39,510 research outputs found
Development of accident prediction model by using artificial neural network (ANN)
Statistical or crash prediction model have frequently been used in highway
safety studies. They can be used in identify major contributing factors or establish
relationship between crashes and explanatory accident variables. The
measurements to prevent accident are from the speed reduction, widening the
roads, speed enforcement, or construct the road divider, or other else. Therefore,
the purpose of this study is to develop an accident prediction model at federal road
FT 050 Batu Pahat to Kluang. The study process involves the identification of
accident blackspot locations, establishment of general patterns of accident, analysis
of the factors involved, site studies, and development of accident prediction model
using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) applied software which named
NeuroShell2. The significant of the variables that are selected from these accident
factors are checked to ensure the developed model can give a good prediction
results. The performance of neural network is evaluated by using the Mean
Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The study result showed that the best neural
network for accident prediction model at federal road FT 050 is 4-10-1 with 0.1
learning rate and 0.2 momentum rate. This network model contains the lowest
value of MAPE and highest value of linear correlation, r which is 0.8986. This
study has established the accident point weightage as the rank of the blackspot
section by kilometer along the FT 050 road (km 1 – km 103). Several main
accident factors also have been determined along this road, and after all the data
gained, it has successfully analyzed by using artificial neural network
Pembangunan dan penilaian modul berbantukan komputer bagi subjek pemasaran : Politeknik Port Dickson
Kajian ini bertujuan membangunkan Modul Berbantukan Komputer (MBK) bagi
subjek Pemasaran. MBK ini dibangunkan dengan menggunakan pensian AutoPlay
Media dan Flash MX. Sampel kajian ini terdiri daripada 30 orang pelajar Diploma
Pemasaran di Politeknik Port Dickson. Data dikumpulkan melalui kaedah soal
selidik dan dianalisis berdasarkan kekerpan, peratusan dan skor min dengan
menggunakan perisian Statistical Package For Social Sciene (SPSS) versi 11.0.
Dapatan kajian menunjukkan penilaian terhadap pembagunan MBK di dalam proses
P&P adalah tinggi. Ini bermakna MBK ini sesuai digunakan di Politeknik Port
Dickson di dalam proses P&P
Web apps and imprecise probabilities
We propose a model for the behaviour of Web apps in the unreliable WWW. Web apps are described by orchestrations. An orchestration mimics the personal use of the Web by defining the way in which Web services are invoked. The WWW is unreliable as poorly maintained Web sites are prone to fail. We model this source of unreliability trough a probabilistic approach. We assume that each site has a probability to fail. Another source of uncertainty is the traffic congestion. This can be observed as a non-deterministic behaviour induced by the variability in the response times. We model non-determinism by imprecise probabilities. We develop here an ex-ante normal to characterize the behaviour of finite orchestrations in the unreliable Web. We show the existence of a normal form under such semantics for orchestrations using asymmetric parallelism.Peer ReviewedPostprint (author's final draft
Applications of Soft Computing in Mobile and Wireless Communications
Soft computing is a synergistic combination of artificial intelligence methodologies to model and solve real world problems that are either impossible or too difficult to model mathematically. Furthermore, the use of conventional modeling techniques demands rigor, precision and certainty, which carry computational cost. On the other hand, soft computing utilizes computation, reasoning and inference to reduce computational cost by exploiting tolerance for imprecision, uncertainty, partial truth and approximation. In addition to computational cost savings, soft computing is an excellent platform for autonomic computing, owing to its roots in artificial intelligence. Wireless communication networks are associated with much uncertainty and imprecision due to a number of stochastic processes such as escalating number of access points, constantly changing propagation channels, sudden variations in network load and random mobility of users. This reality has fuelled numerous applications of soft computing techniques in mobile and wireless communications. This paper reviews various applications of the core soft computing methodologies in mobile and wireless communications
Comment: Expert Elicitation for Reliable System Design
Comment: Expert Elicitation for Reliable System Design [arXiv:0708.0279]Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/088342306000000547 in the
Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
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