16,160 research outputs found
Assessing the Impact of Game Day Schedule and Opponents on Travel Patterns and Route Choice using Big Data Analytics
The transportation system is crucial for transferring people and goods from point A to point B. However, its reliability can be decreased by unanticipated congestion resulting from planned special events. For example, sporting events collect large crowds of people at specific venues on game days and disrupt normal traffic patterns.
The goal of this study was to understand issues related to road traffic management during major sporting events by using widely available INRIX data to compare travel patterns and behaviors on game days against those on normal days. A comprehensive analysis was conducted on the impact of all Nebraska Cornhuskers football games over five years on traffic congestion on five major routes in Nebraska. We attempted to identify hotspots, the unusually high-risk zones in a spatiotemporal space containing traffic congestion that occur on almost all game days. For hotspot detection, we utilized a method called Multi-EigenSpot, which is able to detect multiple hotspots in a spatiotemporal space. With this algorithm, we were able to detect traffic hotspot clusters on the five chosen routes in Nebraska. After detecting the hotspots, we identified the factors affecting the sizes of hotspots and other parameters. The start time of the game and the Cornhuskers’ opponent for a given game are two important factors affecting the number of people coming to Lincoln, Nebraska, on game days. Finally, the Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBN) approach was applied to forecast the start times and locations of hotspot clusters in 2018 with a weighted mean absolute percentage error (WMAPE) of 13.8%
Bayesian Reconstruction of Missing Observations
We focus on an interpolation method referred to Bayesian reconstruction in
this paper. Whereas in standard interpolation methods missing data are
interpolated deterministically, in Bayesian reconstruction, missing data are
interpolated probabilistically using a Bayesian treatment. In this paper, we
address the framework of Bayesian reconstruction and its application to the
traffic data reconstruction problem in the field of traffic engineering. In the
latter part of this paper, we describe the evaluation of the statistical
performance of our Bayesian traffic reconstruction model using a statistical
mechanical approach and clarify its statistical behavior
Predicting vehicular travel times by modeling heterogeneous influences between arterial roads
Predicting travel times of vehicles in urban settings is a useful and
tangible quantity of interest in the context of intelligent transportation
systems. We address the problem of travel time prediction in arterial roads
using data sampled from probe vehicles. There is only a limited literature on
methods using data input from probe vehicles. The spatio-temporal dependencies
captured by existing data driven approaches are either too detailed or very
simplistic. We strike a balance of the existing data driven approaches to
account for varying degrees of influence a given road may experience from its
neighbors, while controlling the number of parameters to be learnt.
Specifically, we use a NoisyOR conditional probability distribution (CPD) in
conjunction with a dynamic bayesian network (DBN) to model state transitions of
various roads. We propose an efficient algorithm to learn model parameters. We
propose an algorithm for predicting travel times on trips of arbitrary
durations. Using synthetic and real world data traces we demonstrate the
superior performance of the proposed method under different traffic conditions.Comment: 13 pages, conferenc
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