussis by PCR or culture. Controls were those testing negative for all Bordetella species. Vaccinated mothers were those who received vaccine in pregnancy. Vaccinated infants were those who received &gt;= 1 dose of PV &gt; 14 days before symptom onset. We excluded infants with unknown maternal or PV status or with mothers vaccinated &lt;= 14 days before delivery. We calculated pooled VE as 100 * (1-odds ratio of vaccina-tion) adjusted for study site, onset date in quarters and infants' age group.Results: Of 829 infants presenting with pertussis-like symptoms, 336 (41%) were too young for PV. For the VE in pregnancy analysis, we included 75 cases and 201 controls. Vaccination in pregnancy was recorded for 9 cases (12%) and 92 controls (46%), adjusted VE was between 75% [95%CI: 35-91%] and 88% [95%CI: 57-96%]. Of 493 infants eligible for PV, we included 123 cases and 253 controls. Thirty-one cases and 98 controls recorded both PV with &gt;= 1 dose and vaccination in pregnancy, adjusted VE was between 74% [95%CI: 33-90] and 95% [95%CI: 69-99]; 27 cases and 53 controls recorded PV only, adjusted VE was between 68% [95%CI: 27-86] and 94% [95%CI: 59-99]. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that vaccination in pregnancy reduces pertussis incidence in infants too young for PV. In infants aged 2-11 months, PV only and both PV and vaccination in pregnancy provide significant protection against severe pertussis.(c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)

Belimumab in kidney transplantation: an experimental medicine, randomised, placebo-controlled phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: B cells produce alloantibodies and activate alloreactive T cells, negatively affecting kidney transplant survival. By contrast, regulatory B cells are associated with transplant tolerance. Immunotherapies are needed that inhibit B-cell effector function, including antibody secretion, while sparing regulators and minimising infection risk. B lymphocyte stimulator (BLyS) is a cytokine that promotes B-cell activation and has not previously been targeted in kidney transplant recipients. We aimed to determine the safety and activity of an anti-BLyS antibody, belimumab, in addition to standard-of-care immunosuppression in adult kidney transplant recipients. We used an experimental medicine study design with multiple secondary and exploratory endpoints to gain further insight into the effect of belimumab on the generation of de-novo IgG and on the regulatory B-cell compartment. METHODS: We undertook a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled phase 2 trial of belimumab, in addition to standard-of-care immunosuppression (basiliximab, mycophenolate mofetil, tacrolimus, and prednisolone) at two centres, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, UK, and Guy's and St Thomas' Hospital, London, UK. Participants were eligible if they were aged 18-75 years and receiving a kidney transplant and were planned to receive standard-of-care immunosuppression. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either intravenous belimumab 10 mg per kg bodyweight or placebo, given at day 0, 14, and 28, and then every 4 weeks for a total of seven infusions. The co-primary endpoints were safety and change in the concentration of naive B cells from baseline to week 24, both of which were analysed in all patients who received a transplant and at least one dose of drug or placebo (the modified intention-to-treat [mITT] population). This trial has been completed and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01536379, and EudraCT, 2011-006215-56. FINDINGS: Between Sept 13, 2013, and Feb 8, 2015, of 303 patients assessed for eligibility, 28 kidney transplant recipients were randomly assigned to receive belimumab (n=14) or placebo (n=14). 25 patients (12 [86%] patients assigned to the belimumab group and 13 [93%] patients assigned to the placebo group) received a transplant and were included in the mITT population. We observed similar proportions of adverse events in the belimumab and placebo groups, including serious infections (one [8%] of 12 in the belimumab group and five [38%] of 13 in the placebo group during the 6-month on-treatment phase; and none in the belimumab group and two [15%] in the placebo group during the 6-month follow-up). In the on-treatment phase, one patient in the placebo group died because of fatal myocardial infarction and acute cardiac failure. The co-primary endpoint of a reduction in naive B cells from baseline to week 24 was not met. Treatment with belimumab did not significantly reduce the number of naive B cells from baseline to week 24 (adjusted mean difference between the belimumab and placebo treatment groups -34·4 cells per μL, 95% CI -109·5 to 40·7). INTERPRETATION: Belimumab might be a useful adjunct to standard-of-care immunosuppression in renal transplantation, with no major increased risk of infection and potential beneficial effects on humoral alloimmunity. FUNDING: GlaxoSmithKline.NIHR; Glaxo Smith Klin

Incidence and severity of pertussis hospitalisations in infants aged less than 1 year in 37 hospitals of six EU/EEA countries, results of PERTINENT sentinel pilot surveillance system, December 2015 to December 2018

International audienceIntroductionPERTINENT is a pilot active surveillance system of infants hospitalised with pertussis in six European Union/European Economic Area countries (37 hospitals, seven sites).AimThis observational study aimed to estimate annual pertussis incidence per site from 2016 to 2018 and respective trends between 2017 and 2018. Pertussis cases were described, including their severity.MethodsWe developed a generic protocol and laboratory guidelines to harmonise practices across sites. Cases were hospitalised infants testing positive for Bordetella pertussis by PCR or culture. Sites collected demographic, clinical, laboratory data, vaccination status, and risk/protective factors. We estimated sites' annual incidences by dividing case numbers by the catchment populations.ResultsFrom December 2015 to December 2018, we identified 469 cases (247 males; 53%). The median age, birthweight and gestational age were 2.5 months (range: 0-11.6; interquartile range (IQR): 2.5), 3,280 g (range: 700-4,925; IQR: 720) and 39 weeks (range: 25-42; IQR: 2), respectively. Thirty cases (6%) had atypical presentation either with cough or cyanosis only or with absence of pertussis-like symptoms. Of 330 cases with information, 83 (25%) were admitted to intensive care units including five deceased infants too young to be vaccinated. Incidence rate ratios between 2018 and 2017 were 1.43 in Czech Republic (p = 0.468), 0.25 in Catalonia (p = 0.002), 0.71 in France (p = 0.034), 0.14 in Ireland (p = 0.002), 0.63 in Italy (p = 0.053), 0.21 in Navarra (p = 0.148) and zero in Norway.ConclusionsIncidence appeared to decrease between 2017 and 2018 in all but one site. Enhanced surveillance of hospitalised pertussis in Europe is essential to monitor pertussis epidemiology and disease burden