Quantum Inference on Bayesian Networks

Performing exact inference on Bayesian networks is known to be #P-hard. Typically approximate inference techniques are used instead to sample from the distribution on query variables given the values $e$ of evidence variables. Classically, a single unbiased sample is obtained from a Bayesian network on $n$ variables with at most $m$ parents per node in time $\mathcal{O}(nmP(e)^{-1})$, depending critically on $P(e)$, the probability the evidence might occur in the first place. By implementing a quantum version of rejection sampling, we obtain a square-root speedup, taking $\mathcal{O}(n2^mP(e)^{-\frac12})$ time per sample. We exploit the Bayesian network's graph structure to efficiently construct a quantum state, a q-sample, representing the intended classical distribution, and also to efficiently apply amplitude amplification, the source of our speedup. Thus, our speedup is notable as it is unrelativized -- we count primitive operations and require no blackbox oracle queries.Comment: 8 pages, 3 figures. Submitted to PR

Broadcasting on Random Directed Acyclic Graphs

We study a generalization of the well-known model of broadcasting on trees. Consider a directed acyclic graph (DAG) with a unique source vertex $X$, and suppose all other vertices have indegree $d\geq 2$. Let the vertices at distance $k$ from $X$ be called layer $k$. At layer $0$, $X$ is given a random bit. At layer $k\geq 1$, each vertex receives $d$ bits from its parents in layer $k-1$, which are transmitted along independent binary symmetric channel edges, and combines them using a $d$-ary Boolean processing function. The goal is to reconstruct $X$ with probability of error bounded away from $1/2$ using the values of all vertices at an arbitrarily deep layer. This question is closely related to models of reliable computation and storage, and information flow in biological networks. In this paper, we analyze randomly constructed DAGs, for which we show that broadcasting is only possible if the noise level is below a certain degree and function dependent critical threshold. For $d\geq 3$, and random DAGs with layer sizes $\Omega(\log k)$ and majority processing functions, we identify the critical threshold. For $d=2$, we establish a similar result for NAND processing functions. We also prove a partial converse for odd $d\geq 3$ illustrating that the identified thresholds are impossible to improve by selecting different processing functions if the decoder is restricted to using a single vertex. Finally, for any noise level, we construct explicit DAGs (using expander graphs) with bounded degree and layer sizes $\Theta(\log k)$ admitting reconstruction. In particular, we show that such DAGs can be generated in deterministic quasi-polynomial time or randomized polylogarithmic time in the depth. These results portray a doubly-exponential advantage for storing a bit in DAGs compared to trees, where $d=1$ but layer sizes must grow exponentially with depth in order to enable broadcasting.Comment: 33 pages, double column format. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1803.0752

Influential Listeners: An Experiment on Persuasion Bias in Social Networks

This paper presents an experimental investigation of persuasion bias, a form of bounded rationality whereby agents communicating through a social network are unable to account for possible repetitions in the information they receive. The results indicate that network structure plays a significant role in determining social influence. However, the most influential agents are not those with more outgoing links, as predicted by the persuasion bias hypothesis, but those with more incoming links. We show that a boundedly rational updating rule that takes into account not only agents' outdegree, but also their indegree, provides a better explanation of the experimental data. In this framework, consensus beliefs tend to be swayed towards the opinions of influential listeners. We then present an effort-weighted updating model as a more general characterization of information aggregation in social networks.

On Structure Priors for Learning Bayesian Networks

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