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Ensuring Access to Safe and Nutritious Food for All Through the Transformation of Food Systems
Efficiency measurement based on novel performance measures in total productive maintenance (TPM) using a fuzzy integrated COPRAS and DEA method
Total Productive Maintenance (TPM) has been widely recognized as a strategic tool and lean manufacturing practice for improving manufacturing performance and sustainability, and therefore it has been successfully implemented in many organizations. The evaluation of TPM efficiency can assist companies in improving their operations across a variety of dimensions. This paper aims to propose a comprehensive and systematic framework for the evaluation of TPM performance. The proposed total productive maintenance performance measurement system (TPM PMS) is divided into four phases (e.g., design, evaluate, implement, and review): i) the design of new performance measures, ii) the evaluation of the new performance measures, iii) the implementation of the new performance measures to evaluate TPM performance, and iv) the reviewing of the TPM PMS. In the design phase, different types of performance measures impacting TPM are defined and analyzed by decision-makers. In the evaluation phase, novel performance measures are evaluated using the Fuzzy COmplex Proportional Assessment (FCOPRAS) method. In the implementation phase, a modified fuzzy data envelopment analysis (FDEA) is used to determine efficient and inefficient TPM performance with novel performance measures. In the review phase, TPM performance is periodically monitored, and the proposed TPM PMS is reviewed for successful implementation of TPM. A real-world case study from an international manufacturing company operating in the automotive industry is presented to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed TPM PMS. The main findings from the real-world case study showed that the proposed TPM PMS allows measuring TPM performance with different indicators especially soft ones, e.g., human-related, and supports decision makers by comparing the TPM performances of production lines and so prioritizing the most important preventive/predictive decisions and actions according to production lines, especially the ineffective ones in TPM program implementation. Therefore, this system can be considered a powerful monitoring tool and reliable evidence to make the implementation process of TPM more efficient in the real-world production environment
Intermodal Terminal Subsystem Technology Selection Using Integrated Fuzzy MCDM Model
Intermodal transportation is the use of multiple modes of transportation, which can lead to
greater sustainability by reducing environmental impact and traffic congestion and increasing the
efficiency of supply chains. One of the preconditions for efficient intermodal transport is the efficient
intermodal terminal (IT). ITs allow for the smooth and efficient handling of cargo, thus reducing the
time, cost, and environmental impact of transportation. Adequate selection of subsystem technologies
can significantly improve the efficiency and productivity of an IT, ultimately leading to cost savings
for businesses and a more efficient and sustainable transportation system. Accordingly, this paper
aims to establish a framework for the evaluation and selection of appropriate technologies for IT
subsystems. To solve the defined problem, an innovative hybrid multi-criteria decision making
(MCDM) model, which combines the fuzzy factor relationship (FFARE) and the fuzzy combinative
distance-based assessment (FCODAS) methods, is developed in this paper. The FFARE method
is used for obtaining criteria weights, while the FCODAS method is used for evaluation and a
final ranking of the alternatives. The established framework and the model are tested on a real-life
case study, evaluating and selecting the handling technology for a planned IT. The study defines
12 potential variants of handling equipment based on their techno-operational characteristics and
evaluates them using 16 criteria. The results indicate that the best handling technology variant is
the one that uses a rail-mounted gantry crane for trans-shipment and a reach stacker for horizontal
transport and storage. The results also point to the conclusion that instead of choosing equipment
for each process separately, it is important to think about the combination of different handling
technologies that can work together to complete a series of handling cycle processes. The main
contributions of this paper are the development of a new hybrid model and the establishment of
a framework for the selection of appropriate IT subsystem technologies along with a set of unique
criteria for their evaluation and selection
Neural Architecture Search: Insights from 1000 Papers
In the past decade, advances in deep learning have resulted in breakthroughs
in a variety of areas, including computer vision, natural language
understanding, speech recognition, and reinforcement learning. Specialized,
high-performing neural architectures are crucial to the success of deep
learning in these areas. Neural architecture search (NAS), the process of
automating the design of neural architectures for a given task, is an
inevitable next step in automating machine learning and has already outpaced
the best human-designed architectures on many tasks. In the past few years,
research in NAS has been progressing rapidly, with over 1000 papers released
since 2020 (Deng and Lindauer, 2021). In this survey, we provide an organized
and comprehensive guide to neural architecture search. We give a taxonomy of
search spaces, algorithms, and speedup techniques, and we discuss resources
such as benchmarks, best practices, other surveys, and open-source libraries
A Visual Modeling Method for Spatiotemporal and Multidimensional Features in Epidemiological Analysis: Applied COVID-19 Aggregated Datasets
The visual modeling method enables flexible interactions with rich graphical
depictions of data and supports the exploration of the complexities of
epidemiological analysis. However, most epidemiology visualizations do not
support the combined analysis of objective factors that might influence the
transmission situation, resulting in a lack of quantitative and qualitative
evidence. To address this issue, we have developed a portrait-based visual
modeling method called +msRNAer. This method considers the spatiotemporal
features of virus transmission patterns and the multidimensional features of
objective risk factors in communities, enabling portrait-based exploration and
comparison in epidemiological analysis. We applied +msRNAer to aggregate
COVID-19-related datasets in New South Wales, Australia, which combined
COVID-19 case number trends, geo-information, intervention events, and
expert-supervised risk factors extracted from LGA-based censuses. We perfected
the +msRNAer workflow with collaborative views and evaluated its feasibility,
effectiveness, and usefulness through one user study and three subject-driven
case studies. Positive feedback from experts indicates that +msRNAer provides a
general understanding of analyzing comprehension that not only compares
relationships between cases in time-varying and risk factors through portraits
but also supports navigation in fundamental geographical, timeline, and other
factor comparisons. By adopting interactions, experts discovered functional and
practical implications for potential patterns of long-standing community
factors against the vulnerability faced by the pandemic. Experts confirmed that
+msRNAer is expected to deliver visual modeling benefits with spatiotemporal
and multidimensional features in other epidemiological analysis scenarios
Market capitalization shock effects on open innovation models in e-commerce: Golden cut q-rung orthopair fuzzy multicriteria decision-making analysis
This research paper analyzes revenue trends in e-commerce, a sector with an annual sales volume of more than 340 billion dollars. The article evaluates, despite a scarcity of data, the effects on e-commerce development of the ubiquitous lockdowns and restriction measures introduced by most countries during the pandemic period. The analysis covers monthly data from January 1996 to February 2021. The research paper analyzes relative changes in the original time series through the autocorrelation function. The objects of this analysis are Amazon and Alibaba, as they are benchmarks in the e-commerce industry. This paper tests the shock effect on the e-commerce companies Alibaba in China and Amazon in the USA, concluding that it is weaker for companies with small market capitalizations. As a result, the effect on estimated e-trade volume in the USA was approximately 35% in 2020. Another evaluation considers fuzzy decision-making methodology. For this purpose, balanced scorecard-based open financial innovation models for the e-commerce industry are weighted with multistepwise weight assessment ratio analysis based on q-rung orthopair fuzzy sets and the golden cut. Within this framework, a detailed analysis of competitors should be made. The paper proves that this situation positively affects the development of successful financial innovation models for the e-commerce industry. Therefore, it may be possible to attract greater attention from e-commerce companies for these financial innovation products.Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federatio
Central-provincial Politics and Industrial Policy-making in the Electric Power Sector in China
In addition to the studies that provide meaningful insights into the complexity of technical and economic issues, increasing studies have focused on the political process of market transition in network industries such as the electric power sector. This dissertation studies the central–provincial interactions in industrial policy-making and implementation, and attempts to evaluate the roles of Chinese provinces in the market reform process of the electric power sector. Market reforms of this sector are used as an illustrative case because the new round of market reforms had achieved some significant breakthroughs in areas such as pricing reform and wholesale market trading. Other policy measures, such as the liberalization of the distribution market and cross-regional market-building, are still at a nascent stage and have only scored moderate progress. It is important to investigate why some policy areas make greater progress in market reforms than others. It is also interesting to examine the impacts of Chinese central-provincial politics on producing the different market reform outcomes. Guangdong and Xinjiang are two provinces being analyzed in this dissertation. The progress of market reforms in these two provinces showed similarities although the provinces are very different in terms of local conditions such as the stages of their economic development and energy structures. The actual reform can be understood as the outcomes of certain modes of interactions between the central and provincial actors in the context of their particular capabilities and preferences in different policy areas. This dissertation argues that market reform is more successful in policy areas where the central and provincial authorities are able to engage mainly in integrative negotiations than in areas where they engage mainly in distributive negotiations
Examples of works to practice staccato technique in clarinet instrument
Klarnetin staccato tekniğini güçlendirme aşamaları eser çalışmalarıyla uygulanmıştır. Staccato
geçişlerini hızlandıracak ritim ve nüans çalışmalarına yer verilmiştir. Çalışmanın en önemli amacı
sadece staccato çalışması değil parmak-dilin eş zamanlı uyumunun hassasiyeti üzerinde de
durulmasıdır. Staccato çalışmalarını daha verimli hale getirmek için eser çalışmasının içinde etüt
çalışmasına da yer verilmiştir. Çalışmaların üzerinde titizlikle durulması staccato çalışmasının ilham
verici etkisi ile müzikal kimliğe yeni bir boyut kazandırmıştır. Sekiz özgün eser çalışmasının her
aşaması anlatılmıştır. Her aşamanın bir sonraki performans ve tekniği güçlendirmesi esas alınmıştır.
Bu çalışmada staccato tekniğinin hangi alanlarda kullanıldığı, nasıl sonuçlar elde edildiği bilgisine
yer verilmiştir. Notaların parmak ve dil uyumu ile nasıl şekilleneceği ve nasıl bir çalışma disiplini
içinde gerçekleşeceği planlanmıştır. Kamış-nota-diyafram-parmak-dil-nüans ve disiplin
kavramlarının staccato tekniğinde ayrılmaz bir bütün olduğu saptanmıştır. Araştırmada literatür
taraması yapılarak staccato ile ilgili çalışmalar taranmıştır. Tarama sonucunda klarnet tekniğin de
kullanılan staccato eser çalışmasının az olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Metot taramasında da etüt
çalışmasının daha çok olduğu saptanmıştır. Böylelikle klarnetin staccato tekniğini hızlandırma ve
güçlendirme çalışmaları sunulmuştur. Staccato etüt çalışmaları yapılırken, araya eser çalışmasının
girmesi beyni rahatlattığı ve istekliliği daha arttırdığı gözlemlenmiştir. Staccato çalışmasını yaparken
doğru bir kamış seçimi üzerinde de durulmuştur. Staccato tekniğini doğru çalışmak için doğru bir
kamışın dil hızını arttırdığı saptanmıştır. Doğru bir kamış seçimi kamıştan rahat ses çıkmasına
bağlıdır. Kamış, dil atma gücünü vermiyorsa daha doğru bir kamış seçiminin yapılması gerekliliği
vurgulanmıştır. Staccato çalışmalarında baştan sona bir eseri yorumlamak zor olabilir. Bu açıdan
çalışma, verilen müzikal nüanslara uymanın, dil atış performansını rahatlattığını ortaya koymuştur.
Gelecek nesillere edinilen bilgi ve birikimlerin aktarılması ve geliştirici olması teşvik edilmiştir.
Çıkacak eserlerin nasıl çözüleceği, staccato tekniğinin nasıl üstesinden gelinebileceği anlatılmıştır.
Staccato tekniğinin daha kısa sürede çözüme kavuşturulması amaç edinilmiştir. Parmakların
yerlerini öğrettiğimiz kadar belleğimize de çalışmaların kaydedilmesi önemlidir. Gösterilen azmin ve
sabrın sonucu olarak ortaya çıkan yapıt başarıyı daha da yukarı seviyelere çıkaracaktır
Model Diagnostics meets Forecast Evaluation: Goodness-of-Fit, Calibration, and Related Topics
Principled forecast evaluation and model diagnostics are vital in fitting probabilistic models and forecasting outcomes of interest. A common principle is that fitted or predicted distributions ought to be calibrated, ideally in the sense that the outcome is indistinguishable from a random draw from the posited distribution. Much of this thesis is centered on calibration properties of various types of forecasts.
In the first part of the thesis, a simple algorithm for exact multinomial goodness-of-fit tests is proposed. The algorithm computes exact -values based on various test statistics, such as the log-likelihood ratio and Pearson\u27s chi-square. A thorough analysis shows improvement on extant methods. However, the runtime of the algorithm grows exponentially in the number of categories and hence its use is limited.
In the second part, a framework rooted in probability theory is developed, which gives rise to hierarchies of calibration, and applies to both predictive distributions and stand-alone point forecasts. Based on a general notion of conditional T-calibration, the thesis introduces population versions of T-reliability diagrams and revisits a score decomposition into measures of miscalibration, discrimination, and uncertainty. Stable and efficient estimators of T-reliability diagrams and score components arise via nonparametric isotonic regression and the pool-adjacent-violators algorithm. For in-sample model diagnostics, a universal coefficient of determination is introduced that nests and reinterprets the classical in least squares regression.
In the third part, probabilistic top lists are proposed as a novel type of prediction in classification, which bridges the gap between single-class predictions and predictive distributions. The probabilistic top list functional is elicited by strictly consistent evaluation metrics, based on symmetric proper scoring rules, which admit comparison of various types of predictions
Fair Assortment Planning
Many online platforms, ranging from online retail stores to social media
platforms, employ algorithms to optimize their offered assortment of items
(e.g., products and contents). These algorithms tend to prioritize the
platforms' short-term goals by solely featuring items with the highest
popularity or revenue. However, this practice can then lead to undesirable
outcomes for the rest of the items, making them leave the platform, and in turn
hurting the platform's long-term goals. Motivated by that, we introduce and
study a fair assortment planning problem, which requires any two items with
similar quality/merits to be offered similar outcomes. We show that the problem
can be formulated as a linear program (LP), called (FAIR), that optimizes over
the distribution of all feasible assortments. To find a near-optimal solution
to (FAIR), we propose a framework based on the Ellipsoid method, which requires
a polynomial-time separation oracle to the dual of the LP. We show that finding
an optimal separation oracle to the dual problem is an NP-complete problem, and
hence we propose a series of approximate separation oracles, which then result
in a -approx. algorithm and a PTAS for the original Problem (FAIR). The
approximate separation oracles are designed by (i) showing the separation
oracle to the dual of the LP is equivalent to solving an infinite series of
parameterized knapsack problems, and (ii) taking advantage of the structure of
the parameterized knapsack problems. Finally, we conduct a case study using the
MovieLens dataset, which demonstrates the efficacy of our algorithms and
further sheds light on the price of fairness.Comment: 86 pages, 7 figure
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