43 research outputs found

    Aerodynamic Drag Reduction of Emergency Response Vehicles

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    This paper presents the first experimental and computational investigation into the aerodynamics of emergency response vehicles and focusses on reducing the additional drag that results from the customary practice of adding light-bars onto the vehicles’ roofs. A series of wind tunnel experiments demonstrate the significant increase in drag that results from the light bars and show these can be minimized by reducing the flow separation caused by them. Simple potential improvements in the aerodynamic design of the light bars are investigated by combining Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) with Design of Experiments and metamodelling methods. An aerofoil-based roof design concept is shown to reduce the overall aerodynamic drag by up to 20% and an analysis of its effect on overall fuel consumption indicates that it offers a significant opportunity for improving the fuel economy and reducing emissions from emergency response vehicles. These benefits are now being realised by the UK’s ambulance service

    Would school closure for the 2009 H1N1 influenza epidemic have been worth the cost?: a computational simulation of Pennsylvania

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    <p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>During the 2009 H1N1 influenza epidemic, policy makers debated over whether, when, and how long to close schools. While closing schools could have reduced influenza transmission thereby preventing cases, deaths, and health care costs, it may also have incurred substantial costs from increased childcare needs and lost productivity by teachers and other school employees.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>A combination of agent-based and Monte Carlo economic simulation modeling was used to determine the cost-benefit of closing schools (vs. not closing schools) for different durations (range: 1 to 8 weeks) and symptomatic case incidence triggers (range: 1 to 30) for the state of Pennsylvania during the 2009 H1N1 epidemic. Different scenarios varied the basic reproductive rate (R<sub>0</sub>) from 1.2, 1.6, to 2.0 and used case-hospitalization and case-fatality rates from the 2009 epidemic. Additional analyses determined the cost per influenza case averted of implementing school closure.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>For all scenarios explored, closing schools resulted in substantially higher net costs than not closing schools. For R<sub>0 </sub>= 1.2, 1.6, and 2.0 epidemics, closing schools for 8 weeks would have resulted in median net costs of 21.0billion(9521.0 billion (95% Range: 8.0 - 45.3billion).Themediancostperinfluenzacaseavertedwouldhavebeen45.3 billion). The median cost per influenza case averted would have been 14,185 (5,423−5,423 - 30,565) for R<sub>0 </sub>= 1.2, 25,253(25,253 (9,501 - 53,461)forR<sub>0</sub>=1.6,and53,461) for R<sub>0 </sub>= 1.6, and 23,483 (8,870−8,870 - 50,926) for R<sub>0 </sub>= 2.0.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>Our study suggests that closing schools during the 2009 H1N1 epidemic could have resulted in substantial costs to society as the potential costs of lost productivity and childcare could have far outweighed the cost savings in preventing influenza cases.</p

    Evaluating U-series tools for weathering rate and duration on a soil sequence of known ages

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    Four soil profiles of known age (40, 250, 600 and 3000ka) from the Merced soil chronosequence in California were analysed for U and Th isotopes, and for major- and trace-element compositions, to test the assumption that leaching of U-series isotopes is a first order process with an invariant rate constant, as frequently assumed when applying this isotopic tool to determine weathering duration and sediment residence time. Average (230Th/238U) values for each profile decrease from a high of 1.28 in the youngest soil (40ka) to 1.09, 0.99 and 0.98 in the 250ka, 600ka and 3000ka soils respectively. (234U/238U) values also show variation across the 4 soils. The simultaneous variation in (230Th/238U) and (234U/238U) cannot be explained by a first-order kinetic model with invariant rate constants and instead requires that leaching coefficients for the U-series isotopes change with time. The observed data is consistent with a two-stage model that reflects an initial period of fast leaching of U and Th from a readily weathered soil pool (such as grain boundaries or defects), followed by slow leaching from a more resistant soil pool. Application of such a two-stage model may lead to significantly shorter calculated timescales of weathering than those obtained by the widely applied single-stage model of U-series weathering, which assumes no change in leaching coefficients over time. The results of this study have wide implications for published and future use of U-series tools in weathering studies. © 2013 Elsevier B.V
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