31,793 research outputs found
Video analysis based vehicle detection and tracking using an MCMC sampling framework
This article presents a probabilistic method for vehicle detection and tracking through the analysis of monocular images obtained from a vehicle-mounted camera. The method is designed to address the main shortcomings of traditional particle filtering approaches, namely Bayesian methods based on importance sampling, for use in traffic environments. These methods do not scale well when the dimensionality of the feature space grows, which creates significant limitations when tracking multiple objects. Alternatively, the proposed method is based on a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach, which allows efficient sampling of the feature space. The method involves important contributions in both the motion and the observation models of the tracker. Indeed, as opposed to particle filter-based tracking methods in the literature, which typically resort to observation models based on appearance or template matching, in this study a likelihood model that combines appearance analysis with information from motion parallax is introduced. Regarding the motion model, a new interaction treatment is defined based on Markov random fields (MRF) that allows for the handling of possible inter-dependencies in vehicle trajectories. As for vehicle detection, the method relies on a supervised classification stage using support vector machines (SVM). The contribution in this field is twofold. First, a new descriptor based on the analysis of gradient orientations in concentric rectangles is dened. This descriptor involves a much smaller feature space compared to traditional descriptors, which are too costly for real-time applications. Second, a new vehicle image database is generated to train the SVM and made public. The proposed vehicle detection and tracking method is proven to outperform existing methods and to successfully handle challenging situations in the test sequences
Bayesian estimation of Differential Transcript Usage from RNA-seq data
Next generation sequencing allows the identification of genes consisting of
differentially expressed transcripts, a term which usually refers to changes in
the overall expression level. A specific type of differential expression is
differential transcript usage (DTU) and targets changes in the relative within
gene expression of a transcript. The contribution of this paper is to: (a)
extend the use of cjBitSeq to the DTU context, a previously introduced Bayesian
model which is originally designed for identifying changes in overall
expression levels and (b) propose a Bayesian version of DRIMSeq, a frequentist
model for inferring DTU. cjBitSeq is a read based model and performs fully
Bayesian inference by MCMC sampling on the space of latent state of each
transcript per gene. BayesDRIMSeq is a count based model and estimates the
Bayes Factor of a DTU model against a null model using Laplace's approximation.
The proposed models are benchmarked against the existing ones using a recent
independent simulation study as well as a real RNA-seq dataset. Our results
suggest that the Bayesian methods exhibit similar performance with DRIMSeq in
terms of precision/recall but offer better calibration of False Discovery Rate.Comment: Revised version, accepted to Statistical Applications in Genetics and
Molecular Biolog
Langevin and Hamiltonian based Sequential MCMC for Efficient Bayesian Filtering in High-dimensional Spaces
Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models arise in numerous applications in
statistics and signal processing. In this context, one of the most successful
and popular approximation techniques is the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC)
algorithm, also known as particle filtering. Nevertheless, this method tends to
be inefficient when applied to high dimensional problems. In this paper, we
focus on another class of sequential inference methods, namely the Sequential
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) techniques, which represent a promising
alternative to SMC methods. After providing a unifying framework for the class
of SMCMC approaches, we propose novel efficient strategies based on the
principle of Langevin diffusion and Hamiltonian dynamics in order to cope with
the increasing number of high-dimensional applications. Simulation results show
that the proposed algorithms achieve significantly better performance compared
to existing algorithms
Reduced Complexity Filtering with Stochastic Dominance Bounds: A Convex Optimization Approach
This paper uses stochastic dominance principles to construct upper and lower
sample path bounds for Hidden Markov Model (HMM) filters. Given a HMM, by using
convex optimization methods for nuclear norm minimization with copositive
constraints, we construct low rank stochastic marices so that the optimal
filters using these matrices provably lower and upper bound (with respect to a
partially ordered set) the true filtered distribution at each time instant.
Since these matrices are low rank (say R), the computational cost of evaluating
the filtering bounds is O(XR) instead of O(X2). A Monte-Carlo importance
sampling filter is presented that exploits these upper and lower bounds to
estimate the optimal posterior. Finally, using the Dobrushin coefficient,
explicit bounds are given on the variational norm between the true posterior
and the upper and lower bounds
A unified approach to mortality modelling using state-space framework: characterisation, identification, estimation and forecasting
This paper explores and develops alternative statistical representations and
estimation approaches for dynamic mortality models. The framework we adopt is
to reinterpret popular mortality models such as the Lee-Carter class of models
in a general state-space modelling methodology, which allows modelling,
estimation and forecasting of mortality under a unified framework. Furthermore,
we propose an alternative class of model identification constraints which is
more suited to statistical inference in filtering and parameter estimation
settings based on maximization of the marginalized likelihood or in Bayesian
inference. We then develop a novel class of Bayesian state-space models which
incorporate apriori beliefs about the mortality model characteristics as well
as for more flexible and appropriate assumptions relating to heteroscedasticity
that present in observed mortality data. We show that multiple period and
cohort effect can be cast under a state-space structure. To study long term
mortality dynamics, we introduce stochastic volatility to the period effect.
The estimation of the resulting stochastic volatility model of mortality is
performed using a recent class of Monte Carlo procedure specifically designed
for state and parameter estimation in Bayesian state-space models, known as the
class of particle Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We illustrate the framework
we have developed using Danish male mortality data, and show that incorporating
heteroscedasticity and stochastic volatility markedly improves model fit
despite an increase of model complexity. Forecasting properties of the enhanced
models are examined with long term and short term calibration periods on the
reconstruction of life tables.Comment: 46 page
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