Threat Assessment for Multistage Cyber Attacks in Smart Grid Communication Networks

In smart grids, managing and controlling power operations are supported by information and communication technology (ICT) and supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems. The increasing adoption of new ICT assets in smart grids is making smart grids vulnerable to cyber threats, as well as raising numerous concerns about the adequacy of current security approaches. As a single act of penetration is often not sufficient for an attacker to achieve his/her goal, multistage cyber attacks may occur. Due to the interdependence between the power grid and the communication network, a multistage cyber attack not only affects the cyber system but impacts the physical system. This thesis investigates an application-oriented stochastic game-theoretic cyber threat assessment framework, which is strongly related to the information security risk management process as standardized in ISO/IEC 27005. The proposed cyber threat assessment framework seeks to address the specific challenges (e.g., dynamic changing attack scenarios and understanding cascading effects) when performing threat assessments for multistage cyber attacks in smart grid communication networks. The thesis looks at the stochastic and dynamic nature of multistage cyber attacks in smart grid use cases and develops a stochastic game-theoretic model to capture the interactions of the attacker and the defender in multistage attack scenarios. To provide a flexible and practical payoff formulation for the designed stochastic game-theoretic model, this thesis presents a mathematical analysis of cascading failure propagation (including both interdependency cascading failure propagation and node overloading cascading failure propagation) in smart grids. In addition, the thesis quantifies the characterizations of disruptive effects of cyber attacks on physical power grids. Furthermore, this thesis discusses, in detail, the ingredients of the developed stochastic game-theoretic model and presents the implementation steps of the investigated stochastic game-theoretic cyber threat assessment framework. An application of the proposed cyber threat assessment framework for evaluating a demonstrated multistage cyber attack scenario in smart grids is shown. The cyber threat assessment framework can be integrated into an existing risk management process, such as ISO 27000, or applied as a standalone threat assessment process in smart grid use cases

Artificial Intelligent Based Energy and Demand Side Management for Microgrids and Smart Homes Considering Customer Privacy

The rapid development of various power electronics applications facilitates the integration of many smart grid applications in recent years. However, integration of intermittent renewable energy sources, highly stochastic electric vehicles (EVs) activities on the grid and time-varying smart loads have increased the level of grid vulnerability to unusual and high complexity and quality-related problems. Among these problems is to accurately estimate the real contribution and consumption of household loads, in the era of smart appliances and interoperability operation, and its relative impact to the grid’s operation. Specifically, household loads represent a significant percentage of electrical energy consumption and, therefore, could offer great prosperity to the rise of the demand-side management (DSM) programs, which subsequently improve the stability of the grid’s operation. As a result, our main focus in this dissertation is to develop DSM strategies based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques to properly model and estimate the amount of support smart homes could offer to the smart grids and microgrid’s operation. Throughout the way to achieve our goals, we develop an energy management framework for smart homes that operate in efficient and reliable microgrids with multiple energy sources and energy storage applications to meet the demands at a stable voltage and frequency limits. Furthermore, we develop a precise short-term load forecasting (STLF), which is a critical tool needed to manage a DSM program for residential loads that have very high uncertainty and volatility in load consumption. We also develop an energy exchange portal with communication sources, demands, and connectivity information between each consumer and the local power utility at the distribution level. Finally, creative AI methodologies have been developed throughout the way to facilitate the integration, control, and management of the DSM programs taking into account the consumers’ own privacy and security. The security of the DSM is provided by preserving the indoor privacy of the smart homes by sharing limited and encoded data among household appliances controllers

A New Efficient Stochastic Energy Management Technique for Interconnected AC Microgrids

Cooperating interconnected microgrids with the Distribution System Operation (DSO) can lead to an improvement in terms of operation and reliability. This paper investigates the optimal operation and scheduling of interconnected microgrids highly penetrated by renewable energy resources (DERs). Moreover, an efficient stochastic framework based on the Unscented Transform (UT) method is proposed to model uncertainties associated with the hourly market price, hourly load demand and DERs output power. Prior to the energy management, a newly developed linearization technique is employed to linearize nodal equations extracted from the AC power flow. The proposed stochastic problem is formulated as a single-objective optimization problem minimizing the interconnected AC MGs cost function. In order to validate the proposed technique, a modified IEEE 69 bus network is studied as the test case