Kolmogorov Random Graphs and the Incompressibility Method

We investigate topological, combinatorial, statistical, and enumeration properties of finite graphs with high Kolmogorov complexity (almost all graphs) using the novel incompressibility method. Example results are: (i) the mean and variance of the number of (possibly overlapping) ordered labeled subgraphs of a labeled graph as a function of its randomness deficiency (how far it falls short of the maximum possible Kolmogorov complexity) and (ii) a new elementary proof for the number of unlabeled graphs.Comment: LaTeX 9 page

Minimum Description Length Induction, Bayesianism, and Kolmogorov Complexity

The relationship between the Bayesian approach and the minimum description length approach is established. We sharpen and clarify the general modeling principles MDL and MML, abstracted as the ideal MDL principle and defined from Bayes's rule by means of Kolmogorov complexity. The basic condition under which the ideal principle should be applied is encapsulated as the Fundamental Inequality, which in broad terms states that the principle is valid when the data are random, relative to every contemplated hypothesis and also these hypotheses are random relative to the (universal) prior. Basically, the ideal principle states that the prior probability associated with the hypothesis should be given by the algorithmic universal probability, and the sum of the log universal probability of the model plus the log of the probability of the data given the model should be minimized. If we restrict the model class to the finite sets then application of the ideal principle turns into Kolmogorov's minimal sufficient statistic. In general we show that data compression is almost always the best strategy, both in hypothesis identification and prediction.Comment: 35 pages, Latex. Submitted IEEE Trans. Inform. Theor

Estimating the Algorithmic Complexity of Stock Markets

Randomness and regularities in Finance are usually treated in probabilistic terms. In this paper, we develop a completely different approach in using a non-probabilistic framework based on the algorithmic information theory initially developed by Kolmogorov (1965). We present some elements of this theory and show why it is particularly relevant to Finance, and potentially to other sub-fields of Economics as well. We develop a generic method to estimate the Kolmogorov complexity of numeric series. This approach is based on an iterative "regularity erasing procedure" implemented to use lossless compression algorithms on financial data. Examples are provided with both simulated and real-world financial time series. The contributions of this article are twofold. The first one is methodological : we show that some structural regularities, invisible with classical statistical tests, can be detected by this algorithmic method. The second one consists in illustrations on the daily Dow-Jones Index suggesting that beyond several well-known regularities, hidden structure may in this index remain to be identified

A Computable Measure of Algorithmic Probability by Finite Approximations with an Application to Integer Sequences

Given the widespread use of lossless compression algorithms to approximate algorithmic (Kolmogorov-Chaitin) complexity, and that lossless compression algorithms fall short at characterizing patterns other than statistical ones not different to entropy estimations, here we explore an alternative and complementary approach. We study formal properties of a Levin-inspired measure $m$ calculated from the output distribution of small Turing machines. We introduce and justify finite approximations $m_k$ that have been used in some applications as an alternative to lossless compression algorithms for approximating algorithmic (Kolmogorov-Chaitin) complexity. We provide proofs of the relevant properties of both $m$ and $m_k$ and compare them to Levin's Universal Distribution. We provide error estimations of $m_k$ with respect to $m$. Finally, we present an application to integer sequences from the Online Encyclopedia of Integer Sequences which suggests that our AP-based measures may characterize non-statistical patterns, and we report interesting correlations with textual, function and program description lengths of the said sequences.Comment: As accepted by the journal Complexity (Wiley/Hindawi

Average Symmetry and Complexity of Binary Sequences

The concept of complexity as average symmetry is here formalised by introducing a general expression dependent on the relevant symmetry and a related discrete set of transformations. This complexity has hybrid features of both statistical complexities and of those related to algorithmic complexity. Like the former, random objects are not the most complex while they still are more complex than the more symmetric ones (as in the latter). By applying this definition to the particular case of rotations of binary sequences, we are able to find a precise expression for it. In particular, we then analyse the behaviour of this measure in different well-known automatic sequences, where we find interesting new properties. A generalisation of the measure to statistical ensembles is also presented and applied to the case of i.i.d. random sequences and to the equilibrium configurations of the one-dimensional Ising model. In both cases, we find that the complexity is continuous and differentiable as a function of the relevant parameters and agrees with the intuitive requirements we were looking for.Comment: 9 pages, 5 figure