8,623 research outputs found
Stochastic Model Predictive Control for Autonomous Mobility on Demand
This paper presents a stochastic, model predictive control (MPC) algorithm
that leverages short-term probabilistic forecasts for dispatching and
rebalancing Autonomous Mobility-on-Demand systems (AMoD, i.e. fleets of
self-driving vehicles). We first present the core stochastic optimization
problem in terms of a time-expanded network flow model. Then, to ameliorate its
tractability, we present two key relaxations. First, we replace the original
stochastic problem with a Sample Average Approximation (SAA), and characterize
the performance guarantees. Second, we separate the controller into two
separate parts to address the task of assigning vehicles to the outstanding
customers separate from that of rebalancing. This enables the problem to be
solved as two totally unimodular linear programs, and thus easily scalable to
large problem sizes. Finally, we test the proposed algorithm in two scenarios
based on real data and show that it outperforms prior state-of-the-art
algorithms. In particular, in a simulation using customer data from DiDi
Chuxing, the algorithm presented here exhibits a 62.3 percent reduction in
customer waiting time compared to state of the art non-stochastic algorithms.Comment: Submitting to the IEEE International Conference on Intelligent
Transportation Systems 201
Online Predictive Optimization Framework for Stochastic Demand-Responsive Transit Services
This study develops an online predictive optimization framework for
dynamically operating a transit service in an area of crowd movements. The
proposed framework integrates demand prediction and supply optimization to
periodically redesign the service routes based on recently observed demand. To
predict demand for the service, we use Quantile Regression to estimate the
marginal distribution of movement counts between each pair of serviced
locations. The framework then combines these marginals into a joint demand
distribution by constructing a Gaussian copula, which captures the structure of
correlation between the marginals. For supply optimization, we devise a linear
programming model, which simultaneously determines the route structure and the
service frequency according to the predicted demand. Importantly, our framework
both preserves the uncertainty structure of future demand and leverages this
for robust route optimization, while keeping both components decoupled. We
evaluate our framework using a real-world case study of autonomous mobility in
a university campus in Denmark. The results show that our framework often
obtains the ground truth optimal solution, and can outperform conventional
methods for route optimization, which do not leverage full predictive
distributions.Comment: 34 pages, 12 figures, 5 table
A Predictive Chance Constraint Rebalancing Approach to Mobility-on-Demand Services
This paper considers the problem of supply-demand imbalances in Autonomous
Mobility-on-Demand systems (AMoD) where demand uncertainty compromises both the
service provider's and the customer objectives. The key idea is to include
estimated stochastic travel demand patterns into receding horizon AMoD
optimization problems. More precisely, we first estimate passenger demand using
Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). GPR provides demand uncertainty bounds for
time pattern prediction. Second, we integrate demand predictions with
uncertainty bounds into a receding horizon AMoD optimization. In order to
guarantee constraint satisfaction in the above optimization under estimated
stochastic demand prediction, we employ a probabilistic constraining method
with user defined confidence interval. Receding horizon AMoD optimization with
probabilistic constraints thereby calls for Chance Constrained Model Predictive
Control (CCMPC). The benefit of the proposed method is twofold. First, travel
demand uncertainty prediction from data can naturally be embedded into AMoD
optimization. Second, CCMPC can further be relaxed into a
Mixed-Integer-Linear-Program (MILP) that can efficiently be solved. We show,
through high-fidelity transportation simulation, that by tuning the confidence
bound on the chance constraint close to "optimal" oracle performance can be
achieved. The median wait time is reduced by 4% compared to using only the mean
prediction of the GP.Comment: 11 pages, 8 figure
On the interaction between Autonomous Mobility-on-Demand systems and the power network: models and coordination algorithms
We study the interaction between a fleet of electric, self-driving vehicles
servicing on-demand transportation requests (referred to as Autonomous
Mobility-on-Demand, or AMoD, system) and the electric power network. We propose
a model that captures the coupling between the two systems stemming from the
vehicles' charging requirements and captures time-varying customer demand and
power generation costs, road congestion, battery depreciation, and power
transmission and distribution constraints. We then leverage the model to
jointly optimize the operation of both systems. We devise an algorithmic
procedure to losslessly reduce the problem size by bundling customer requests,
allowing it to be efficiently solved by off-the-shelf linear programming
solvers. Next, we show that the socially optimal solution to the joint problem
can be enforced as a general equilibrium, and we provide a dual decomposition
algorithm that allows self-interested agents to compute the market clearing
prices without sharing private information. We assess the performance of the
mode by studying a hypothetical AMoD system in Dallas-Fort Worth and its impact
on the Texas power network. Lack of coordination between the AMoD system and
the power network can cause a 4.4% increase in the price of electricity in
Dallas-Fort Worth; conversely, coordination between the AMoD system and the
power network could reduce electricity expenditure compared to the case where
no cars are present (despite the increased demand for electricity) and yield
savings of up $147M/year. Finally, we provide a receding-horizon implementation
and assess its performance with agent-based simulations. Collectively, the
results of this paper provide a first-of-a-kind characterization of the
interaction between electric-powered AMoD systems and the power network, and
shed additional light on the economic and societal value of AMoD.Comment: Extended version of the paper presented at Robotics: Science and
Systems XIV, in prep. for journal submission. In V3, we add a proof that the
socially-optimal solution can be enforced as a general equilibrium, a
privacy-preserving distributed optimization algorithm, a description of the
receding-horizon implementation and additional numerical results, and proofs
of all theorem
On the interaction between Autonomous Mobility-on-Demand systems and the power network: models and coordination algorithms
We study the interaction between a fleet of electric, self-driving vehicles
servicing on-demand transportation requests (referred to as Autonomous
Mobility-on-Demand, or AMoD, system) and the electric power network. We propose
a model that captures the coupling between the two systems stemming from the
vehicles' charging requirements and captures time-varying customer demand and
power generation costs, road congestion, battery depreciation, and power
transmission and distribution constraints. We then leverage the model to
jointly optimize the operation of both systems. We devise an algorithmic
procedure to losslessly reduce the problem size by bundling customer requests,
allowing it to be efficiently solved by off-the-shelf linear programming
solvers. Next, we show that the socially optimal solution to the joint problem
can be enforced as a general equilibrium, and we provide a dual decomposition
algorithm that allows self-interested agents to compute the market clearing
prices without sharing private information. We assess the performance of the
mode by studying a hypothetical AMoD system in Dallas-Fort Worth and its impact
on the Texas power network. Lack of coordination between the AMoD system and
the power network can cause a 4.4% increase in the price of electricity in
Dallas-Fort Worth; conversely, coordination between the AMoD system and the
power network could reduce electricity expenditure compared to the case where
no cars are present (despite the increased demand for electricity) and yield
savings of up $147M/year. Finally, we provide a receding-horizon implementation
and assess its performance with agent-based simulations. Collectively, the
results of this paper provide a first-of-a-kind characterization of the
interaction between electric-powered AMoD systems and the power network, and
shed additional light on the economic and societal value of AMoD.Comment: Extended version of the paper presented at Robotics: Science and
Systems XIV and accepted by TCNS. In Version 4, the body of the paper is
largely rewritten for clarity and consistency, and new numerical simulations
are presented. All source code is available (MIT) at
https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.324165
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