The safety case and the lessons learned for the reliability and maintainability case

This paper examine the safety case and the lessons learned for the reliability and maintainability case

New perspectives on realism, tractability, and complexity in economics

Fuzzy logic and genetic algorithms are used to rework more realistic (and more complex) models of competitive markets. The resulting equilibria are significantly different from the ones predicted from the usual static analysis; the methodology solves the Walrasian problem of how markets can reach equilibrium, starting with firms trading at disparate prices. The modified equilibria found in these complex market models involve some mutual self-restraint on the part of the agents involved, relative to economically rational behaviour. Research (using similar techniques) into the evolution of collaborative behaviours in economics, and of altruism generally, is summarized; and the joint significance of these two bodies of work for public policy is reviewed. The possible extension of the fuzzy/ genetic methodology to other technical aspects of economics (including international trade theory, and development) is also discussed, as are the limitations to the usefulness of any type of theory in political domains. For the latter purpose, a more differentiated concept of rationality, appropriate to ill-structured choices, is developed. The philosophical case for laissez-faire policies is considered briefly; and the prospects for change in the way we ‘do economics’ are analysed

Extended Fuzzy Clustering Algorithms

Fuzzy clustering is a widely applied method for obtaining fuzzy models from data. Ithas been applied successfully in various fields including finance and marketing. Despitethe successful applications, there are a number of issues that must be dealt with in practicalapplications of fuzzy clustering algorithms. This technical report proposes two extensionsto the objective function based fuzzy clustering for dealing with these issues. First, the(point) prototypes are extended to hypervolumes whose size is determined automaticallyfrom the data being clustered. These prototypes are shown to be less sensitive to a biasin the distribution of the data. Second, cluster merging by assessing the similarity amongthe clusters during optimization is introduced. Starting with an over-estimated number ofclusters in the data, similar clusters are merged during clustering in order to obtain a suitablepartitioning of the data. An adaptive threshold for merging is introduced. The proposedextensions are applied to Gustafson-Kessel and fuzzy c-means algorithms, and the resultingextended algorithms are given. The properties of the new algorithms are illustrated invarious examples.fuzzy clustering;cluster merging;similarity;volume prototypes