Improved streamflow forecasting using self-organizing radial basis function artificial neural networks

Streamflow forecasting has always been a challenging task for water resources engineers and managers and a major component of water resources system control. In this study, we explore the applicability of a Self Organizing Radial Basis (SORB) function to one-step ahead forecasting of daily streamflow. SORB uses a Gaussian Radial Basis Function architecture in conjunction with the Self-Organizing Feature Map (SOFM) used in data classification. SORB outperforms the two other ANN algorithms, the well known Multi-layer Feedforward Network (MFN) and Self-Organizing Linear Output map (SOLO) neural network for simulation of daily streamflow in the semi-arid Salt River basin. The applicability of the linear regression model was also investigated and concluded that the regression model is not reliable for this study. To generalize the model and derive a robust parameter set, cross-validation is applied and its outcome is compared with the split sample test. Cross-validation justifies the validity of the nonlinear relationship set up between input and output data. © 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved

Foothill: A Quasiconvex Regularization for Edge Computing of Deep Neural Networks

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have demonstrated success for many supervised learning tasks, ranging from voice recognition, object detection, to image classification. However, their increasing complexity might yield poor generalization error that make them hard to be deployed on edge devices. Quantization is an effective approach to compress DNNs in order to meet these constraints. Using a quasiconvex base function in order to construct a binary quantizer helps training binary neural networks (BNNs) and adding noise to the input data or using a concrete regularization function helps to improve generalization error. Here we introduce foothill function, an infinitely differentiable quasiconvex function. This regularizer is flexible enough to deform towards $L_1$ and $L_2$ penalties. Foothill can be used as a binary quantizer, as a regularizer, or as a loss. In particular, we show this regularizer reduces the accuracy gap between BNNs and their full-precision counterpart for image classification on ImageNet.Comment: Accepted in 16th International Conference of Image Analysis and Recognition (ICIAR 2019

Learning Counterfactual Representations for Estimating Individual Dose-Response Curves

Estimating what would be an individual's potential response to varying levels of exposure to a treatment is of high practical relevance for several important fields, such as healthcare, economics and public policy. However, existing methods for learning to estimate counterfactual outcomes from observational data are either focused on estimating average dose-response curves, or limited to settings with only two treatments that do not have an associated dosage parameter. Here, we present a novel machine-learning approach towards learning counterfactual representations for estimating individual dose-response curves for any number of treatments with continuous dosage parameters with neural networks. Building on the established potential outcomes framework, we introduce performance metrics, model selection criteria, model architectures, and open benchmarks for estimating individual dose-response curves. Our experiments show that the methods developed in this work set a new state-of-the-art in estimating individual dose-response