Modeling match performance in elite volleyball players: importance of jump load and strength training characteristics

In this study, we investigated the relationships between training load, perceived wellness and match performance in professional volleyball by applying the machine learning techniques XGBoost, random forest regression and subgroup discovery. Physical load data were obtained by manually logging all physical activities and using wearable sensors. Daily wellness of players was monitored using questionnaires. Match performance was derived from annotated actions by a video scout during matches. We identified conditions of predictor variables that related to attack and pass performance (p < 0.05). Better attack performance is related to heavy weights of lower-body strength training exercises in the preceding four weeks. However, worse attack performance is linked to large variations in weights of full-body strength training exercises, excessively heavy upper-body strength training, low jump heights and small variations in the number of high jumps in the four weeks prior to competition. Lower passing performance was associated with small variations in the number of high jumps in the preceding week and an excessive amount of high jumps performed, on average, in the two weeks prior to competition. Differences in findings with respect to passing and attack performance suggest that elite volleyball players can improve their performance if training schedules are adapted to the position of a player.Algorithms and the Foundations of Software technolog

Effects of pacing properties on performance in long-distance running

This article focuses on the performance of runners in official races. Based on extensive public data from participants of races organized by the Boston Athletic Association, we demonstrate how different pacing profiles can affect the performance in a race. An athlete's pacing profile refers to the running speed at various stages of the race. We aim to provide practical, data-driven advice for professional as well as recreational runners. Our data collection covers 3 years of data made public by the race organizers, and primarily concerns the times at various intermediate points, giving an indication of the speed profile of the individual runner. We consider the 10 km, half marathon, and full marathon, leading to a data set of 120,472 race results. Although these data were not primarily recorded for scientific analysis, we demonstrate that valuable information can be gleaned from these substantial data about the right way to approach a running challenge. In this article, we focus on the role of race distance, gender, age, and the pacing profile. Since age is a crucial but complex determinant of performance, we first model the age effect in a gender- and distance-specific manner. We consider polynomials of high degree and use cross-validation to select models that are both accurate and of sufficient generalizability. After that, we perform clustering of the race profiles to identify the dominant pacing profiles that runners select. Finally, after having compensated for age influences, we apply a descriptive pattern mining approach to select reliable and informative aspects of pacing that most determine an optimal performance. The mining paradigm produces relatively simple and readable patterns, such that both professionals and amateurs can use the results to their benefit.Algorithms and the Foundations of Software technolog

Sports analytics for professional speed skating

In elite sports, training schedules are becoming increasingly complex, and a large number of parameters of such schedules need to be tuned to the specific physique of a given athlete. In this paper, we describe how extensive analysis of historical data can help optimise these parameters, and how possible pitfalls of under- and overtraining in the past can be avoided in future schedules. We treat the series of exercises an athlete undergoes as a discrete sequence of attributed events, that can be aggregated in various ways, to capture the many ways in which an athlete can prepare for an important test event. We report on a cooperation with the elite speed skating team LottoNL-Jumbo, who have recorded detailed training data over the last 15 years. The aim of the project was to analyse this potential source of knowledge, and extract actionable and interpretable patterns that can provide input to future improvements in training. We present two alternative techniques to aggregate sequences of exercises into a combined, long-term training effect, one of which based on a sliding window, and one based on a physiological model of how the body responds to exercise. Next, we use both linear modelling and Subgroup Discovery to extract meaningful models of the data